Short Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 413.81 WLD at 0.416$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3676 (11.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4353 (4.64 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 23:06:45
hyperliquid
WLD
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 23:06
→ 11:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.416$
Qty 413.8135 WLD
Size 172.1381$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3676 (+11.63%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.4353 (-4.64%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.09%
/ -5.32$
MAE -3.96%
MFE +1.72%
0.4R
expires
29 Oct 11:06
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231616)
#60 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1566
Quality Score
0.493
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 23:00
28/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7204
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.7%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→-0.049
Δ 4h
▼-0.706
Δ 12h
→-0.017
Δ 24h
▼-0.763
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 96.0% |
| 1h | 12.0% |
| 4h | 4.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 96.0% | +0.19% |
| 4h | 10.0% | -4.35% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
80.0%
Expansion
80.0%
Tail ↑
+0.92
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.239
Universe :
50
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 23:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2860
Score SMA
0.3726
Rank
#59
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1077
Rank Norm SMA
0.5094
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3087 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.33% · r3d: -2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.2795% · dist_ema21: -11.189% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2936 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.86% · rs_3d: -4.27% · beta_24h: 2.795 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2083 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.637 · trend: -11.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5225 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4933
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1566
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2833 | r1h: -1.195% · r4h: -5.211% · r1d: -5.76% · r3d: -6.35% · ema21_slope: -0.0452% · dist_ema21: -4.021% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2639 | rs_1h: -1.145% · rs_4h: -3.588% · rs_1d: -4.53% · rs_3d: -6.84% · beta_24h: 2.039 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7228 | rvol_20: 2.37× · zscore_50: 1.953 · trend: 19.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6520 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3916
Score SMA
0.4067
Rank
#63
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0538
Rank Norm SMA
0.2267
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2858 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.166% · r1d: -0.33% · r3d: -2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.3621% · dist_ema21: -1.998% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3111 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.847% · rs_1d: -0.86% · rs_3d: -4.27% · beta_24h: 1.734 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2197 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.653 · trend: -38.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6125 | ADX: 41.5 (trend) · Chop: 67.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9228 | ATR%: 3.232% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.639%
(0.0193)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.202% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.202% | 0.3R | -1.168% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.202% | 0.3R | -1.685% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.724% | 0.4R | -2.442% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.724% | 0.4R | -3.959% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 287 |
| 36h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 431 |
| 48h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 575 |
| 72h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 863 |
⏱ MFE in 1273 min
MAE in 778 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.70 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.48 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.19 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 47% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.41 | 28/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444644
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.622 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 7b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 59% | ↑ +0.16 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #211850 | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.70 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#444540
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.418 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 1b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 27% | ↔ -0.15 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #211850 | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.48 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #445345
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.458 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 5b -1.5ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.92 | 37% | ↔ -0.11 | below_value | -2.44 | inside | #212183 | 0.57 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.19 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:11
|
|
15m
#445623
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.736 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 47% | late 2b -3.3ATR | — | — | 1.03 | 60% | ↑ +0.91 | below_value | -2.44 | — | #212183 | 0.69 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.41 |
28/10 22:45
upd 28/10 23:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.326×ATR | p21 | -1.124×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.434×ATR | p0 | -0.746×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.09×ATR | p81 | -1.549×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.378×ATR | p3 | -3.269×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7291
- reason: down_bo width=2.20×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.43531238
- tp_price: 0.36764906
- atr:
- score: 0.7291016696628
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T15:06:37.102933
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7291016696628
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1948
- obi_top10 : 0.0694
- micro_price : 0.41628663
- spread_pct : 0.024027
- mid_price : 0.41625
- bid_wall_price : 0.412
- bid_wall_size : 1333640.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.42
- ask_wall_size : 1497746.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.117
- obi_top5_std : 0.0577
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6875
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.44284
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.42628
- balance_zone_mid:
0.43456
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793059200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793242800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.201
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
52
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7291
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.42628
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9038
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.369
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00752378 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.9038
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.369
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:06 | 0.41598000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 23:16 | 0.41598000 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 23:25 | 0.41598000 | -0.005% |
| 4 | 01:14 | 0.41907000 | +0.738% |
| 5 | 01:23 | 0.41907000 | +0.738% |
| 6 | 01:34 | 0.41907000 | +0.738% |
| 7 | 01:43 | 0.42092000 | +1.183% |
| 8 | 01:53 | 0.42092000 | +1.183% |
| 9 | 02:04 | 0.42092000 | +1.183% |
| 10 | 02:16 | 0.41776000 | +0.423% |
| 11 | 02:26 | 0.41776000 | +0.423% |
| 12 | 02:37 | 0.41496000 | -0.25% |
| 13 | 02:46 | 0.41496000 | -0.25% |
| 14 | 02:55 | 0.41496000 | -0.25% |
| 15 | 04:39 | 0.41445000 | -0.373% |
| 16 | 04:48 | 0.41445000 | -0.373% |
| 17 | 04:58 | 0.41445000 | -0.373% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6875ms
Confidence avant OB :
73%
→
73%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.195
avg 0.117
± 0.058
OBI Top 10
0.069
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.4163
Micro Price
0.4163
Spread
0.0240%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.4120
Size
1,333,640.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.4200
Size
1,497,746.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.416 | 0.4353 | 0.3676 | 2.51 | 0.2604 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.416
- Stop Loss: 0.4353
- Take Profit: 0.3676
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4353 - 0.416 = 0.0193
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.416 - 0.3676 = 0.0484
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0484 / 0.0193 = 2.5078
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172.1381 | 100 | 413.8135 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0193
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0193 = 414.51
Taille de position USD = 414.51 x 0.416 = 172.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 414.51 avec un stoploss a 0.4353
Avec un position size USD de 172.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 414.51 x 0.0193 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 414.51 x 0.0484 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 414.51
- Taille de position USD 172.44
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5078
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.63 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.64 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.32 $ | -3.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.9591 % | 85.34 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.416 | 0.4353 | 0.3676 | 2.51 | 0.2604 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.416
- Stop Loss: 0.4353
- Take Profit: 0.3676
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4353 - 0.416 = 0.0193
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.416 - 0.3676 = 0.0484
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0484 / 0.0193 = 2.5078
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.639%
(0.0193)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.202% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.202% | 0.3R | -1.168% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.202% | 0.3R | -1.685% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.724% | 0.4R | -2.442% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.724% | 0.4R | -3.959% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 287 |
| 36h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 431 |
| 48h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 575 |
| 72h | +13.397% | 2.9R | -6.695% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 863 |
⏱ MFE in 1273 min
MAE in 778 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
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