Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2643.6 CHIP at 0.048$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04678 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.051 (6.29 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 23:15:16
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 23:15
→ 04:00
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.04798$
Qty 2643.5969 CHIP
Size 126.8292$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04678 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.17$
SL 0.051 (-6.29%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.4
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.17$
MAE -1.04%
MFE +2.53%
0.4R
expires
29 Oct 05:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231658)
#60 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0743
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.35
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 23:02
28/10 23:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7204
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.7%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→-0.049
Δ 4h
▼-0.706
Δ 12h
→-0.017
Δ 24h
▼-0.763
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 96.0% |
| 1h | 12.0% |
| 4h | 4.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 96.0% | +0.19% |
| 4h | 10.0% | -4.35% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
80.0%
Expansion
80.0%
Tail ↑
+0.92
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.239
Universe :
50
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 23:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4457
Score SMA
0.4703
Rank
#12
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8308
Rank Norm SMA
0.7701
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5233 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.26% · r3d: 10.78% · ema21_slope: -0.2695% · dist_ema21: 1.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5396 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.79% · rs_3d: 9.27% · beta_24h: 3.186 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4313 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.279 · trend: 50.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4502 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 61.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.351% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4182
Score SMA
0.5637
Rank
#60
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0743
Rank Norm SMA
0.6136
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2847 | r1h: -0.927% · r4h: -2.490% · r1d: -12.81% · r3d: 12.24% · ema21_slope: -0.4488% · dist_ema21: -4.839% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4183 | rs_1h: -0.877% · rs_4h: -0.867% · rs_1d: -11.58% · rs_3d: 11.75% · beta_24h: 0.835 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4087 | rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.617 · trend: -33.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5826 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.673% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4835
Score SMA
0.5133
Rank
#46
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2692
Rank Norm SMA
0.5201
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6329 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.241% · r1d: -9.21% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: 0.6836% · dist_ema21: -2.168% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4860 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.923% · rs_1d: -9.74% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 0.666 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2518 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.328 · trend: 5.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6705 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2115 | ATR%: 5.366% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.294%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.453% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.453% | 0.2R | -1.040% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.453% | 0.2R | -1.040% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.526% | 0.4R | -1.040% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.526% | 0.4R | -1.311% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.526% | 0.4R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.934% | 2.5R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +15.934% | 2.5R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.934% | 2.5R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1264 min
MAE in 714 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.24 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.45 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.74 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.82 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.29 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.23 | 28/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444767
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.733 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 10b 0.2ATR | — | — | 1.15 | 86% | ↔ -0.10 | value | -1.59 | — | #211893 | — | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.24 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#444692
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.584 | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 3b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.27 | 57% | ↔ +0.06 | value | -1.59 | — | #211893 | 0.45 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.74 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
1h
anchor #445742
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.602 | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 6b -2.0ATR | — | — | 1.41 | 86% | ↓ -0.32 | below_value | -2.95 | — | #212368 | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.82 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 23:12
|
|
15m
#445670
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.606 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 27b -2.1ATR | — | — | 1.80 | 72% | ↑ +0.30 | value | -2.01 | — | #212226 | 0.29 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.23 |
28/10 22:45
upd 28/10 23:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.497×ATR | p0 | +0.152×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 3.124×ATR | p37 | -0.386×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 1.806×ATR | p23 | -2.029×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 4.927×ATR | p87 | -2.117×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.05100218
- tp_price: 0.0467766
- atr: 0.00121047
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T09:15:16+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 67
- score: 0.2572
- delta_2h: -0.0907
- extension_atr: -1.77
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.075
- confidence: 0.939
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:15 | 0.04797600 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 00:15 | 0.04751800 | -0.963% |
| 3 | 01:15 | 0.04812100 | +0.294% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04798 | 0.051 | 0.04678 | 0.4 | 0.02778 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04798
- Stop Loss: 0.051
- Take Profit: 0.04678
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.051 - 0.04798 = 0.00302
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04798 - 0.04678 = 0.0012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0012 / 0.00302 = 0.3974
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.8292 | 100 | 2643.5969 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00302
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00302 = 2649.01
Taille de position USD = 2649.01 x 0.04798 = 127.1
Donc, tu peux acheter 2649.01 avec un stoploss a 0.051
Avec un position size USD de 127.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2649.01 x 0.00302 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2649.01 x 0.0012 = 3.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.18$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2649.01
- Taille de position USD 127.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.18
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3974
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.29 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.17 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.04 % | 16.52 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04798 | 0.051 | 0.04678 | 0.4 | 0.02778 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04798
- Stop Loss: 0.051
- Take Profit: 0.04678
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.051 - 0.04798 = 0.00302
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04798 - 0.04678 = 0.0012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0012 / 0.00302 = 0.3974
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.294%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.453% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.453% | 0.2R | -1.040% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.453% | 0.2R | -1.040% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.526% | 0.4R | -1.040% | 0.2R | 2.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.526% | 0.4R | -1.311% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.526% | 0.4R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.934% | 2.5R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +15.934% | 2.5R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.934% | 2.5R | -9.975% | 1.6R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1264 min
MAE in 714 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.