Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6.85 VVV at 23.373$ per unit. Take profit: 22.7887 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 24.5405 (5 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 00:15:07
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 00:15
→ 06:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 23.373$
Qty 6.8522 VVV
Size 160.156$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 22.7887 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4$
SL 24.5405 (-5%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.83%
/ -1.32$
MAE -1.66%
MFE +0.28%
0.1R
expires
29 Oct 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231715)
#67 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 00:00
score du 29/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0832
Quality Score
0.398
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#67 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#67 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.70×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.24
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 00:02
29/10 00:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/10 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7208
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.001
Δ 1h
→+0.007
Δ 4h
▼-0.323
Δ 12h
▼-0.106
Δ 24h
▼-0.720
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.0% |
| 1h | 8.0% |
| 4h | 2.0% |
| 24h | 6.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 14.0% | -4.24% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.94% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
80.0%
Expansion
80.0%
Tail ↑
+1.01
Tail ↓
+0.54
Dispersion :
0.204
Universe :
50
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 00:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3295
Score SMA
0.4234
Rank
#38
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4308
Rank Norm SMA
0.7238
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4504 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -3.71% · ema21_slope: 0.1970% · dist_ema21: -2.873% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2728 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.73% · rs_3d: -5.22% · beta_24h: 2.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2367 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.560 · trend: -21.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5256 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.923% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3976
Score SMA
0.5172
Rank
#67
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0832
Rank Norm SMA
0.4782
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2695 | r1h: 1.055% · r4h: -3.932% · r1d: -7.39% · r3d: -4.95% · ema21_slope: -0.1977% · dist_ema21: -3.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3881 | rs_1h: 1.175% · rs_4h: -2.111% · rs_1d: -5.82% · rs_3d: -5.29% · beta_24h: 1.318 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2481 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.792 · trend: 25.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7203 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.125% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3553
Score SMA
0.5118
Rank
#65
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1259
Rank Norm SMA
0.6187
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2753 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.932% · r1d: -7.39% · r3d: -4.95% · ema21_slope: -0.0889% · dist_ema21: -5.835% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2727 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.111% · rs_1d: -5.82% · rs_3d: -5.29% · beta_24h: 2.186 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4313 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 0.196 · trend: 2.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5912 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6192 | ATR%: 4.143% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.995%
(1.1675)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.034% | 0.0R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 0.0R | -1.395% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -1.395% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.282% | 0.1R | -1.656% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -2.550% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.828% | 1.4R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.828% | 1.4R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.828% | 1.4R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1274 min
MAE in 709 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.57 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.27 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.39 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_low | -1.16% | -0.14 | 28/10 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444733
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.551 | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 10b -0.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.73 | 64% | ↓ -0.21 | below_value | -4.59 | — | #211876 | 0.38 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.57 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#444622
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.473 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b -0.7ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 1.02 | 55% | ↑ +0.38 | below_value | -4.59 | — | #211876 | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.27 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:19
|
|
1h
anchor #445724
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.519 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 6b -2.1ATR | — | — | 3.95 | 98% | ↓ -0.24 | below_value | -6.86 | — | #212350 | 0.51 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.39 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#446018
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.297 | normal | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid 6b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.15 | 23% | ↑ +0.66 | below_value | -6.86 | — | #212350 | 0.54 | bear_low | -1.16% | -0.14 |
28/10 23:45
upd 29/10 00:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.346×ATR | p0 | -0.306×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.336×ATR | p25 | -0.722×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.475×ATR | p74 | -2.146×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.419×ATR | p50 | -0.888×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 24.54051185
- tp_price: 22.788675
- atr: 0.46700474
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T10:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 67
- total: 70
- score: 0.2222
- delta_2h: -0.0301
- extension_atr: -1.27
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0723
- confidence: 0.957
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.373 | 24.5405 | 22.7887 | 0.5 | 19.839 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 23.373
- Stop Loss: 24.5405
- Take Profit: 22.7887
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 24.5405 - 23.373 = 1.1675
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 23.373 - 22.7887 = 0.5843
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5843 / 1.1675 = 0.5005
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160.156 | 100 | 6.8522 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.1675
Taille de position = 8 / 1.1675 = 6.85
Taille de position USD = 6.85 x 23.373 = 160.11
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.85 avec un stoploss a 24.5405
Avec un position size USD de 160.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.85 x 1.1675 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.85 x 0.5843 = 4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 6.85
- Taille de position USD 160.11
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5005
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.32 $ | -0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6558 % | 33.15 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.373 | 24.5405 | 22.7887 | 0.5 | 19.839 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 23.373
- Stop Loss: 24.5405
- Take Profit: 22.7887
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 24.5405 - 23.373 = 1.1675
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 23.373 - 22.7887 = 0.5843
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5843 / 1.1675 = 0.5005
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.995%
(1.1675)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.034% | 0.0R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.184% | 0.0R | -1.395% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -1.395% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.282% | 0.1R | -1.656% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -2.550% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.828% | 1.4R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.828% | 1.4R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.828% | 1.4R | -11.004% | 2.2R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1274 min
MAE in 709 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.