Short Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 101.17 LIT at 2.956$ per unit. Take profit: 2.7581 (6.69 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0349 (2.68 %)
Short Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 101.17 LIT at 2.956$ per unit. Take profit: 2.7581 (6.69 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0349 (2.68 %)
Position
Entry 2.9558$
Qty 101.1696 LIT
Size 299.0371$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.7581 (+6.69%)
TP $ 20$
SL 3.0349 (-2.68%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1655
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.24×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 26/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 42.2% |
| 1h | 11.1% |
| 4h | 91.1% |
| 24h | 77.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 42.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 84.4% | +1.61% |
| 24h | 66.7% | +1.17% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1801 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.15% · r3d: -5.44% · ema21_slope: -0.7035% · dist_ema21: -9.456% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2861 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.17% · rs_3d: -5.47% · beta_24h: 2.554 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2166 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.726 · trend: -42.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4933 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.286% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4472 | r1h: -1.034% · r4h: 1.622% · r1d: -3.76% · r3d: -6.22% · ema21_slope: -0.1266% · dist_ema21: -0.853% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3589 | rs_1h: -1.065% · rs_4h: 0.993% · rs_1d: -4.32% · rs_3d: -7.60% · beta_24h: 2.776 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3647 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: -0.207 · trend: 41.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5948 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.883% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3827 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.593% · r1d: -1.44% · r3d: -4.71% · ema21_slope: -0.2904% · dist_ema21: -0.910% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3484 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.297% · rs_1d: -2.42% · rs_3d: -6.01% · beta_24h: 2.864 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5010 | rvol_20: 1.97× · zscore_50: 0.115 · trend: -6.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4011 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8712 | ATR%: 3.387% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.690% | 0.3R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.059% | 0.4R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.963% | 2.6R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 16.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.963% | 2.6R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 16.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.963% | 2.6R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 16.2× | 143 |
| 24h | +8.739% | 3.3R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.184% | 4.9R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 1.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.184% | 4.9R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.184% | 4.9R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 1.0× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.10% | -0.86 | 26/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.45 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.58 | 28/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.52 | bull_medium | +0.75% | -0.36 | 28/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | +0.57% | +0.00 | 28/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#436418
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.446 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b -1.0ATR | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.85 | 45% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | -0.96 | — | #208479 | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.10% | -0.86 |
26/10 20:00
upd 27/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#443151
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.473 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 22b -0.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 1.97 | 70% | ↔ +0.13 | above_value | -0.80 | — | #211292 | 0.45 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.58 |
28/10 12:00
upd 28/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #443866
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.345 | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 1b -0.4ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.86 | 43% | ↑ +0.72 | value | -2.61 | — | #211621 | 0.52 | bull_medium | +0.75% | -0.36 |
28/10 17:00
upd 28/10 18:14
|
|
15m
#443812
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.669 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 3b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.34 | 54% | ↓ -0.26 | value | -2.61 | — | #211621 | 0.65 | range_low | +0.57% | +0.00 |
28/10 17:45
upd 28/10 18:11
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.705×ATR | p10 | -0.979×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 2.403×ATR | p25 | -0.295×ATR | p16 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.927×ATR | p15 | -0.449×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.114×ATR | p0 | +0.017×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
3.07605
2.9829
3.029475
1793070000
1793224800
1.725
44
0.7733
1793221200
2.9829
0.6591
1
0.5018
1
1
10
10
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:15 | 2.95580000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:25 | 2.95580000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:36 | 2.95580000 | 0% |
| 4 | 18:44 | 2.95010000 | -0.193% |
| 5 | 18:52 | 2.95010000 | -0.193% |
| 6 | 19:01 | 2.95010000 | -0.193% |
| 7 | 19:12 | 2.94770000 | -0.274% |
| 8 | 19:20 | 2.94770000 | -0.274% |
| 9 | 19:29 | 2.94770000 | -0.274% |
| 10 | 19:39 | 2.93280000 | -0.778% |
| 11 | 19:48 | 2.93280000 | -0.778% |
| 12 | 19:56 | 2.93280000 | -0.778% |
| 13 | 20:08 | 2.93280000 | -0.778% |
| 14 | 20:19 | 2.93450000 | -0.721% |
| 15 | 20:29 | 2.93450000 | -0.721% |
| 16 | 20:38 | 2.93170000 | -0.815% |
| 17 | 20:47 | 2.93170000 | -0.815% |
| 18 | 20:56 | 2.93170000 | -0.815% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9558 | 3.0349 | 2.7581 | 2.5 | 2.8138 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.0349 - 2.9558 = 0.0791
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.9558 - 2.7581 = 0.1977
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1977 / 0.0791 = 2.4994
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 299.0371 | 100 | 101.1696 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0791 = 101.14
Taille de position USD = 101.14 x 2.9558 = 298.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 101.14 avec un stoploss a 3.0349
Avec un position size USD de 298.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 101.14 x 0.0791 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 101.14 x 0.1977 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.69 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 6.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4297 % | 16.06 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9558 | 3.0349 | 2.7581 | 2.5 | 2.8138 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.0349 - 2.9558 = 0.0791
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.9558 - 2.7581 = 0.1977
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1977 / 0.0791 = 2.4994
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.7976
[stop_loss] => 3.0349
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.75805
[stop_loss] => 3.0349
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 02:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.690% | 0.3R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.059% | 0.4R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.963% | 2.6R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 16.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.963% | 2.6R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 16.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.963% | 2.6R | -0.430% | 0.2R | 16.2× | 143 |
| 24h | +8.739% | 3.3R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.184% | 4.9R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 1.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.184% | 4.9R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.184% | 4.9R | -13.540% | 5.1R | 1.0× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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