Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 9963.63 ARB at 0.17$ per unit. Take profit: 0.172 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1696 (0.47 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 9963.63 ARB at 0.17$ per unit. Take profit: 0.172 (0.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1696 (0.47 %)
Position
Entry 0.1704$
Qty 9963.6327 ARB
Size 1697.5041$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.172 (+0.94%)
TP $ 15.94$
SL 0.1696 (-0.47%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7058
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.82×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.36×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.625791 15m : 0.578212 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 39.6% |
| 1h | 12.5% |
| 4h | 2.1% |
| 24h | 31.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 43.8% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 16.7% | -1.42% |
| 24h | 29.2% | -0.54% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4039 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.83% · r3d: 2.05% · ema21_slope: -0.4954% · dist_ema21: -4.744% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.29% · rs_3d: 0.54% · beta_24h: 2.584 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1478 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.851 · trend: -64.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4168 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 66.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4540 | r1h: -0.651% · r4h: -2.619% · r1d: 1.65% · r3d: 1.18% · ema21_slope: 0.1011% · dist_ema21: 0.453% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4520 | rs_1h: -0.352% · rs_4h: -2.324% · rs_1d: 1.21% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 2.074 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3886 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.340 · trend: 24.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6887 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 28.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4394 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.415% · r1d: 2.83% · r3d: 2.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0638% · dist_ema21: 1.259% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4780 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.096% · rs_1d: 2.29% · rs_3d: 0.54% · beta_24h: 1.991 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4715 | rvol_20: 1.93× · zscore_50: -0.075 · trend: -13.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5594 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.717% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.4R | -3.574% | 7.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.164% | 0.4R | -3.873% | 8.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.164% | 0.4R | -3.991% | 8.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.164% | 0.4R | -4.730% | 10.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.021% | 2.2R | -4.730% | 10.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.292% | 7.0R | -14.196% | 30.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.292% | 7.0R | -14.196% | 30.2R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.292% | 7.0R | -14.196% | 30.2R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.03 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | near -0.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.54 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.18 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.39% | +0.06 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | range_medium |
34%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.25 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444600
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.669 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 35b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 68% | ↓ -0.48 | value | +1.33 | — | #211839 | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.03 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#444518
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.490 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 2b 0.5ATR | near -0.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | 1.93 | 38% | ↑ +0.54 | value | +1.33 | — | #211839 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.18 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:13
|
|
1h
anchor #444992
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.645 | expansion | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 4b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.92 | 59% | ↑ +0.27 | value | +0.92 | — | #212039 | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.39% | +0.06 |
28/10 20:00
upd 28/10 21:08
|
|
15m
#445059
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.459 | compression | range_medium |
34%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 15b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 64% | ↓ -0.23 | value | +0.92 | — | #212039 | 0.62 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.25 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 21:16
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 35b | — | 5.761×ATR | p67 | -0.619×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.892×ATR | p0 | +0.517×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.92×ATR | p64 | +0.255×ATR | p15 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.859×ATR | p98 | -1.565×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
81078.8
-0.00241565
80883
0.625791
81011
-0.00150639
80889
0.578212
80631.2
0.00422615
80972
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0.17864
194
0.7086
0.5716
0.3668
0.2876
0.4317
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0.0989
0.6288
0.6217
0.8824
0.5856
0.4778
0.1
0.0551
1
0.0794
0.495
0.35
0.65
1
5
0.9474
0.4774
0.4823
4.051
0.55
0
0
0.495
0
0.2224
0.84
0.2676
0.5697
0.4857
0.3867
0.4778
-3.2222
2.9477
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 17:25:00 | 0.16471 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 18:00:00 | 0.16888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.17864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 20:25:00 | 0.17339 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 21:20:00 | 0.1778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 21:30:00 | 0.17436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 22:30:00 | 0.17534 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 23:50:00 | 0.17144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 00:00:00 | 0.17282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 01:10:00 | 0.16981 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 04:15:00 | 0.16816 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 06:15:00 | 0.1701 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 07:15:00 | 0.16776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 08:30:00 | 0.17041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 10:00:00 | 0.17027 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 14:15:00 | 0.16328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 15:45:00 | 0.16777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 16:45:00 | 0.16453 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.17864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 01:00:00 | 0.16981 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 15:00:00 | 0.17299 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-26 23:00:00 | 0.16572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-27 00:00:00 | 0.1698 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 09:00:00 | 0.16461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-27 12:00:00 | 0.16964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 21:00:00 | 0.16559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 02:00:00 | 0.17094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 14:00:00 | 0.16328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.17864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 01:00:00 | 0.17054 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1704 | 0.1696 | 0.172 | 2 | 0.1351 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1696 - 0.1704 = -0.0008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1704 - 0.172 = -0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0016 / -0.0008 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1697.5041 | 100 | 9963.6327 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0008 = -10000
Taille de position USD = -10000 x 0.1704 = -1704
Donc, tu peux acheter -10000 avec un stoploss a 0.1696
Avec un position size USD de -1704$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10000 x -0.0008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10000 x -0.0016 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 15.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4871 % | 103.75 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1704 | 0.1696 | 0.172 | 2 | 0.1351 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1696 - 0.1704 = -0.0008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1704 - 0.172 = -0.0016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0016 / -0.0008 = 2
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[stop_loss] => 0.16936
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.172
[entry_price] => 0.1704
[stop_loss] => 0.1692
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 01:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.4R | -3.574% | 7.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.164% | 0.4R | -3.873% | 8.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.164% | 0.4R | -3.991% | 8.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.164% | 0.4R | -4.730% | 10.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.021% | 2.2R | -4.730% | 10.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.292% | 7.0R | -14.196% | 30.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.292% | 7.0R | -14.196% | 30.2R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.292% | 7.0R | -14.196% | 30.2R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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