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Short Trade on LIT

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29 Oct 2026 at 02:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 53.6 LIT at 2.845$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9943 (5.25 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.845$

Qty 53.5986 LIT

Size 152.4879$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 152.49$

SL 2.9943 (-5.25%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.67% / -2.55$ MAE -1.90% MFE +1.25% 0.2R expires 29 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231938)
#66 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1424

Quality Score
0.451
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#66 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -1.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.71
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
21.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 02:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

28/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7216
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 53.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.440
Δ 4h
▲+0.418
Δ 12h
▲+0.306
Δ 24h
→+0.033

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 32.0%
1h 92.0%
4h 78.0%
24h 20.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 32.0% -0.06%
4h 66.0% +0.71%
24h 24.0% -1.80%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.101
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 02:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1512
Score SMA
0.2627
Rank
#66 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1920
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0652 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.75% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: -0.6839% · dist_ema21: -11.818%
Force Relative 25% 0.1308 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -8.88% · beta_24h: 2.599
Volume 20% 0.1244 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -1.135 · trend: -52.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4939 ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4508
Score SMA
0.4814
Rank
#66 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1424
Rank Norm SMA
0.3281
Calculé le
29/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3551 r1h: 1.508% · r4h: 1.918% · r1d: -5.85% · r3d: -8.39% · ema21_slope: -0.2306% · dist_ema21: -2.468%
Force Relative 25% 0.4653 rs_1h: 1.535% · rs_4h: 1.627% · rs_1d: -5.03% · rs_3d: -8.36% · beta_24h: 2.625
Volume 20% 0.2364 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.630 · trend: 8.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6824 ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 29.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.929% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3792
Score SMA
0.4335
Rank
#62 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0657
Rank Norm SMA
0.3120
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1110 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.487% · r1d: -7.55% · r3d: -7.65% · ema21_slope: -0.3015% · dist_ema21: -7.639%
Force Relative 25% 0.1780 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.666% · rs_1d: -5.99% · rs_3d: -7.99% · beta_24h: 2.744
Volume 20% 0.7705 rvol_20: 3.04× · zscore_50: 0.813 · trend: 37.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5454 ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6549 ATR%: 4.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.248% (0.1493)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.397% 0.1R -0.851% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.251% 0.2R -0.879% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.251% 0.2R -1.902% 0.4R 0.7× 36
4h +1.251% 0.2R -2.482% 0.5R 0.5× 48
8h +1.251% 0.2R -13.954% 2.7R 0.1× 96
12h +1.251% 0.2R -17.961% 3.4R 0.1× 144
24h +9.803% 1.9R -17.961% 3.4R 0.6× 288
48h +9.803% 1.9R -17.961% 3.4R 0.6× 576
72h +9.803% 1.9R -17.961% 3.4R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1084 min MAE in 594 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -1.6ATR — 0.42 bull_high +4.55% -0.96 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.46 bear_high -2.15% -0.84 28/10 20:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 48% early — — 0.56 range_medium -0.60% -0.54 29/10 01:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% early — near -1.0ATR 0.69 range_low -0.58% -0.06 29/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444759
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.505 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% mid 7b -1.3ATR near -1.6ATR — 0.60 33% ↔ -0.06 value -2.70 — #211889 0.42 bull_high +4.55% -0.96
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#446193
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.732 expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 41% late 24b -2.3ATR — — 3.04 88% ↑ +0.28 below_value -4.54 inside #212506 0.46 bear_high -2.15% -0.84
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:19
1h anchor
#446907
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.393 expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 48% early 3b -1.1ATR — — 0.18 7% ↑ +0.34 below_value -4.48 inside #212861 0.56 range_medium -0.60% -0.54
29/10 01:00
upd 29/10 02:13
15m
#446835
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.570 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% early 6b 0.4ATR — near -1.0ATR 0.21 49% ↓ -0.91 below_value -4.85 — #212719 0.69 range_low -0.58% -0.06
29/10 01:45
upd 29/10 02:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 7b — 3.141×ATR p30 -1.257×ATR p68
4h ↓ down late 24b — 4.306×ATR p64 -2.269×ATR p95
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.786×ATR p7 -1.148×ATR p58
15m ↑ up early 6b — 3×ATR p48 +0.439×ATR p27

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.99425772
  2. atr: 0.04975257
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-29T09:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 67
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.3248
  4. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.845 2.9943 2.8721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.845
  • Stop Loss: 2.9943
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.9943 - 2.845 = 0.1493

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.845 - = 2.845

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.845 / 0.1493 = 19.0556

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
152.4879 100 53.5986 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1493

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1493 = 53.58

Taille de position USD = 53.58 x 2.845 = 152.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 53.58 avec un stoploss a 2.9943

Avec un position size USD de 152.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 53.58 x 0.1493 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 53.58 x 2.845 = 152.44

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 152.44$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 53.58
  • Taille de position USD 152.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 152.44
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 19.0556

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 152.49 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.55 $ -1.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9016 % 36.24 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.845 2.9943 2.8721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.845
  • Stop Loss: 2.9943
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.9943 - 2.845 = 0.1493

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.845 - = 2.845

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.845 / 0.1493 = 19.0556

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.845
            [stop_loss] => 3.00923
            [rr_ratio] => 17.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.845
            [stop_loss] => 3.02416
            [rr_ratio] => 15.88
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.845
            [stop_loss] => 3.03909
            [rr_ratio] => 14.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 2.845
            [stop_loss] => 3.06895
            [rr_ratio] => 12.7
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 10:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.248% (0.1493)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.397% 0.1R -0.851% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.251% 0.2R -0.879% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.251% 0.2R -1.902% 0.4R 0.7× 36
4h +1.251% 0.2R -2.482% 0.5R 0.5× 48
8h +1.251% 0.2R -13.954% 2.7R 0.1× 96
12h +1.251% 0.2R -17.961% 3.4R 0.1× 144
24h +9.803% 1.9R -17.961% 3.4R 0.6× 288
48h +9.803% 1.9R -17.961% 3.4R 0.6× 576
72h +9.803% 1.9R -17.961% 3.4R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1084 min MAE in 594 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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