Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 7866.04 ARB at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1737 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1706 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 7866.04 ARB at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1737 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1706 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.1716$
Qty 7866.0413 ARB
Size 1350.0487$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1737 (+1.22%)
TP $ 16.52$
SL 0.1706 (-0.58%)
SL $ 7.87$
RR 2.1
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6261
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.79×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.71×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 26/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/10 18:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.628831 15m : 0.568386 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 38.3% |
| 1h | 23.4% |
| 4h | 17.0% |
| 24h | 68.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.3% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 31.9% | -0.76% |
| 24h | 55.3% | +0.85% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3186 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.83% · r3d: -1.14% · ema21_slope: -0.4656% · dist_ema21: -7.799% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3250 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.80% · rs_3d: -1.17% · beta_24h: 2.361 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1289 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -1.066 · trend: -66.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4191 | ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.660% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5735 | r1h: -1.474% · r4h: 0.827% · r1d: 4.04% · r3d: 2.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0676% · dist_ema21: 1.885% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5076 | rs_1h: -1.365% · rs_4h: 0.518% · rs_1d: 3.59% · rs_3d: 1.05% · beta_24h: 1.976 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3602 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.011 · trend: 46.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6866 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 26.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.583% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5512 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.133% · r1d: 3.79% · r3d: 2.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0863% · dist_ema21: 2.841% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5614 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.837% · rs_1d: 2.81% · rs_3d: 1.60% · beta_24h: 1.942 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5279 | rvol_20: 2.32× · zscore_50: -0.051 · trend: -19.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4694 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 64.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -0.093% | 0.2R | 7.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -1.183% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.711% | 1.2R | -4.662% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -5.396% | 9.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -5.396% | 9.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.570% | 4.4R | -12.051% | 20.7R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.570% | 4.4R | -14.796% | 25.4R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.570% | 4.4R | -14.796% | 25.4R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.10% | -0.63 | 26/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near 0.2ATR | near -0.8ATR | 0.55 | range_high | -0.06% | +0.35 | 28/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.17 | 28/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | +0.49% | +0.18 | 28/10 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#436296
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.674 | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 34b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.24 | 48% | ↓ -0.47 | below_value | -6.68 | — | #208432 | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.10% | -0.63 |
26/10 20:00
upd 27/10 20:17
|
|
4h
#443071
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.526 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 1b 1.2ATR | near 0.2ATR | near -0.8ATR | 2.32 | 42% | ↑ +0.53 | above_value | +2.26 | — | #211248 | 0.55 | range_high | -0.06% | +0.35 |
28/10 12:00
upd 28/10 16:12
|
|
1h
anchor #444162
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.652 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 2b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.70 | 48% | ↑ +0.30 | value | +1.67 | inside | #211705 | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.63% | +0.17 |
28/10 18:00
upd 28/10 19:09
|
|
15m
#444300
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.593 | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 8b -0.5ATR | — | — | 1.10 | 88% | ↓ -0.64 | value | +1.67 | — | #211705 | 0.62 | range_low | +0.49% | +0.18 |
28/10 19:15
upd 28/10 19:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 34b | — | 6.112×ATR | p67 | -1.02×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 2.525×ATR | p19 | +1.222×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.996×ATR | p25 | +1.088×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.875×ATR | p84 | -0.463×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
81085.5
0.00270671
81305
0.628831
81018.9
0.00353109
81305
0.568386
80601.3
0.0078237
81232
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0.17864
196
0.7205
0.5716
0.3656
0.2747
0.44
0
0.1593
0.6154
0.6217
0.952
0.5363
0.6099
0.1794
0.0796
1
0.8099
1.1972
0.35
0.65
1
3
0.9474
0.5032
0.4823
4.051
0.55
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1.1972
0
0.2183
0.92
0.4184
0.5726
0.5155
0
0.6099
-2.1306
3.3315
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:32 | 0.17163000 | +0.017% |
| 2 | 19:41 | 0.17171000 | +0.064% |
| 3 | 19:50 | 0.17167000 | +0.041% |
| 4 | 20:58 | 0.17120000 | -0.233% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 15:55:00 | 0.16777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 16:45:00 | 0.16453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 17:25:00 | 0.16471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 18:00:00 | 0.16888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.17864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 20:25:00 | 0.17339 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 21:20:00 | 0.1778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 21:30:00 | 0.17436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 22:30:00 | 0.17534 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 23:30:00 | 0.17163 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 04:15:00 | 0.16816 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 06:15:00 | 0.1701 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 07:15:00 | 0.16776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 08:30:00 | 0.17041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 10:00:00 | 0.17027 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 14:15:00 | 0.16328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 15:45:00 | 0.16777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 16:45:00 | 0.16453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.17864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 23:30:00 | 0.17163 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 08:00:00 | 0.17361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-26 15:00:00 | 0.17299 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-26 23:00:00 | 0.16572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-27 00:00:00 | 0.1698 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 09:00:00 | 0.16461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-27 12:00:00 | 0.16964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 21:00:00 | 0.16559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 02:00:00 | 0.17094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 14:00:00 | 0.16328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.17864 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1716 | 0.1706 | 0.1737 | 2.1 | 0.1349 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1706 - 0.1716 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1716 - 0.1737 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.001 = 2.1
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1350.0487 | 100 | 7866.0413 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.001 = -8000
Taille de position USD = -8000 x 0.1716 = -1372.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -8000 avec un stoploss a 0.1706
Avec un position size USD de -1372.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8000 x -0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8000 x -0.0021 = 16.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 16.52 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 7.87 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.87 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6177 % | 105.99 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1716 | 0.1706 | 0.1737 | 2.1 | 0.1349 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1706 - 0.1716 = -0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1716 - 0.1737 = -0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0021 / -0.001 = 2.1
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[entry_price] => 0.1716
[stop_loss] => 0.1704
[rr_ratio] => 1.75
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1737
[entry_price] => 0.1716
[stop_loss] => 0.1703
[rr_ratio] => 1.62
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1737
[entry_price] => 0.1716
[stop_loss] => 0.1701
[rr_ratio] => 1.4
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -0.093% | 0.2R | 7.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -1.183% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.711% | 1.2R | -4.662% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -5.396% | 9.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.711% | 1.2R | -5.396% | 9.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.570% | 4.4R | -12.051% | 20.7R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.570% | 4.4R | -14.796% | 25.4R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.570% | 4.4R | -14.796% | 25.4R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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