Short Trade on SKR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 22671.24 SKR at 0.0141$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01317 (6.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01441 (2.49 %)
Short Trade on SKR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 22671.24 SKR at 0.0141$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01317 (6.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01441 (2.49 %)
Position
Entry 0.01406$
Qty 22671.2387 SKR
Size 318.6896$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01317 (+6.33%)
TP $ 20.18$
SL 0.01441 (-2.49%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2.54
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5301
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.62×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/10 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 32.0% |
| 1h | 8.0% |
| 4h | 2.0% |
| 24h | 6.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 14.0% | -4.24% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.94% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2356 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.58% · r3d: 1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.6967% · dist_ema21: -6.433% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3797 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.05% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: 1.504 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5838 | rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 1.185 · trend: 36.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2997 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 76.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3559 | r1h: -1.151% · r4h: -3.256% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -0.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0293% · dist_ema21: -2.100% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3989 | rs_1h: -1.031% · rs_4h: -1.434% · rs_1d: -1.61% · rs_3d: -0.98% · beta_24h: 1.981 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3245 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.258 · trend: 33.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6499 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.388% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3076 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.256% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -0.63% · ema21_slope: -0.0009% · dist_ema21: -1.799% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4218 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.434% · rs_1d: -1.61% · rs_3d: -0.98% · beta_24h: 1.997 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6138 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.674 · trend: 51.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4995 | ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.067% | 0.4R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.067% | 0.4R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.067% | 0.4R | -4.516% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | — | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.82 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.39 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.12 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.00 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_low | -1.16% | -0.15 | 28/10 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444765
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.610 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 36b -0.7ATR | — | — | 2.28 | 96% | ↑ +0.83 | above_value | +2.32 | — | #211892 | — | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.82 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#444688
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.526 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 9b 0.6ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.76 | 84% | ↑ +0.16 | above_value | +2.32 | — | #211892 | 0.39 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.12 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
1h
anchor #445741
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.648 | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 6b -0.9ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 2.40 | 100% | ↔ +0.03 | above_value | +0.29 | — | #212367 | 0.50 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.00 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 23:12
|
|
15m
#446035
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.400 | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 6b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 29% | ↑ +0.85 | above_value | +0.29 | — | #212367 | 0.57 | bear_low | -1.16% | -0.15 |
28/10 23:45
upd 29/10 00:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 9.479×ATR | p87 | -0.692×ATR | p42 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.943×ATR | p41 | +0.579×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.011×ATR | p51 | -0.853×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.341×ATR | p37 | -1.83×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.014644
0.0141385
0.01439125
1793134800
1793246400
2.7144
32
0.8636
1793242800
0.0141385
0.875
1
0.4376
0
8
7
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (24)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:13 | 0.01405700 | -0.021% |
| 2 | 00:23 | 0.01405700 | -0.021% |
| 3 | 00:32 | 0.01405700 | -0.021% |
| 4 | 00:42 | 0.01410100 | +0.292% |
| 5 | 00:50 | 0.01410100 | +0.292% |
| 6 | 01:00 | 0.01410100 | +0.292% |
| 7 | 02:12 | 0.01412100 | +0.434% |
| 8 | 02:23 | 0.01412100 | +0.434% |
| 9 | 02:33 | 0.01412100 | +0.434% |
| 10 | 02:43 | 0.01405200 | -0.057% |
| 11 | 02:52 | 0.01405200 | -0.057% |
| 12 | 03:02 | 0.01405200 | -0.057% |
| 13 | 03:13 | 0.01397900 | -0.576% |
| 14 | 03:22 | 0.01397900 | -0.576% |
| 15 | 03:33 | 0.01397900 | -0.576% |
| 16 | 03:42 | 0.01400800 | -0.37% |
| 17 | 03:51 | 0.01400800 | -0.37% |
| 18 | 04:02 | 0.01400800 | -0.37% |
| 19 | 04:15 | 0.01401100 | -0.349% |
| 20 | 04:25 | 0.01401100 | -0.349% |
| 21 | 04:36 | 0.01401100 | -0.349% |
| 22 | 04:45 | 0.01402600 | -0.242% |
| 23 | 04:54 | 0.01402600 | -0.242% |
| 24 | 05:05 | 0.01402600 | -0.242% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01406 | 0.01441 | 0.01317 | 2.54 | 0.008874 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01441 - 0.01406 = 0.00035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01406 - 0.01317 = 0.00089
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00089 / 0.00035 = 2.5429
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 318.6896 | 100 | 22671.2387 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00035 = 22857.14
Taille de position USD = 22857.14 x 0.01406 = 321.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 22857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.01441
Avec un position size USD de 321.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 22857.14 x 0.00035 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 22857.14 x 0.00089 = 20.34
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.34$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.33 % | 20.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8947 % | 116.29 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01406 | 0.01441 | 0.01317 | 2.54 | 0.008874 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01441 - 0.01406 = 0.00035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01406 - 0.01317 = 0.00089
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00089 / 0.00035 = 2.5429
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.067% | 0.4R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.067% | 0.4R | -1.558% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.067% | 0.4R | -4.516% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.676% | 4.3R | -4.794% | 1.9R | 2.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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