Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5.24 DASH at 51.36$ per unit. Take profit: 50.076 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 52.887 (2.97 %)
Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5.24 DASH at 51.36$ per unit. Take profit: 50.076 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 52.887 (2.97 %)
Position
Entry 51.36$
Qty 5.239 DASH
Size 269.0741$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 50.076 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.73$
SL 52.887 (-2.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.84
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3163
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 78.0% |
| 1h | 74.0% |
| 4h | 6.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 76.0% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 14.0% | -3.22% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.28% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4807 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: 3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: 1.100% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4433 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: 1.61% · beta_24h: 1.202 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2701 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -21.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4332 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 63.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2799 | r1h: -0.698% · r4h: -3.872% · r1d: -6.82% · r3d: -0.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1283% · dist_ema21: -3.485% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3156 | rs_1h: -1.187% · rs_4h: -2.828% · rs_1d: -5.91% · rs_3d: -0.26% · beta_24h: 1.042 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5548 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 0.491 · trend: 79.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7092 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.256% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4303 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.018% · r1d: -6.35% · r3d: 2.34% · ema21_slope: 0.1838% · dist_ema21: -3.274% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4406 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.197% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: 2.00% · beta_24h: 1.463 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7529 | rvol_20: 2.48× · zscore_50: 1.711 · trend: 41.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4634 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.471% | 0.2R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.143% | 0.4R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.750% | 0.6R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.142% | 0.7R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.704% | 0.9R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.704% | 0.9R | -1.895% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.700% | 3.9R | -2.220% | 0.8R | 5.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.700% | 3.9R | -2.220% | 0.8R | 5.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.700% | 3.9R | -2.220% | 0.8R | 5.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 28% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.58 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.05 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.40 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
53%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.34 | 29/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444763
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.558 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 28% | early 13b 0.3ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 66% | ↑ +0.64 | above_value | +0.95 | — | #211891 | 0.53 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.58 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#446199
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.644 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 11b -1.3ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 2.48 | 96% | ↑ +0.58 | below_value | -2.76 | — | #212508 | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.05 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor #446543
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.604 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 7b -2.9ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.43 | 84% | ↑ +0.54 | below_value | -3.15 | — | #212721 | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.40 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:11
|
|
15m
#446471
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.510 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
53%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late 7b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 8% | ↑ +0.83 | below_value | -2.76 | — | #212508 | 0.40 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.34 |
29/10 00:45
upd 29/10 01:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.177×ATR | p0 | +0.289×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.943×ATR | p25 | -1.261×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.662×ATR | p82 | -2.909×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 2.325×ATR | p40 | -1.951×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.36 | 52.887 | 50.076 | 0.84 | 36.917 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 52.887 - 51.36 = 1.527
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 51.36 - 50.076 = 1.284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.284 / 1.527 = 0.8409
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 269.0741 | 100 | 5.239 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.527 = 5.24
Taille de position USD = 5.24 x 51.36 = 269.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.24 avec un stoploss a 52.887
Avec un position size USD de 269.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.24 x 1.527 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.24 x 1.284 = 6.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.73$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.85 $ | 1.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.141 % | 38.38 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.36 | 52.887 | 50.076 | 0.84 | 36.917 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 52.887 - 51.36 = 1.527
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 51.36 - 50.076 = 1.284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.284 / 1.527 = 0.8409
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.471% | 0.2R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.143% | 0.4R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.750% | 0.6R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.142% | 0.7R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.704% | 0.9R | -1.141% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.704% | 0.9R | -1.895% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.700% | 3.9R | -2.220% | 0.8R | 5.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.700% | 3.9R | -2.220% | 0.8R | 5.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.700% | 3.9R | -2.220% | 0.8R | 5.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.