Short Trade on APT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 308.06 APT at 0.659$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6423 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6848 (3.95 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 03:15:08
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 03:15
→ 09:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6588$
Qty 308.0609 APT
Size 202.9505$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6423 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.08$
SL 0.6848 (-3.95%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.63
Status
loss
PnL
-3.73%
/ -7.58$
MAE -3.73%
MFE +1.09%
0.3R
expires
29 Oct 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231964)
#65 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 03:00
score du 29/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1877
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 4.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.10×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.24
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 03:00
29/10 03:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7220
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.100
Δ 4h
▲+0.367
Δ 12h
→-0.006
Δ 24h
▼-0.063
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.0% |
| 1h | 14.0% |
| 4h | 62.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 56.0% | +0.24% |
| 24h | 20.0% | -2.59% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.23
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 03:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2910
Score SMA
0.2957
Rank
#56
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1538
Rank Norm SMA
0.2693
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3299 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5510% · dist_ema21: -7.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3598 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: 2.929 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1369 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -1.076 · trend: -43.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4982 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4182
Score SMA
0.4841
Rank
#65
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1877
Rank Norm SMA
0.3294
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2999 | r1h: -1.435% · r4h: -0.663% · r1d: -4.89% · r3d: -4.60% · ema21_slope: -0.0921% · dist_ema21: -3.306% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3558 | rs_1h: -1.105% · rs_4h: -0.673% · rs_1d: -3.79% · rs_3d: -4.42% · beta_24h: 2.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1808 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.666 · trend: -31.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6873 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3920
Score SMA
0.4258
Rank
#58
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2023
Rank Norm SMA
0.2700
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1570 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.501% · r1d: -5.28% · r3d: -4.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1724% · dist_ema21: -5.156% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2539 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.680% · rs_1d: -3.72% · rs_3d: -4.98% · beta_24h: 2.308 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3882 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: -9.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6916 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.990% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.947%
(0.0260)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -0.167% | 0.0R | 6.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -1.305% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -2.823% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.093% | 0.3R | -3.734% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -5.571% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +12.629% | 3.2R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.629% | 3.2R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.629% | 3.2R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 1.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1024 min
MAE in 529 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.52 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.37 | 29/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.16 | 29/10 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444636
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.586 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 17b -1.0ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.45 | 50% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +0.35 | — | #211848 | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#446077
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.749 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 1b -1.9ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 43% | ↔ +0.04 | above_value | -3.09 | — | #212461 | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.52 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #447231
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.591 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 1b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.37 | 32% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | -3.38 | inside | #212958 | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.37 |
29/10 02:00
upd 29/10 03:09
|
|
15m
#447159
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.727 | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 6b -2.4ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.74 | 60% | ↓ -0.67 | above_value | -2.52 | — | #212816 | 0.72 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.16 |
29/10 02:45
upd 29/10 03:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.273×ATR | p65 | -1.016×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.009×ATR | p31 | -1.941×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.473×ATR | p0 | -1.706×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.433×ATR | p62 | -2.376×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.68476889
- tp_price: 0.64233
- atr: 0.01038756
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T13:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 62
- total: 70
- score: 0.2999
- delta_2h: -0.0173
- extension_atr: -1.96
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1877
- confidence: 0.884
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6588 | 0.6848 | 0.6423 | 0.63 | 0.4399 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6588
- Stop Loss: 0.6848
- Take Profit: 0.6423
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6848 - 0.6588 = 0.026
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6588 - 0.6423 = 0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.026 = 0.6346
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 202.9505 | 100 | 308.0609 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.026
Taille de position = 8 / 0.026 = 307.69
Taille de position USD = 307.69 x 0.6588 = 202.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 307.69 avec un stoploss a 0.6848
Avec un position size USD de 202.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 307.69 x 0.026 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 307.69 x 0.0165 = 5.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 307.69
- Taille de position USD 202.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6346
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.95 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.58 $ | -3.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.7341 % | 94.62 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6588 | 0.6848 | 0.6423 | 0.63 | 0.4399 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6588
- Stop Loss: 0.6848
- Take Profit: 0.6423
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6848 - 0.6588 = 0.026
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6588 - 0.6423 = 0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.026 = 0.6346
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.947%
(0.0260)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -0.167% | 0.0R | 6.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -1.305% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -2.823% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.093% | 0.3R | -3.734% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -5.571% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.093% | 0.3R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +12.629% | 3.2R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.629% | 3.2R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.629% | 3.2R | -7.362% | 1.9R | 1.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1024 min
MAE in 529 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.