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Short Trade on GRASS

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29 Oct 2026 at 06:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 260.69 GRASS at 0.661$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6448 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.692 (4.64 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 06:15 → 12:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.6613$

Qty 260.6851 GRASS

Size 172.3989$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6448 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.3$

SL 0.692 (-4.64%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.54

Status loss PnL -0.30% / -0.52$ MAE -1.77% MFE +1.86% 0.4R expires 29 Oct 12:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232268)
#60 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0728

Quality Score
0.426
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#60 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.58×ATR
4h near -0.13×ATR
1d near 0.02×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.45
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 06:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7232
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 17.7%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.068
Δ 4h
▼-0.356
Δ 12h
▼-0.675
Δ 24h
▼-0.528

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 63.3%
1h 57.1%
4h 18.4%
24h 6.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.3% +0.03%
4h 24.5% -0.45%
24h 12.2% -3.51%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.19
Tail ↓
+0.26
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 06:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4202
Score SMA
0.5370
Rank
#14 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.8956
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6349 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -5.15% · ema21_slope: 0.4174% · dist_ema21: 2.793%
Force Relative 25% 0.4061 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.80% · rs_3d: -6.66% · beta_24h: 2.983
Volume 20% 0.2358 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.398 · trend: -13.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5406 ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 64.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.205% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.4261
Score SMA
0.5554
Rank
#60 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0728
Rank Norm SMA
0.6087
Calculé le
29/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3391 r1h: 0.442% · r4h: 0.942% · r1d: -9.25% · r3d: -6.40% · ema21_slope: -0.4195% · dist_ema21: -2.594%
Force Relative 25% 0.3856 rs_1h: 0.253% · rs_4h: 0.967% · rs_1d: -7.61% · rs_3d: -6.00% · beta_24h: 1.016
Volume 20% 0.1928 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.422 · trend: -52.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8468 ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.908% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4164
Score SMA
0.5417
Rank
#50 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1862
Rank Norm SMA
0.6878
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4779 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.216% · r1d: -11.29% · r3d: -5.58% · ema21_slope: 0.1323% · dist_ema21: -5.575%
Force Relative 25% 0.3667 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.231% · rs_1d: -9.77% · rs_3d: -5.36% · beta_24h: 2.588
Volume 20% 0.1850 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.602 · trend: -31.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6400 ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4837 ATR%: 4.549% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.642% (0.0307)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.410% 0.1R -0.741% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +1.859% 0.4R -0.741% 0.2R 2.5× 24
4h +1.859% 0.4R -0.741% 0.2R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +1.859% 0.4R -1.769% 0.4R 1.1× 72
8h +2.779% 0.6R -1.769% 0.4R 1.6× 96
12h +11.177% 2.4R -1.769% 0.4R 6.3× 144
24h +16.906% 3.6R -1.769% 0.4R 9.6× 288
48h +16.906% 3.6R -1.769% 0.4R 9.6× 576
72h +16.906% 3.6R -1.769% 0.4R 9.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 854 min MAE in 349 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.8
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.0ATR — 0.44 bull_high +4.55% +0.84 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.1ATR — 0.36 bear_high -2.12% -0.73 29/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.54 range_medium -0.56% -0.52 29/10 05:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.30 range_low -0.39% +0.12 29/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444714
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.653 normal bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early 10b 0.2ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.59 77% ↓ -0.39 above_value -2.25 — #211868 0.44 bull_high +4.55% +0.84
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#447666
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.501 normal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% mid 7b -1.3ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.38 16% ↑ +0.22 value -4.34 — #213123 0.36 bear_high -2.12% -0.73
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:16
1h anchor
#448415
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.391 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid 5b -1.3ATR — — 0.63 41% ↓ -0.44 value -4.32 — #213475 0.54 range_medium -0.56% -0.52
29/10 05:00
upd 29/10 06:12
15m
#448344
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.620 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% early 9b 0.8ATR — — 0.70 37% ↔ -0.12 value -4.42 — #213335 0.30 range_low -0.39% +0.12
29/10 05:45
upd 29/10 06:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 1.576×ATR p5 +0.241×ATR p19
4h ↓ down mid 7b — 3.969×ATR p63 -1.264×ATR p64
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 1.537×ATR p2 -1.344×ATR p68
15m ↑ up early 9b — 2.941×ATR p43 +0.791×ATR p26

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.69201837
  2. tp_price: 0.64479675
  3. atr: 0.01227535
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T16:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 67
  2. total: 71
  3. score: 0.289
  4. delta_2h: -0.0701
  5. extension_atr: -0.88
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0616
  9. confidence: 0.943

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6613 0.692 0.6448 0.54 0.3903
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6613
  • Stop Loss: 0.692
  • Take Profit: 0.6448

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.692 - 0.6613 = 0.0307

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6613 - 0.6448 = 0.0165

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0307 = 0.5375

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
172.3989 100 260.6851 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0307

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0307 = 260.59

Taille de position USD = 260.59 x 0.6613 = 172.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 260.59 avec un stoploss a 0.692

Avec un position size USD de 172.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 260.59 x 0.0307 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 260.59 x 0.0165 = 4.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 260.59
  • Taille de position USD 172.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5375

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.3 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.64 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.52 $ -0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7692 % 38.11 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6613 0.692 0.6448 0.54 0.3903
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6613
  • Stop Loss: 0.692
  • Take Profit: 0.6448

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.692 - 0.6613 = 0.0307

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6613 - 0.6448 = 0.0165

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0307 = 0.5375

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.642% (0.0307)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.410% 0.1R -0.741% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +1.859% 0.4R -0.741% 0.2R 2.5× 24
4h +1.859% 0.4R -0.741% 0.2R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +1.859% 0.4R -1.769% 0.4R 1.1× 72
8h +2.779% 0.6R -1.769% 0.4R 1.6× 96
12h +11.177% 2.4R -1.769% 0.4R 6.3× 144
24h +16.906% 3.6R -1.769% 0.4R 9.6× 288
48h +16.906% 3.6R -1.769% 0.4R 9.6× 576
72h +16.906% 3.6R -1.769% 0.4R 9.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 854 min MAE in 349 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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