29 Oct 2026 at 06:09:26 hyperliquid

Short Trade on BLUR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 14163.55 BLUR at 0.00778$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006368 (18.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008345 (7.26 %)

BLUR SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 06:09 → 18:00 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.00778$

Qty 14163.5536 BLUR

Size 110.1924$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006368 (+18.15%)

TP $ 20$

SL 0.008345 (-7.26%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +2.69% / +2.96$ MAE -5.36% MFE +5.30% 0.7R expires 29 Oct 18:09 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232252)
#13 / 68
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8565

Quality Score
0.514
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 68
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 68
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.39×ATR
4h clear 1.40×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 06:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1)

29/10 04:00

Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7232
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 17.7%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.068
Δ 4h
▼-0.356
Δ 12h
▼-0.675
Δ 24h
▼-0.528

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 63.3%
1h 57.1%
4h 18.4%
24h 6.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.3% +0.03%
4h 24.5% -0.45%
24h 12.2% -3.51%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.19
Tail ↓
+0.26
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 06:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5310
Score SMA
0.4179
Rank
#6 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9231
Rank Norm SMA
0.4445
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3107 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.05% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: -2.8854% · dist_ema21: -24.818%
Force Relative 25% 0.5185 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 11.52% · rs_3d: 7.80% · beta_24h: 2.755
Volume 20% 0.9294 rvol_20: 3.00× · zscore_50: 2.411 · trend: 77.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8151 ADX: 44.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.117% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5141
Score SMA
0.4599
Rank
#13 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8565
Rank Norm SMA
0.3342
Calculé le
29/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4104 r1h: -1.141% · r4h: -4.144% · r1d: -7.95% · r3d: 4.89% · ema21_slope: -0.0156% · dist_ema21: -3.363%
Force Relative 25% 0.3241 rs_1h: -1.329% · rs_4h: -4.119% · rs_1d: -6.31% · rs_3d: 5.29% · beta_24h: 0.878
Volume 20% 0.6121 rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 1.002 · trend: 126.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6784 ADX: 34.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6152 ATR%: 4.155% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6664
Score SMA
0.4209
Rank
#3 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9712
Rank Norm SMA
0.3356
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4786 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.206% · r1d: 6.28% · r3d: 13.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1698% · dist_ema21: 4.471%
Force Relative 25% 0.6795 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.191% · rs_1d: 7.79% · rs_3d: 14.04% · beta_24h: 1.252
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.76× · zscore_50: 5.109 · trend: 273.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8565 ADX: 42.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2445 ATR%: 5.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -7.262% (0.0006)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.309% 0.0R -1.607% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.309% 0.0R -2.005% 0.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.309% 0.0R -4.769% 0.7R 0.1× 48
8h +0.309% 0.0R -5.360% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +5.296% 0.7R -5.360% 0.7R 1.0× 144
24h +7.725% 1.1R -10.746% 1.5R 0.7× 287
36h +7.725% 1.1R -22.725% 3.1R 0.3× 431
48h +7.725% 1.1R -22.725% 3.1R 0.3× 576
72h +7.725% 1.1R -22.725% 3.1R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1250 min MAE in 1965 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
choppy 57% late — — 0.46 bull_high +4.55% -1.00 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 32% early — — 0.33 bear_high -2.12% +0.75 29/10 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.4ATR — 0.35 bear_medium -0.76% -0.12 29/10 04:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% late near -1.3ATR — -0.01 range_low -0.39% -0.51 29/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444664
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.474 compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
choppy 57% late 28b -2.9ATR — — 3.00 97% ↓ -0.32 above_value -0.64 inside #211855 0.46 bull_high +4.55% -1.00
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
4h
#447631
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.420 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 32% early 4b 0.7ATR — — 5.76 99% ↑ +0.97 above_value -0.08 — #213108 0.33 bear_high -2.12% +0.75
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:14
1h anchor
#448037
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.591 expansion_after_compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% early 2b -0.7ATR near -0.4ATR — 2.78 99% ↑ +0.53 value -0.85 — #213320 0.35 bear_medium -0.76% -0.12
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 05:09
15m
#448328
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.372 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% late 3b -1.5ATR near -1.3ATR — 0.61 81% ↑ +0.17 value -0.85 — #213320 -0.01 range_low -0.39% -0.51
29/10 05:45
upd 29/10 06:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 28b — 12.401×ATR p89 -2.933×ATR p92
4h ↑ up early 4b — 0.9×ATR p0 +0.727×ATR p29
1h ↓ down early 2b — 1.898×ATR p19 -0.686×ATR p34
15m ↑ up late 3b — 1.134×ATR p5 -1.482×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.6841
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.33×ATR dur=29b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.00834483
  5. tp_price: 0.00636792
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.78413257159137
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T22:09:17.287748
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.78413257159137
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2489
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0784
  15. micro_price : 0.00780992
  16. spread_pct : 0.25641
  17. mid_price : 0.00781
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.00769
  19. bid_wall_size : 944901.5
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1939
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.1114
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7191
  30. aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.008679
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.007948
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.0083135
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793167200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793268000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.333
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    29
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7841
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793264400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.007948
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8621
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.5362
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    3
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00031333
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
29
inside_close_ratio
0.8621
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5362

Signaux confirmants (19)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:09 0.00778000 0%
2 06:19 0.00778000 0%
3 06:28 0.00778000 0%
4 06:38 0.00777000 -0.129%
5 06:47 0.00777000 -0.129%
6 06:56 0.00777000 -0.129%
7 07:07 0.00782800 +0.617%
8 07:16 0.00782800 +0.617%
9 07:24 0.00782800 +0.617%
10 07:34 0.00782800 +0.617%
11 07:43 0.00785100 +0.913%
12 07:51 0.00785100 +0.913%
13 08:01 0.00785100 +0.913%
14 08:13 0.00779500 +0.193%
15 08:23 0.00779500 +0.193%
16 08:33 0.00779500 +0.193%
17 08:42 0.00786800 +1.131%
18 08:50 0.00786800 +1.131%
19 08:59 0.00786800 +1.131%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7191ms Confidence avant OB : 78% → 68%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.249
avg 0.194 ± 0.111
OBI Top 10 -0.078

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0078
Micro Price
0.0078
Spread
0.2564%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0077
Size
944,901.50

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00778 0.008345 0.006368 2.5 0.005971
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00778
  • Stop Loss: 0.008345
  • Take Profit: 0.006368

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.008345 - 0.00778 = 0.000565

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00778 - 0.006368 = 0.001412

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001412 / 0.000565 = 2.4991

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
110.1924 100 14163.5536 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000565

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000565 = 14159.29

Taille de position USD = 14159.29 x 0.00778 = 110.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 14159.29 avec un stoploss a 0.008345

Avec un position size USD de 110.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14159.29 x 0.000565 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14159.29 x 0.001412 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14159.29
  • Taille de position USD 110.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4991

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
18.15 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.96 $ 2.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.3599 % 73.81 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00778 0.008345 0.006368 2.5 0.005971
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00778
  • Stop Loss: 0.008345
  • Take Profit: 0.006368

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.008345 - 0.00778 = 0.000565

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00778 - 0.006368 = 0.001412

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001412 / 0.000565 = 2.4991

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -7.262% (0.0006)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.309% 0.0R -1.607% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.309% 0.0R -2.005% 0.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.309% 0.0R -4.769% 0.7R 0.1× 48
8h +0.309% 0.0R -5.360% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +5.296% 0.7R -5.360% 0.7R 1.0× 144
24h +7.725% 1.1R -10.746% 1.5R 0.7× 287
36h +7.725% 1.1R -22.725% 3.1R 0.3× 431
48h +7.725% 1.1R -22.725% 3.1R 0.3× 576
72h +7.725% 1.1R -22.725% 3.1R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1250 min MAE in 1965 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.