Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 325.6 SUI at 0.906$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8448 (6.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9308 (2.71 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 03:36:23
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 03:36
→ 09:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.9062$
Qty 325.6028 SUI
Size 295.0743$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8448 (+6.78%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.9308 (-2.71%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.71%
/ -8.01$
MAE -6.11%
MFE +0.08%
0.0R
expires
29 Oct 15:36
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231958)
#40 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 03:00
score du 29/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5593
Quality Score
0.473
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#40 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.84×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 03:30
29/10 03:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7222
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
50.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.020
Δ 4h
▲+0.428
Δ 12h
▼-0.262
Δ 24h
→+0.030
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.0% |
| 1h | 20.0% |
| 4h | 72.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.0% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 68.0% | +0.25% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.43% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.33
Dispersion :
0.060
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 03:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2992
Score SMA
0.3073
Rank
#51
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3472
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3278 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.08% · r3d: 2.52% · ema21_slope: -0.5575% · dist_ema21: -4.959% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4141 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.55% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 2.157 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1626 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.895 · trend: -38.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4318 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 70.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4725
Score SMA
0.5157
Rank
#40
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5593
Rank Norm SMA
0.5215
Calculé le
29/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3842 | r1h: -0.808% · r4h: 0.023% · r1d: -2.76% · r3d: -0.22% · ema21_slope: -0.0462% · dist_ema21: -1.836% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4593 | rs_1h: -0.478% · rs_4h: 0.013% · rs_1d: -1.66% · rs_3d: -0.04% · beta_24h: 1.834 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1718 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.687 · trend: -36.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7203 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 30.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.265% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4476
Score SMA
0.4691
Rank
#43
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3649
Rank Norm SMA
0.4691
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2683 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.096% · r1d: -3.85% · r3d: 0.05% · ema21_slope: -0.0098% · dist_ema21: -2.837% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3819 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.275% · rs_1d: -2.28% · rs_3d: -0.30% · beta_24h: 2.050 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4290 | rvol_20: 1.37× · zscore_50: 0.452 · trend: -5.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5723 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.326% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.715%
(0.0246)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -0.605% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -1.358% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -2.448% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -5.075% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.084% | 0.0R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1003 min
MAE in 508 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.07
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.17 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.82 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.18 | 29/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | 0.81 | bear_low | -0.95% | -0.04 | 29/10 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444612
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.669 | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 31b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.54 | 35% | ↓ -0.29 | value | +2.50 | — | #211842 | 0.77 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#446065
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.646 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 1b -1.4ATR | near -1.5ATR | — | 1.37 | 51% | ↓ -0.33 | value | -1.20 | — | #212455 | 0.65 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.17 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #447225
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.397 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 4b -1.3ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.27 | 18% | ↔ +0.01 | value | -0.88 | — | #212952 | 0.82 | bear_medium | -0.91% | -0.18 |
29/10 02:00
upd 29/10 03:09
|
|
15m
#447371
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.523 | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 8b -2.6ATR | near -2.0ATR | — | 1.75 | 75% | ↔ -0.12 | value | -0.88 | — | #212952 | 0.81 | bear_low | -0.95% | -0.04 |
29/10 03:15
upd 29/10 03:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.599×ATR | p67 | -0.902×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.817×ATR | p23 | -1.374×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0.919×ATR | p3 | -1.253×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.956×ATR | p87 | -2.572×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8368
- reason: down_bo width=2.94×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.93080981
- tp_price: 0.84481548
- atr:
- score: 0.8368
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T19:36:15.083549
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8368
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0356
- obi_top10 : 0.0027
- micro_price : 0.90649457
- spread_pct : 0.011033
- mid_price : 0.90645
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0477
- obi_top5_std : 0.0423
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7003
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.946235
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.913135
- balance_zone_mid:
0.929685
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793109600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793257200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9427
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
42
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8368
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793253600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.913135
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7857
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.613
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01124809 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.7857
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.613
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:36 | 0.90624000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 03:45 | 0.90624000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 03:54 | 0.90624000 | +0.004% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7003ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.036
avg -0.048
± 0.042
OBI Top 10
0.003
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.9065
Micro Price
0.9065
Spread
0.0110%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9062 | 0.9308 | 0.8448 | 2.5 | 0.6883 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9062
- Stop Loss: 0.9308
- Take Profit: 0.8448
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9308 - 0.9062 = 0.0246
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9062 - 0.8448 = 0.0614
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0614 / 0.0246 = 2.4959
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 295.0743 | 100 | 325.6028 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0246
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0246 = 325.2
Taille de position USD = 325.2 x 0.9062 = 294.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 325.2 avec un stoploss a 0.9308
Avec un position size USD de 294.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 325.2 x 0.0246 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 325.2 x 0.0614 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 325.2
- Taille de position USD 294.7
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4959
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.78 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.71 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -2.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.846 % | 104.84 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9062 | 0.9308 | 0.8448 | 2.5 | 0.6883 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9062
- Stop Loss: 0.9308
- Take Profit: 0.8448
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9308 - 0.9062 = 0.0246
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9062 - 0.8448 = 0.0614
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0614 / 0.0246 = 2.4959
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.715%
(0.0246)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -0.605% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -1.358% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -2.448% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -5.075% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.084% | 0.0R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.675% | 3.2R | -6.111% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1003 min
MAE in 508 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.