Short Trade on TIA

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29 Oct 2026 at 05:38:52 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 669.8 TIA at 0.525$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4952 (5.68 %) & Stop Loss: 0.537 (2.29 %)

TIA SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 05:38 → 08:20 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.525$

Qty 669.7963 TIA

Size 351.6498$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4952 (+5.68%)

TP $ 19.96$

SL 0.537 (-2.29%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -2.29% / -8.04$ MAE -5.49% MFE +7.14% 3.1R expires 29 Oct 17:38

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232185)

#43 / 70

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3673

Quality Score

0.502

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#43 / 70

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

87 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.29 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#43 / 70

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

87 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.29 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.21×ATR
4h	near	0.30×ATR
1d	clear	1.50×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 05:30

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7230

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range 0.25	compression 0
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Micro	range 0.25	transition

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.73

Transition risk : 0.27

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 27.2%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state stable

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

→+0.045

Δ 4h

▼-0.141

Δ 12h

▼-0.641

Δ 24h

▼-0.349

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	34.7%
1h	83.7%
4h	30.6%
24h	2.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	34.7%	-0.04%
4h	38.8%	-0.32%
24h	12.2%	-3.35%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

0.0%

Down ≥1σ

0.0%

Expansion

0.0%

Tail ↑

+0.29

Tail ↓

+0.23

Dispersion : 0.068

Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.59

Snapshot évalué : 29/10 05:31 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4838

Score SMA

0.4296

Rank

#9 / 66

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8769

Rank Norm SMA

0.7715

Calculé le

28/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6221	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.00% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1510% · dist_ema21: 0.215%
Force Relative	25%	0.6314	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 2.45% · beta_24h: 1.418
Volume	20%	0.1888	rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: -40.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6771	ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.101% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.5017

Score SMA

0.4740

Rank

#43 / 70

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3673

Rank Norm SMA

0.2971

Calculé le

29/10/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4467	r1h: 1.210% · r4h: -0.989% · r1d: -1.53% · r3d: -2.97% · ema21_slope: -0.0947% · dist_ema21: -1.739%
Force Relative	25%	0.5038	rs_1h: 0.947% · rs_4h: -0.749% · rs_1d: 0.23% · rs_3d: -2.76% · beta_24h: 2.058
Volume	20%	0.2448	rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.149 · trend: -13.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6185	ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 32.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.835% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3913

Score SMA

0.3780

Rank

#63 / 71

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1586

Rank Norm SMA

0.1348

Calculé le

29/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2958	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.073% · r1d: -2.87% · r3d: -1.83% · ema21_slope: -0.0498% · dist_ema21: -3.807%
Force Relative	25%	0.3831	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.058% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: -1.61% · beta_24h: 1.723
Volume	20%	0.2785	rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: -0.421 · trend: -26.82%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4893	ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7765	ATR%: 3.671% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.286% (0.0120)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.661%	0.7R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.130%	0.9R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.918%	1.7R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.491%	2.4R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+7.137%	3.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	1.3×	144
24h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	288
36h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	432
48h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	576
72h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 881 min MAE in 416 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.25

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.58	bull_high	+4.55%	+0.77	27/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	near 0.3ATR	—	0.49	bear_high	-2.12%	-0.24	29/10 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 44%	early	near 0.2ATR	—	0.31	bear_medium	-0.76%	-0.06	29/10 04:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 47%	mid	—	—	0.52	range_low	-0.49%	-0.03	29/10 05:15
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #444669	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.563	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.29	81%	↓ -0.69	value	+2.36	—	#211856	0.58	bull_high	+4.55%	+0.77	27/10 20:00 upd 28/10 20:22
4h #447633	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.645	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 2b -1.1ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.97	45%	↔ -0.01	below_value	-1.61	—	#213109	0.49	bear_high	-2.12%	-0.24	29/10 00:00 upd 29/10 04:14
1h anchor #448038	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.479	volatile_reversal	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 44%	early 3b -0.9ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.54	47%	↓ -0.28	value	-0.97	—	#213321	0.31	bear_medium	-0.76%	-0.06	29/10 04:00 upd 29/10 05:09
15m #448182	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.373	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 10b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.08	6%	↓ -0.40	value	-0.97	—	#213321	0.52	range_low	-0.49%	-0.03	29/10 05:15 upd 29/10 05:31
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	11b	—	3.823×ATR	p44	+0.019×ATR	p1
4h	↓ down	mid	2b	—	2.723×ATR	p23	-1.125×ATR	p60
1h	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.501×ATR	p0	-0.861×ATR	p55
15m	↑ up	mid	10b	—	2.952×ATR	p50	+0.354×ATR	p22

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.8697
reason: down_bo width=2.13×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
stop_price: 0.53695393
tp_price: 0.49515018
atr:
score: 0.79967718344002
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-10-29T21:38:45.018857
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79967718344002

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.2214
obi_top10 : -0.0332
micro_price : 0.52551019
spread_pct : 0.019029
mid_price : 0.52555
bid_wall_price : 0.52
bid_wall_size : 354332.6
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.53
ask_wall_size : 330562.7
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.221
obi_top5_std : 0.0003
pressure_side : ask
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6848
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.546
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.526035
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.5360175
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793134800
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793264400
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.132
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
37
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7997
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793253600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.526035
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7027
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
3
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.1095
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
3
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
8
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.00936428

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7027

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.1095

Signaux confirmants (3)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	05:38	0.52501000	+0.002%
2	05:47	0.52501000	+0.002%
3	05:56	0.52501000	+0.002%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6848ms Confidence avant OB : 80% → 87%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.221

avg -0.221 ± 0.000

OBI Top 10 -0.033

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.5256

Micro Price

0.5255

Spread

0.0190%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.5200

Size

354,332.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.5300

Size

330,562.70

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.525	0.537	0.4952	2.48	0.3448

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.525
Stop Loss: 0.537
Take Profit: 0.4952

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.537 - 0.525 = 0.012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.525 - 0.4952 = 0.0298
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0298 / 0.012 = 2.4833

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
351.6498	100	669.7963	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.012 = 666.67

Taille de position USD = 666.67 x 0.525 = 350

Donc, tu peux acheter 666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.537

Avec un position size USD de 350$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 666.67 x 0.012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 666.67 x 0.0298 = 19.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.87$

Résumé

Taille de position 666.67
Taille de position USD 350
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.87
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4833

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
5.68 %	19.96 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.29 %	8.04 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.04 $	-2.29

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.2971 %	100.5 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.525	0.537	0.4952	2.48	0.3448

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.525
Stop Loss: 0.537
Take Profit: 0.4952

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.537 - 0.525 = 0.012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.525 - 0.4952 = 0.0298
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0298 / 0.012 = 2.4833

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4952
            [entry_price] => 0.525
            [stop_loss] => 0.5382
            [rr_ratio] => 2.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4952
            [entry_price] => 0.525
            [stop_loss] => 0.5394
            [rr_ratio] => 2.07
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4952
            [entry_price] => 0.525
            [stop_loss] => 0.5406
            [rr_ratio] => 1.91
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4952
            [entry_price] => 0.525
            [stop_loss] => 0.543
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.286% (0.0120)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.661%	0.7R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.130%	0.9R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.918%	1.7R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.491%	2.4R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+7.137%	3.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	1.3×	144
24h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	288
36h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	432
48h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	576
72h	+16.267%	7.1R	-5.491%	2.4R	3.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 881 min MAE in 416 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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