Long Trade on SPX (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 416.26 SPX at 0.41$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3911 (4.7 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 20:27:18
hyperliquid
SPX
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 20:27
→ 22:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.4104$
Qty 416.2571 SPX
Size 170.8153$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 170.83$
SL 0.3911 (-4.7%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-4.70%
/ -8.03$
MAE -5.35%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231309)
#3 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 20:00
score du 28/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8214
Quality Score
0.633
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.93×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 20:17
28/10 20:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/10 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7193
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
39.6%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.030
Δ 4h
▼-0.483
Δ 12h
→+0.008
Δ 24h
▼-0.336
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 47.9% |
| 4h | 22.9% |
| 24h | 68.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 25.0% | -0.45% |
| 24h | 54.2% | +0.88% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 20:17
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4652
Score SMA
0.3432
Rank
#10
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8615
Rank Norm SMA
0.4624
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5752 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: -0.3171% · dist_ema21: 5.853% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6935 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.93% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 1.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3057 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.248 · trend: -23.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3878 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.432% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6334
Score SMA
0.5498
Rank
#3
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8214
Rank Norm SMA
0.6470
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6827 | r1h: 1.072% · r4h: 1.001% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0977% · dist_ema21: 3.655% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7059 | rs_1h: 0.991% · rs_4h: 1.320% · rs_1d: 3.93% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 2.258 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2447 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.486 · trend: 7.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7528 | ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6694
Score SMA
0.5408
Rank
#5
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9385
Rank Norm SMA
0.7480
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7834 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.001% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: 0.3541% · dist_ema21: 6.177% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7266 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.320% · rs_1d: 3.93% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 2.359 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4508 | rvol_20: 1.33× · zscore_50: 0.509 · trend: 12.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6359 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.697% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -4.703%
(0.0193)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.395% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.964% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.353% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.353% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.353% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -18.046% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -18.046% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -18.046% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.81 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.70% | +0.27 | 28/10 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.52 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444727
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.658 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 54b 0.8ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 52% | ↑ +0.23 | above_value | +8.54 | — | #211873 | 0.72 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#444610
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.665 | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 26b 2.4ATR | — | near -1.5ATR | 1.33 | 73% | ↔ +0.10 | above_value | +8.54 | inside | #211873 | 0.63 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.81 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
1h
anchor #444609
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.659 | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 10b 2.6ATR | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.39 | 46% | ↑ +0.53 | above_value | +8.54 | inside | #211873 | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.70% | +0.27 |
28/10 19:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
15m
#444725
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.393 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
choppy 52% | late 10b 4.0ATR | — | — | 1.08 | 85% | ↓ -0.36 | above_value | +8.54 | — | #211873 | 0.49 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.52 |
28/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 54b | — | 9.06×ATR | p94 | +0.809×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 6.47×ATR | p96 | +2.401×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.246×ATR | p93 | +2.636×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.719×ATR | p89 | +4.036×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: breakout|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.39114111
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 1
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.3507
- obi_top10 : 0.15
- micro_price : 0.40774154
- spread_pct : 0.12276
- mid_price : 0.40755
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.415
- ask_wall_size : 107352
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.3179
- obi_top5_std : 0.0831
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7116
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 0.40488
- breakout_high_time : 2026-10-28T20:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 0.39114111
- entry_price : 0.41036 ¸
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7116ms
Confidence avant OB :
100%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.351
avg 0.318
± 0.083
OBI Top 10
0.150
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4076
Micro Price
0.4077
Spread
0.1228%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.4150
Size
107,352.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4104 | 0.3911 | 0.2996 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4104
- Stop Loss: 0.3911
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3911 - 0.4104 = -0.0193
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4104 - = 0.4104
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4104 / -0.0193 = -21.2642
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170.8153 | 100 | 416.2571 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0193
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0193 = -414.51
Taille de position USD = -414.51 x 0.4104 = -170.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -414.51 avec un stoploss a 0.3911
Avec un position size USD de -170.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -414.51 x -0.0193 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -414.51 x 0.4104 = -170.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -170.11$
Résumé
- Taille de position -414.51
- Taille de position USD -170.11
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -170.11
- Risk-Reward Ratio -21.2642
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 170.83 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.7 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -4.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9635 % | 105.55 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4104 | 0.3911 | 0.2996 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4104
- Stop Loss: 0.3911
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3911 - 0.4104 = -0.0193
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4104 - = 0.4104
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4104 / -0.0193 = -21.2642
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.4104
[stop_loss] => 0.38917
[rr_ratio] => 19.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 00:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.4104
[stop_loss] => 0.38724
[rr_ratio] => 17.72
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 00:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.4104
[stop_loss] => 0.38531
[rr_ratio] => 16.36
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 00:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.4104
[stop_loss] => 0.38145
[rr_ratio] => 14.18
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 00:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -4.703%
(0.0193)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.395% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.964% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.353% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.353% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.353% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -18.046% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -18.046% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -18.046% | 3.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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