Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 64.61 LIT at 2.891$ per unit. Take profit: 2.8187 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0148 (4.28 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 21:15:09
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 21:15
→ 21:55
· 39 minutes
Position
Entry 2.891$
Qty 64.61 LIT
Size 186.7875$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.8187 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.67$
SL 3.0148 (-4.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.58
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.67$
MAE -0.44%
MFE +4.88%
1.1R
expires
29 Oct 03:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231522)
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 21:00
score du 28/10/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1621
Quality Score
0.386
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.33×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.64
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 21:02
28/10 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7196
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
38.2%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.014
Δ 4h
▼-0.401
Δ 12h
▲+0.126
Δ 24h
▼-0.415
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 14.6% |
| 1h | 31.3% |
| 4h | 20.8% |
| 24h | 64.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 14.6% | -0.09% |
| 4h | 27.1% | -0.64% |
| 24h | 47.9% | +0.48% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.42
Dispersion :
0.132
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 21:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1512
Score SMA
0.2627
Rank
#66
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1920
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0652 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.75% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: -0.6839% · dist_ema21: -11.818% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1308 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -8.88% · beta_24h: 2.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1244 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -1.135 · trend: -52.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4939 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3855
Score SMA
0.4876
Rank
#64
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1621
Rank Norm SMA
0.3507
Calculé le
28/10/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2125 | r1h: -1.449% · r4h: -3.645% · r1d: -5.19% · r3d: -9.02% · ema21_slope: -0.1554% · dist_ema21: -2.871% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2269 | rs_1h: -1.150% · rs_4h: -3.350% · rs_1d: -5.63% · rs_3d: -10.20% · beta_24h: 2.952 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4085 | rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.145 · trend: 1.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5704 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.806% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3108
Score SMA
0.4415
Rank
#65
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3327
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2247 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.541% · r1d: -3.72% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: -0.2842% · dist_ema21: -4.033% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1894 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.222% · rs_1d: -4.25% · rs_3d: -8.85% · beta_24h: 3.047 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2943 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.347 · trend: -12.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3912 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7846 | ATR%: 3.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.282%
(0.1238)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -12.141% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.238% | 2.6R | -16.084% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.238% | 2.6R | -16.084% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.238% | 2.6R | -16.084% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1384 min
MAE in 894 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.45 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.71 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.39% | -0.45 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.40 | 28/10 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444759
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.505 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 7b -1.3ATR | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.60 | 33% | ↔ -0.06 | value | -2.70 | — | #211889 | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#444675
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.598 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 23b -1.3ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.93 | 38% | ↔ +0.10 | value | -2.70 | inside | #211889 | 0.45 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.71 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:22
|
|
1h
anchor #445041
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.346 | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 4b -1.5ATR | near -0.9ATR | — | 1.31 | 66% | ↑ +0.64 | value | -2.86 | inside | #212088 | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.39% | -0.45 |
28/10 20:00
upd 28/10 21:11
|
|
15m
#444974
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.320 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 15b -2.1ATR | — | — | 2.31 | 91% | ↓ -0.50 | value | -2.70 | — | #211889 | 0.65 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.40 |
28/10 20:45
upd 28/10 21:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.141×ATR | p30 | -1.257×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 3.321×ATR | p46 | -1.284×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.564×ATR | p61 | -1.542×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.344×ATR | p79 | -2.052×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 3.01481984
- tp_price: 2.818725
- atr: 0.04952794
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T07:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 65
- total: 66
- score: 0.2803
- delta_2h: -0.1326
- extension_atr: -1.63
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1621
- confidence: 0.985
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.891 | 3.0148 | 2.8187 | 0.58 | 2.92 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.891
- Stop Loss: 3.0148
- Take Profit: 2.8187
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.0148 - 2.891 = 0.1238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.891 - 2.8187 = 0.0723
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0723 / 0.1238 = 0.584
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186.7875 | 100 | 64.61 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1238
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1238 = 64.62
Taille de position USD = 64.62 x 2.891 = 186.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 64.62 avec un stoploss a 3.0148
Avec un position size USD de 186.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 64.62 x 0.1238 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 64.62 x 0.0723 = 4.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.67$
Résumé
- Taille de position 64.62
- Taille de position USD 186.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.67
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.584
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.67 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.67 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4358 % | 10.18 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.891 | 3.0148 | 2.8187 | 0.58 | 2.92 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.891
- Stop Loss: 3.0148
- Take Profit: 2.8187
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.0148 - 2.891 = 0.1238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.891 - 2.8187 = 0.0723
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0723 / 0.1238 = 0.584
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.282%
(0.1238)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 11.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.877% | 1.1R | -12.141% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.238% | 2.6R | -16.084% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.238% | 2.6R | -16.084% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.238% | 2.6R | -16.084% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1384 min
MAE in 894 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.