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Long Trade on PONS

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28 Oct 2026 at 19:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 400.46 PONS at 0.294$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3012 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2739 (6.77 %)

PONS LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Oct 2026 19:15 → 21:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2938$

Qty 400.4603 PONS

Size 117.6753$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3012 (+2.52%)

TP $ 2.96$

SL 0.2739 (-6.77%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.37

Status loss PnL -6.77% / -7.97$ MAE -9.66% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 29 Oct 01:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231265)
#2 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8476

Quality Score
0.684
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.42×ATR
4h near 0.31×ATR
1d clear 13.18×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.78
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
18.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 19:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

26/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

28/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/10 18:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7188
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational range

0.25

compression

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 77.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.010
Δ 1h
▼-0.079
Δ 4h
▲+0.334
Δ 12h
▲+0.060
Δ 24h
▲+0.228

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 8.5%
1h 19.2%
4h 83.0%
24h 78.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 10.6% -0.19%
4h 63.8% +0.78%
24h 61.7% +1.68%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
8.5%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
10.6%
Tail ↑
+0.47
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion : 0.152
Universe : 47 (+2 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+2 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 28/10 19:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3512
Score SMA
0.2169
Rank
#29 / 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5410
Rank Norm SMA
0.1021
Calculé le
27/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3466 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.92% · r3d: 14.49% · ema21_slope: -2.1624% · dist_ema21: -13.323%
Force Relative 25% 0.5877 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.95% · rs_3d: 14.46% · beta_24h: 2.424
Volume 20% 0.1533 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.819 · trend: -79.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4641 ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 70.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.422% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6839
Score SMA
0.5378
Rank
#2 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8476
Rank Norm SMA
0.4989
Calculé le
28/10/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8810 r1h: 1.176% · r4h: 3.599% · r1d: 10.46% · r3d: 22.05% · ema21_slope: 0.1791% · dist_ema21: 2.958%
Force Relative 25% 0.8721 rs_1h: 1.284% · rs_4h: 3.290% · rs_1d: 10.01% · rs_3d: 21.03% · beta_24h: 1.253
Volume 20% 0.2183 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.350 · trend: -18.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5378 ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 68.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6847
Score SMA
0.4098
Rank
#7 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9199
Rank Norm SMA
0.2771
Calculé le
28/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7075 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.203% · r1d: 13.87% · r3d: 20.40% · ema21_slope: 0.7385% · dist_ema21: 10.216%
Force Relative 25% 0.7714 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.094% · rs_1d: 12.89% · rs_3d: 19.10% · beta_24h: 2.174
Volume 20% 0.6182 rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 1.097 · trend: 84.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7315 ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4623 ATR%: 4.613% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.773% (0.0199)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.967% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.036% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -21.573% 3.2R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -25.963% 3.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -25.963% 3.8R 0.0× 864

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 43% — — — — bull_high +4.10% -1.00 26/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal range_high
41%
noisy_chop 41% late — near 0.3ATR 0.36 range_high -0.06% +0.97 28/10 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 33% early — — 0.58 range_medium +0.63% +0.09 28/10 18:00
15m ↑ up range range strong explosive normal bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near -1.5ATR 0.37 range_low +0.42% +0.32 28/10 18:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#436432
 ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 43% — — — 0.55 17% ↓ -0.68 above_value +1.56 inside #208487 — bull_high +4.10% -1.00
26/10 20:00
upd 27/10 20:25
4h
#443169
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.696 volatile_reversal range_high
41%
noisy_chop 41% late 3b 1.8ATR — near 0.3ATR 1.53 60% ↑ +0.74 above_value +3.86 — #211299 0.36 range_high -0.06% +0.97
28/10 12:00
upd 28/10 16:16
1h anchor
#444219
 ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.551 normal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 33% early 4b 1.1ATR — — 0.35 69% ↓ -0.58 above_value +4.02 — #211762 0.58 range_medium +0.63% +0.09
28/10 18:00
upd 28/10 19:11
15m
#444151
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.720 normal bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 44% mid 9b 1.2ATR — near -1.5ATR 0.88 71% ↓ -0.58 above_value +3.40 — #211628 0.37 range_low +0.42% +0.32
28/10 18:45
upd 28/10 19:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down late 3b — 1.514×ATR p0 +1.828×ATR p80
1h ↑ up early 4b — 1.914×ATR p25 +1.066×ATR p52
15m ↑ up mid 9b — 2.73×ATR p37 +1.246×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.27387299
  2. tp_price: 0.30119625
  3. atr: 0.0079908
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T05:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 67
  3. score: 0.856
  4. delta_2h: 0.0431
  5. extension_atr: 0.96
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8476
  9. confidence: 0.985

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2938 0.2739 0.3012 0.37 0.1197
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2938
  • Stop Loss: 0.2739
  • Take Profit: 0.3012

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2739 - 0.2938 = -0.0199

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2938 - 0.3012 = -0.0074

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0074 / -0.0199 = 0.3719

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
117.6753 100 400.4603 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0199

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0199 = -402.01

Taille de position USD = -402.01 x 0.2938 = -118.11

Donc, tu peux acheter -402.01 avec un stoploss a 0.2739

Avec un position size USD de -118.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -402.01 x -0.0199 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -402.01 x -0.0074 = 2.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -402.01
  • Taille de position USD -118.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3719

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 2.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.77 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-7.97 $ -6.77
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.7502 % 114.42 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2938 0.2739 0.3012 0.37 0.1197
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2938
  • Stop Loss: 0.2739
  • Take Profit: 0.3012

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2739 - 0.2938 = -0.0199

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2938 - 0.3012 = -0.0074

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0074 / -0.0199 = 0.3719

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3012
            [entry_price] => 0.2938
            [stop_loss] => 0.27191
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3012
            [entry_price] => 0.2938
            [stop_loss] => 0.26992
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3012
            [entry_price] => 0.2938
            [stop_loss] => 0.26793
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 02:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.773% (0.0199)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.967% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.036% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -9.663% 1.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -21.573% 3.2R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -25.963% 3.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -25.963% 3.8R 0.0× 864

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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