28 Oct 2026 at 21:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 706.86 MET at 0.304$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2965 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3154 (3.72 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Oct 2026 21:15 → 22:35 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.3041$

Qty 706.8555 MET

Size 214.9689$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2965 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.37$

SL 0.3154 (-3.72%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.67

Status win PnL +2.50% / +5.37$ MAE -0.29% MFE +3.73% 1.0R expires 29 Oct 03:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231518)
#57 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4422

Quality Score
0.458
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#57 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.01×ATR
4h clear 1.11×ATR
1d near -1.09×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.64
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

28/10 20:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7196
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

compression

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 38.2%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.014
Δ 4h
▼-0.401
Δ 12h
▲+0.126
Δ 24h
▼-0.415

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 14.6%
1h 31.3%
4h 20.8%
24h 64.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 14.6% -0.09%
4h 27.1% -0.64%
24h 47.9% +0.48%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.42
Dispersion : 0.132
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 28/10 21:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2923
Score SMA
0.4965
Rank
#55 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1692
Rank Norm SMA
0.6739
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3248 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.41% · r3d: 2.20% · ema21_slope: -0.5951% · dist_ema21: -8.422%
Force Relative 25% 0.3550 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.94% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: -0.641
Volume 20% 0.1681 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.479 · trend: -69.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4835 ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 70.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4577
Score SMA
0.5042
Rank
#57 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4422
Rank Norm SMA
0.4477
Calculé le
28/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3084 r1h: -0.905% · r4h: -3.102% · r1d: -4.49% · r3d: 2.44% · ema21_slope: -0.1184% · dist_ema21: -2.378%
Force Relative 25% 0.3651 rs_1h: -0.606% · rs_4h: -2.807% · rs_1d: -4.93% · rs_3d: 1.26% · beta_24h: 2.634
Volume 20% 0.3870 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.113 · trend: 67.91%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6128 ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 41.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.557% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5302
Score SMA
0.4379
Rank
#28 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6769
Rank Norm SMA
0.3189
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3408 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.798% · r1d: -3.75% · r3d: 2.90% · ema21_slope: 0.0368% · dist_ema21: -2.289%
Force Relative 25% 0.3194 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.479% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: 1.39% · beta_24h: 2.386
Volume 20% 0.9717 rvol_20: 3.92× · zscore_50: 2.576 · trend: 128.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3584 ADX: 13.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.903% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.716% (0.0113)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.338% 0.6R -0.286% 0.1R 8.2× 12
2h +3.187% 0.9R -0.286% 0.1R 11.1× 24
4h +3.729% 1.0R -0.286% 0.1R 13.0× 48
6h ★ +3.729% 1.0R -0.286% 0.1R 13.0× 72
8h +3.729% 1.0R -0.286% 0.1R 13.0× 96
12h +4.120% 1.1R -0.286% 0.1R 14.4× 144
24h +13.972% 3.8R -1.726% 0.5R 8.1× 288
48h +13.972% 3.8R -1.726% 0.5R 8.1× 576
72h +13.972% 3.8R -1.726% 0.5R 8.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1384 min MAE in 889 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.4
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late near -1.1ATR — 0.43 bull_high +4.55% -1.00 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.2ATR 0.36 range_high -0.37% +0.18 28/10 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 50% mid — — 0.60 range_medium +0.39% -0.46 28/10 20:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_medium
55%
noisy_chop 48% late near -0.8ATR — 0.62 range_low +0.14% -0.39 28/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444751
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.714 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late 20b -1.0ATR near -1.1ATR — 1.00 80% ↓ -0.78 value -1.17 — #211885 0.43 bull_high +4.55% -1.00
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
4h
#444658
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.615 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early 1b -0.9ATR — near 0.2ATR 3.92 91% ↑ +0.61 value -1.17 — #211885 0.36 range_high -0.37% +0.18
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:21
1h anchor
#445037
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.670 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 50% mid 4b -1.4ATR — — 0.64 82% ↑ +0.95 value -1.67 — #212084 0.60 range_medium +0.39% -0.46
28/10 20:00
upd 28/10 21:11
15m
#444970
↓ down range range strong fading 0.705 compression bear_medium
55%
noisy_chop 48% late 14b -2.4ATR near -0.8ATR — 0.25 78% ↓ -0.86 value -1.17 — #211885 0.62 range_low +0.14% -0.39
28/10 20:45
upd 28/10 21:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 20b — 6.98×ATR p90 -0.987×ATR p55
4h ↑ up early 1b — 0.437×ATR p0 -0.89×ATR p49
1h ↓ down mid 4b — 3.757×ATR p76 -1.352×ATR p64
15m ↓ down late 14b — 5.83×ATR p86 -2.447×ATR p92

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.31543773
  2. tp_price: 0.296517
  3. atr: 0.00452709
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T07:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 63
  2. total: 66
  3. score: 0.3285
  4. delta_2h: -0.1467
  5. extension_atr: -1.74
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4403
  9. confidence: 0.954

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3041 0.3154 0.2965 0.67 0.2684
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3041
  • Stop Loss: 0.3154
  • Take Profit: 0.2965

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3154 - 0.3041 = 0.0113

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3041 - 0.2965 = 0.0076

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0076 / 0.0113 = 0.6726

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
214.9689 100 706.8555 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0113

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0113 = 707.96

Taille de position USD = 707.96 x 0.3041 = 215.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 707.96 avec un stoploss a 0.3154

Avec un position size USD de 215.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 707.96 x 0.0113 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 707.96 x 0.0076 = 5.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.38$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 707.96
  • Taille de position USD 215.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.38
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6726

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.37 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.72 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
5.37 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2861 % 7.7 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3041 0.3154 0.2965 0.67 0.2684
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3041
  • Stop Loss: 0.3154
  • Take Profit: 0.2965

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3154 - 0.3041 = 0.0113

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3041 - 0.2965 = 0.0076

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0076 / 0.0113 = 0.6726

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.716% (0.0113)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.338% 0.6R -0.286% 0.1R 8.2× 12
2h +3.187% 0.9R -0.286% 0.1R 11.1× 24
4h +3.729% 1.0R -0.286% 0.1R 13.0× 48
6h ★ +3.729% 1.0R -0.286% 0.1R 13.0× 72
8h +3.729% 1.0R -0.286% 0.1R 13.0× 96
12h +4.120% 1.1R -0.286% 0.1R 14.4× 144
24h +13.972% 3.8R -1.726% 0.5R 8.1× 288
48h +13.972% 3.8R -1.726% 0.5R 8.1× 576
72h +13.972% 3.8R -1.726% 0.5R 8.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1384 min MAE in 889 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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