29 Oct 2026 at 00:13:17 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SKR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 22671.24 SKR at 0.0141$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01317 (6.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01441 (2.49 %)

SKR SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 00:13 → 10:35 · 10 hours

Position

Entry 0.01406$

Qty 22671.2387 SKR

Size 318.6896$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01317 (+6.33%)

TP $ 20.18$

SL 0.01441 (-2.49%)

SL $ 7.93$

RR 2.54

Status loss PnL -2.49% / -7.93$ MAE -4.52% MFE +1.07% 0.4R expires 29 Oct 12:13

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231731)
#33 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5301

Quality Score
0.470
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#33 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#33 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.67×ATR
4h clear 2.62×ATR
1d clear 5.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 00:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

28/10 22:00

Score : +5 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7208
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 7.3%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.001
Δ 1h
→+0.007
Δ 4h
▼-0.323
Δ 12h
▼-0.106
Δ 24h
▼-0.720

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 32.0%
1h 8.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 6.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% -0.04%
4h 14.0% -4.24%
24h 16.0% -3.94%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
80.0%
Expansion
80.0%
Tail ↑
+1.01
Tail ↓
+0.54
Dispersion : 0.204
Universe : 50 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 00:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3273
Score SMA
0.3657
Rank
#39 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4154
Rank Norm SMA
0.5633
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2356 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.58% · r3d: 1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.6967% · dist_ema21: -6.433%
Force Relative 25% 0.3797 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.05% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: 1.504
Volume 20% 0.5838 rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 1.185 · trend: 36.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.2997 ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 76.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4699
Score SMA
0.5323
Rank
#33 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5301
Rank Norm SMA
0.5470
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3559 r1h: -1.151% · r4h: -3.256% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -0.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0293% · dist_ema21: -2.100%
Force Relative 25% 0.3989 rs_1h: -1.031% · rs_4h: -1.434% · rs_1d: -1.61% · rs_3d: -0.98% · beta_24h: 1.981
Volume 20% 0.3245 rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.258 · trend: 33.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6499 ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 44.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.388% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4967
Score SMA
0.5081
Rank
#23 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5261
Rank Norm SMA
0.6259
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3076 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.256% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -0.63% · ema21_slope: -0.0009% · dist_ema21: -1.799%
Force Relative 25% 0.4218 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.434% · rs_1d: -1.61% · rs_3d: -0.98% · beta_24h: 1.997
Volume 20% 0.6138 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.674 · trend: 51.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4995 ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.489% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.558% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.558% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +1.067% 0.4R -1.558% 0.6R 0.7× 48
8h +1.067% 0.4R -1.558% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h ★ +1.067% 0.4R -4.516% 1.8R 0.2× 144
24h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 288
36h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 432
48h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 576
72h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1216 min MAE in 761 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% late — — — bull_high +4.55% -0.82 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early — near -0.9ATR 0.39 range_high -0.37% +0.12 28/10 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -0.7ATR — 0.50 bear_medium_confirmed -0.98% -0.00 28/10 22:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 50% mid — — 0.57 bear_low -1.16% -0.15 28/10 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444765
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.610 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% late 36b -0.7ATR — — 2.28 96% ↑ +0.83 above_value +2.32 — #211892 — bull_high +4.55% -0.82
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#444688
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.526 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 36% early 9b 0.6ATR — near -0.9ATR 0.76 84% ↑ +0.16 above_value +2.32 — #211892 0.39 range_high -0.37% +0.12
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:23
1h anchor
#445741
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.648 expansion_after_compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 38% mid 6b -0.9ATR near -0.7ATR — 2.40 100% ↔ +0.03 above_value +0.29 — #212367 0.50 bear_medium_confirmed -0.98% -0.00
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 23:12
15m
#446035
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.400 expansion bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 50% mid 6b -1.8ATR — — 0.36 29% ↑ +0.85 above_value +0.29 — #212367 0.57 bear_low -1.16% -0.15
28/10 23:45
upd 29/10 00:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 36b — 9.479×ATR p87 -0.692×ATR p42
4h ↑ up early 9b — 2.943×ATR p41 +0.579×ATR p36
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 3.011×ATR p51 -0.853×ATR p40
15m ↓ down mid 6b — 2.341×ATR p37 -1.83×ATR p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8636
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.71×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.01440987
  5. tp_price: 0.01317482
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86356211245402
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T16:13:09.365752
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86356211245402
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0234
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1756
  15. micro_price : 0.01406641
  16. spread_pct : 0.128123
  17. mid_price : 0.014058
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0133
  19. bid_wall_size : 2306871
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0369
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0081
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6838
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.014644
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.0141385
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.01439125
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793134800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793246400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.7144
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    32
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8636
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793242800
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.0141385
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.875
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4376
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00018623
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.875
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4376

Signaux confirmants (24)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 00:13 0.01405700 -0.021%
2 00:23 0.01405700 -0.021%
3 00:32 0.01405700 -0.021%
4 00:42 0.01410100 +0.292%
5 00:50 0.01410100 +0.292%
6 01:00 0.01410100 +0.292%
7 02:12 0.01412100 +0.434%
8 02:23 0.01412100 +0.434%
9 02:33 0.01412100 +0.434%
10 02:43 0.01405200 -0.057%
11 02:52 0.01405200 -0.057%
12 03:02 0.01405200 -0.057%
13 03:13 0.01397900 -0.576%
14 03:22 0.01397900 -0.576%
15 03:33 0.01397900 -0.576%
16 03:42 0.01400800 -0.37%
17 03:51 0.01400800 -0.37%
18 04:02 0.01400800 -0.37%
19 04:15 0.01401100 -0.349%
20 04:25 0.01401100 -0.349%
21 04:36 0.01401100 -0.349%
22 04:45 0.01402600 -0.242%
23 04:54 0.01402600 -0.242%
24 05:05 0.01402600 -0.242%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6838ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.023
avg 0.037 ± 0.008
OBI Top 10 0.176

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0141
Micro Price
0.0141
Spread
0.1281%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0133
Size
2,306,871.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01406 0.01441 0.01317 2.54 0.008874
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01406
  • Stop Loss: 0.01441
  • Take Profit: 0.01317

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01441 - 0.01406 = 0.00035

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01406 - 0.01317 = 0.00089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00089 / 0.00035 = 2.5429

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
318.6896 100 22671.2387 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00035

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00035 = 22857.14

Taille de position USD = 22857.14 x 0.01406 = 321.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 22857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.01441

Avec un position size USD de 321.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22857.14 x 0.00035 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22857.14 x 0.00089 = 20.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.34$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22857.14
  • Taille de position USD 321.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.34
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5429

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.33 % 20.18 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.49 % 7.93 $
PNL PNL %
-7.93 $ -2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8947 % 116.29 % 17
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01406 0.01441 0.01317 2.54 0.008874
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01406
  • Stop Loss: 0.01441
  • Take Profit: 0.01317

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01441 - 0.01406 = 0.00035

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01406 - 0.01317 = 0.00089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00089 / 0.00035 = 2.5429

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.489% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.558% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.558% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +1.067% 0.4R -1.558% 0.6R 0.7× 48
8h +1.067% 0.4R -1.558% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h ★ +1.067% 0.4R -4.516% 1.8R 0.2× 144
24h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 288
36h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 432
48h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 576
72h +10.676% 4.3R -4.794% 1.9R 2.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1216 min MAE in 761 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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