Short Trade on BLUR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14163.55 BLUR at 0.00778$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006368 (18.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008345 (7.26 %)
Short Trade on BLUR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14163.55 BLUR at 0.00778$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006368 (18.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008345 (7.26 %)
Position
Entry 0.00778$
Qty 14163.5536 BLUR
Size 110.1924$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006368 (+18.15%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.008345 (-7.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8565
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.39×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 29/10 04:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 63.3% |
| 1h | 57.1% |
| 4h | 18.4% |
| 24h | 6.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.3% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 24.5% | -0.45% |
| 24h | 12.2% | -3.51% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3107 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.05% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: -2.8854% · dist_ema21: -24.818% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5185 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 11.52% · rs_3d: 7.80% · beta_24h: 2.755 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9294 | rvol_20: 3.00× · zscore_50: 2.411 · trend: 77.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8151 | ADX: 44.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.117% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4104 | r1h: -1.141% · r4h: -4.144% · r1d: -7.95% · r3d: 4.89% · ema21_slope: -0.0156% · dist_ema21: -3.363% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3241 | rs_1h: -1.329% · rs_4h: -4.119% · rs_1d: -6.31% · rs_3d: 5.29% · beta_24h: 0.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6121 | rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 1.002 · trend: 126.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6784 | ADX: 34.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6152 | ATR%: 4.155% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4786 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.206% · r1d: 6.28% · r3d: 13.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1698% · dist_ema21: 4.471% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6795 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.191% · rs_1d: 7.79% · rs_3d: 14.04% · beta_24h: 1.252 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.76× · zscore_50: 5.109 · trend: 273.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8565 | ADX: 42.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2445 | ATR%: 5.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -1.607% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -2.005% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -4.769% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -5.360% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.296% | 0.7R | -5.360% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -10.746% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 287 |
| 36h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -22.725% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 431 |
| 48h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -22.725% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -22.725% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -1.00 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.33 | bear_high | -2.12% | +0.75 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.35 | bear_medium | -0.76% | -0.12 | 29/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | -0.01 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.51 | 29/10 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444664
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.474 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 57% | late 28b -2.9ATR | — | — | 3.00 | 97% | ↓ -0.32 | above_value | -0.64 | inside | #211855 | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -1.00 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#447631
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.420 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 4b 0.7ATR | — | — | 5.76 | 99% | ↑ +0.97 | above_value | -0.08 | — | #213108 | 0.33 | bear_high | -2.12% | +0.75 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor #448037
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.591 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 2b -0.7ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 2.78 | 99% | ↑ +0.53 | value | -0.85 | — | #213320 | 0.35 | bear_medium | -0.76% | -0.12 |
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 05:09
|
|
15m
#448328
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.372 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 3b -1.5ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.61 | 81% | ↑ +0.17 | value | -0.85 | — | #213320 | -0.01 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.51 |
29/10 05:45
upd 29/10 06:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 28b | — | 12.401×ATR | p89 | -2.933×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.9×ATR | p0 | +0.727×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.898×ATR | p19 | -0.686×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.134×ATR | p5 | -1.482×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.008679
0.007948
0.0083135
1793167200
1793268000
2.333
29
0.7841
1793264400
0.007948
0.8621
1
0.5362
0
8
3
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:09 | 0.00778000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:19 | 0.00778000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:28 | 0.00778000 | 0% |
| 4 | 06:38 | 0.00777000 | -0.129% |
| 5 | 06:47 | 0.00777000 | -0.129% |
| 6 | 06:56 | 0.00777000 | -0.129% |
| 7 | 07:07 | 0.00782800 | +0.617% |
| 8 | 07:16 | 0.00782800 | +0.617% |
| 9 | 07:24 | 0.00782800 | +0.617% |
| 10 | 07:34 | 0.00782800 | +0.617% |
| 11 | 07:43 | 0.00785100 | +0.913% |
| 12 | 07:51 | 0.00785100 | +0.913% |
| 13 | 08:01 | 0.00785100 | +0.913% |
| 14 | 08:13 | 0.00779500 | +0.193% |
| 15 | 08:23 | 0.00779500 | +0.193% |
| 16 | 08:33 | 0.00779500 | +0.193% |
| 17 | 08:42 | 0.00786800 | +1.131% |
| 18 | 08:50 | 0.00786800 | +1.131% |
| 19 | 08:59 | 0.00786800 | +1.131% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00778 | 0.008345 | 0.006368 | 2.5 | 0.005971 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008345 - 0.00778 = 0.000565
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00778 - 0.006368 = 0.001412
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001412 / 0.000565 = 2.4991
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110.1924 | 100 | 14163.5536 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000565 = 14159.29
Taille de position USD = 14159.29 x 0.00778 = 110.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 14159.29 avec un stoploss a 0.008345
Avec un position size USD de 110.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14159.29 x 0.000565 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14159.29 x 0.001412 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 18.15 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.96 $ | 2.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3599 % | 73.81 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00778 | 0.008345 | 0.006368 | 2.5 | 0.005971 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008345 - 0.00778 = 0.000565
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00778 - 0.006368 = 0.001412
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001412 / 0.000565 = 2.4991
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -1.607% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -2.005% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -4.769% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.309% | 0.0R | -5.360% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.296% | 0.7R | -5.360% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -10.746% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 287 |
| 36h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -22.725% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 431 |
| 48h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -22.725% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.725% | 1.1R | -22.725% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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