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Long Trade on PONS

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29 Oct 2026 at 05:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)

With 350.3 PONS at 0.28$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2572 (8.14 %)

PONS LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.28$

Qty 350.3012 PONS

Size 98.0878$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 98.08$

SL 0.2572 (-8.14%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.18% / -3.12$ MAE -3.44% MFE +0.68% 0.1R expires 29 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232227)
#3 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6370

Quality Score
0.596
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.17×ATR
4h near 0.26×ATR
1d clear 12.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.31
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 05:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/10 04:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7228
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

transition

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 24.5%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.048
Δ 4h
▲+0.152
Δ 12h
▼-0.538
Δ 24h
▼-0.429

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 63.3%
1h 91.8%
4h 26.5%
24h 4.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.3% +0.04%
4h 44.9% -0.31%
24h 14.3% -3.11%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.39
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion : 0.091
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 05:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3752
Score SMA
0.2311
Rank
#24 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6462
Rank Norm SMA
0.1924
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3425 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.42% · r3d: 16.35% · ema21_slope: -1.9768% · dist_ema21: -8.703%
Force Relative 25% 0.5534 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.89% · rs_3d: 14.83% · beta_24h: 2.891
Volume 20% 0.3237 rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: -0.470 · trend: -66.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4626 ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 68.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 17.535% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.5957
Score SMA
0.5410
Rank
#3 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6370
Rank Norm SMA
0.5231
Calculé le
29/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6550 r1h: 2.589% · r4h: 1.709% · r1d: -2.79% · r3d: 15.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1181% · dist_ema21: -0.318%
Force Relative 25% 0.7497 rs_1h: 2.326% · rs_4h: 1.949% · rs_1d: -1.03% · rs_3d: 16.01% · beta_24h: 3.842
Volume 20% 0.1559 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.662 · trend: -60.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5782 ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.745% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4827
Score SMA
0.4255
Rank
#22 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6326
Rank Norm SMA
0.3273
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5134 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.371% · r1d: -7.85% · r3d: 15.77% · ema21_slope: 0.8271% · dist_ema21: 1.525%
Force Relative 25% 0.5674 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.356% · rs_1d: -6.33% · rs_3d: 15.99% · beta_24h: 2.749
Volume 20% 0.2432 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: 11.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7231 ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2974 ATR%: 5.108% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.143% (0.0228)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.682% 0.1R -1.136% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +0.682% 0.1R -1.914% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.682% 0.1R -3.439% 0.4R 0.2× 36
4h +0.682% 0.1R -3.539% 0.4R 0.2× 48
8h +2.504% 0.3R -3.539% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +2.504% 0.3R -14.589% 1.8R 0.2× 144
24h +2.504% 0.3R -22.314% 2.7R 0.1× 288
48h +2.504% 0.3R -22.314% 2.7R 0.1× 576
72h +2.504% 0.3R -22.314% 2.7R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 359 min MAE in 914 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
38%
noisy_chop 42% — — — — bull_high +4.55% -0.96 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.3ATR 0.36 bear_high -2.12% +0.85 29/10 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 39% early — near -0.2ATR 0.60 bear_medium -0.76% -0.12 29/10 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.48 range_low -0.61% +0.10 29/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444773
 ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
38%
noisy_chop 42% — — — 1.77 42% ↓ -0.46 above_value +3.92 — #211896 — bull_high +4.55% -0.96
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
4h
#447753
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.691 volatile_reversal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b 0.3ATR — near 0.3ATR 0.33 7% ↑ +0.67 above_value +1.89 — #213152 0.36 bear_high -2.12% +0.85
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:20
1h anchor
#448081
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.594 compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b -0.1ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.37 44% ↓ -0.66 above_value +2.64 — #213363 0.60 bear_medium -0.76% -0.12
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 05:11
15m
#448009
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.552 normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early 4b 0.2ATR — — 1.25 33% ↔ +0.11 above_value +1.89 — #213152 0.48 range_low -0.61% +0.10
29/10 04:45
upd 29/10 05:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down early 6b — 2.879×ATR p31 +0.265×ATR p17
1h ↑ up early 6b — 1.721×ATR p12 -0.119×ATR p5
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.602×ATR p0 +0.241×ATR p20

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.25717251
  2. atr: 0.0076125
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-29T12:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 71
  3. score: 0.6501
  4. confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.28 0.2572 0.1117
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.28
  • Stop Loss: 0.2572
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2572 - 0.28 = -0.0228

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.28 - = 0.28

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.28 / -0.0228 = -12.2807

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
98.0878 98.0878 350.3012 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0228

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0228 = -350.88

Taille de position USD = -350.88 x 0.28 = -98.25

Donc, tu peux acheter -350.88 avec un stoploss a 0.2572

Avec un position size USD de -98.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -350.88 x -0.0228 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -350.88 x 0.28 = -98.25

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -98.25$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -350.88
  • Taille de position USD -98.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -98.25
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -12.2807

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 98.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.14 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-3.12 $ -3.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4393 % 42.24 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.28 0.2572 0.1117
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.28
  • Stop Loss: 0.2572
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2572 - 0.28 = -0.0228

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.28 - = 0.28

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.28 / -0.0228 = -12.2807

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.28
            [stop_loss] => 0.25492
            [rr_ratio] => 11.16
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.28
            [stop_loss] => 0.25264
            [rr_ratio] => 10.23
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.28
            [stop_loss] => 0.25036
            [rr_ratio] => 9.45
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.28
            [stop_loss] => 0.2458
            [rr_ratio] => 8.19
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.143% (0.0228)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.682% 0.1R -1.136% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +0.682% 0.1R -1.914% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.682% 0.1R -3.439% 0.4R 0.2× 36
4h +0.682% 0.1R -3.539% 0.4R 0.2× 48
8h +2.504% 0.3R -3.539% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +2.504% 0.3R -14.589% 1.8R 0.2× 144
24h +2.504% 0.3R -22.314% 2.7R 0.1× 288
48h +2.504% 0.3R -22.314% 2.7R 0.1× 576
72h +2.504% 0.3R -22.314% 2.7R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 359 min MAE in 914 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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