29 Oct 2026 at 01:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5.24 DASH at 51.36$ per unit. Take profit: 50.076 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 52.887 (2.97 %)

DASH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 01:15 → 07:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 51.36$

Qty 5.239 DASH

Size 269.0741$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 50.076 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.73$

SL 52.887 (-2.97%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.84

Status win PnL +1.43% / +3.85$ MAE -1.14% MFE +2.14% 0.7R expires 29 Oct 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231870)
#48 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3163

Quality Score
0.461
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#48 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#48 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.24×ATR
4h near 0.07×ATR
1d clear 1.42×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-3.22
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 01:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 00:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7212
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical bear

0.55

early_expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 9.3%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.020
Δ 4h
▼-0.289
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.605

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 78.0%
1h 74.0%
4h 6.0%
24h 10.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 76.0% +0.07%
4h 14.0% -3.22%
24h 16.0% -3.28%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
64.0%
Expansion
66.0%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion : 0.173
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 01:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3740
Score SMA
0.4064
Rank
#25 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6308
Rank Norm SMA
0.6251
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4807 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: 1.100%
Force Relative 25% 0.4433 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: 1.61% · beta_24h: 1.202
Volume 20% 0.2701 rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -21.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4332 ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 63.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4610
Score SMA
0.5542
Rank
#48 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3163
Rank Norm SMA
0.6197
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2799 r1h: -0.698% · r4h: -3.872% · r1d: -6.82% · r3d: -0.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1283% · dist_ema21: -3.485%
Force Relative 25% 0.3156 rs_1h: -1.187% · rs_4h: -2.828% · rs_1d: -5.91% · rs_3d: -0.26% · beta_24h: 1.042
Volume 20% 0.5548 rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 0.491 · trend: 79.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7092 ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.256% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5593
Score SMA
0.5903
Rank
#11 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6891
Rank Norm SMA
0.8068
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4303 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.018% · r1d: -6.35% · r3d: 2.34% · ema21_slope: 0.1838% · dist_ema21: -3.274%
Force Relative 25% 0.4406 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.197% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: 2.00% · beta_24h: 1.463
Volume 20% 0.7529 rvol_20: 2.48× · zscore_50: 1.711 · trend: 41.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4634 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.973% (1.5270)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.471% 0.2R -1.141% 0.4R 0.4× 12
2h +1.143% 0.4R -1.141% 0.4R 1.0× 24
4h +1.750% 0.6R -1.141% 0.4R 1.5× 48
6h ★ +2.142% 0.7R -1.141% 0.4R 1.9× 72
8h +2.704% 0.9R -1.141% 0.4R 2.4× 96
12h +2.704% 0.9R -1.895% 0.6R 1.4× 144
24h +11.700% 3.9R -2.220% 0.8R 5.3× 288
48h +11.700% 3.9R -2.220% 0.8R 5.3× 576
72h +11.700% 3.9R -2.220% 0.8R 5.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1144 min MAE in 724 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 28% early — — 0.53 bull_high +4.55% +0.58 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.56 bear_high -2.15% -0.05 28/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 48% late near 0.2ATR — 0.55 range_medium -0.58% -0.40 29/10 00:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_medium
53%
ranging_calm 55% late — — 0.40 range_low -0.60% -0.34 29/10 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444763
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.558 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 28% early 13b 0.3ATR — — 1.30 66% ↑ +0.64 above_value +0.95 — #211891 0.53 bull_high +4.55% +0.58
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#446199
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.644 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% mid 11b -1.3ATR near 0.1ATR — 2.48 96% ↑ +0.58 below_value -2.76 — #212508 0.56 bear_high -2.15% -0.05
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:19
1h anchor
#446543
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.604 expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 48% late 7b -2.9ATR near 0.2ATR — 1.43 84% ↑ +0.54 below_value -3.15 — #212721 0.55 range_medium -0.58% -0.40
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:11
15m
#446471
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.510 volatile_reversal bear_medium
53%
ranging_calm 55% late 7b -2.0ATR — — 0.03 8% ↑ +0.83 below_value -2.76 — #212508 0.40 range_low -0.60% -0.34
29/10 00:45
upd 29/10 01:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 13b — 2.177×ATR p0 +0.289×ATR p21
4h ↓ down mid 11b — 2.943×ATR p25 -1.261×ATR p71
1h ↓ down late 7b — 4.662×ATR p82 -2.909×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 7b — 2.325×ATR p40 -1.951×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 52.88701431
  2. tp_price: 50.076
  3. atr: 0.61080572
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T11:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 66
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.2648
  4. delta_2h: -0.1127
  5. extension_atr: -2.52
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.309
  9. confidence: 0.942

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
51.36 52.887 50.076 0.84 36.917
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 51.36
  • Stop Loss: 52.887
  • Take Profit: 50.076

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 52.887 - 51.36 = 1.527

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 51.36 - 50.076 = 1.284

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.284 / 1.527 = 0.8409

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
269.0741 100 5.239 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.527

Taille de position = 8 / 1.527 = 5.24

Taille de position USD = 5.24 x 51.36 = 269.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.24 avec un stoploss a 52.887

Avec un position size USD de 269.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.24 x 1.527 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.24 x 1.284 = 6.73

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.73$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.24
  • Taille de position USD 269.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.73
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8409

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.73 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.85 $ 1.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.141 % 38.38 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
51.36 52.887 50.076 0.84 36.917
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 51.36
  • Stop Loss: 52.887
  • Take Profit: 50.076

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 52.887 - 51.36 = 1.527

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 51.36 - 50.076 = 1.284

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.284 / 1.527 = 0.8409

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.973% (1.5270)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.471% 0.2R -1.141% 0.4R 0.4× 12
2h +1.143% 0.4R -1.141% 0.4R 1.0× 24
4h +1.750% 0.6R -1.141% 0.4R 1.5× 48
6h ★ +2.142% 0.7R -1.141% 0.4R 1.9× 72
8h +2.704% 0.9R -1.141% 0.4R 2.4× 96
12h +2.704% 0.9R -1.895% 0.6R 1.4× 144
24h +11.700% 3.9R -2.220% 0.8R 5.3× 288
48h +11.700% 3.9R -2.220% 0.8R 5.3× 576
72h +11.700% 3.9R -2.220% 0.8R 5.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1144 min MAE in 724 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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