29 Oct 2026 at 06:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 758.35 MET at 0.294$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2865 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3043 (3.57 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 06:15 → 10:35 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.2938$

Qty 758.347 MET

Size 222.8024$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2865 (+2.48%)

TP $ 5.54$

SL 0.3043 (-3.57%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 0.7

Status loss PnL -3.57% / -7.96$ MAE -5.29% MFE +0.76% 0.2R expires 29 Oct 12:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232284)
#64 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0942

Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#64 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.41×ATR
1d near -1.09×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.45
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 06:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7232
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 17.7%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.068
Δ 4h
▼-0.356
Δ 12h
▼-0.675
Δ 24h
▼-0.528

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 63.3%
1h 57.1%
4h 18.4%
24h 6.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.3% +0.03%
4h 24.5% -0.45%
24h 12.2% -3.51%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.19
Tail ↓
+0.26
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 06:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2923
Score SMA
0.4965
Rank
#55 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1692
Rank Norm SMA
0.6739
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3248 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.41% · r3d: 2.20% · ema21_slope: -0.5951% · dist_ema21: -8.422%
Force Relative 25% 0.3550 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.94% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: -0.641
Volume 20% 0.1681 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.479 · trend: -69.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4835 ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 70.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.4182
Score SMA
0.5053
Rank
#64 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0942
Rank Norm SMA
0.4456
Calculé le
29/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3135 r1h: 0.031% · r4h: -1.114% · r1d: -7.87% · r3d: -6.37% · ema21_slope: -0.3056% · dist_ema21: -2.761%
Force Relative 25% 0.3431 rs_1h: -0.158% · rs_4h: -1.089% · rs_1d: -6.23% · rs_3d: -5.97% · beta_24h: 2.017
Volume 20% 0.2262 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.120 · trend: -24.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6591 ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 29.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.506% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4337
Score SMA
0.4398
Rank
#45 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3089
Rank Norm SMA
0.3299
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2962 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.088% · r1d: -6.88% · r3d: -4.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0586% · dist_ema21: -5.527%
Force Relative 25% 0.3338 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.103% · rs_1d: -5.37% · rs_3d: -3.90% · beta_24h: 2.390
Volume 20% 0.4408 rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.178 · trend: 68.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5174 ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9564 ATR%: 3.131% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.574% (0.0105)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.759% 0.2R -1.879% 0.5R 0.4× 12
2h +0.759% 0.2R -1.879% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.759% 0.2R -2.073% 0.6R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +0.759% 0.2R -5.293% 1.5R 0.1× 72
8h +0.759% 0.2R -5.293% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h +6.334% 1.8R -5.293% 1.5R 1.2× 144
24h +10.956% 3.1R -5.293% 1.5R 2.1× 288
48h +10.956% 3.1R -5.293% 1.5R 2.1× 576
72h +10.956% 3.1R -5.293% 1.5R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 844 min MAE in 349 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late near -1.1ATR — 0.43 bull_high +4.55% -1.00 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 38% late near -0.4ATR — 0.37 bear_high -2.12% -0.13 29/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range strong explosive expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.61 range_medium -0.56% -0.41 29/10 05:00
15m ↓ down transition bullish_transition strong fading compression bear_medium
55%
noisy_chop 37% early near -1.0ATR — 0.63 range_low -0.39% +0.00 29/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444751
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.714 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late 20b -1.0ATR near -1.1ATR — 1.00 80% ↓ -0.78 value -1.17 — #211885 0.43 bull_high +4.55% -1.00
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
4h
#447719
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.619 expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 38% late 2b -2.0ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.94 59% ↑ +0.42 below_value -4.11 — #213141 0.37 bear_high -2.12% -0.13
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:18
1h anchor
#448432
↓ down range range strong explosive 0.267 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 48% late 13b -1.7ATR — — 0.40 75% ↓ -0.30 below_value -4.54 — #213492 0.61 range_medium -0.56% -0.41
29/10 05:00
upd 29/10 06:12
15m
#448361
↓ down transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.714 compression bear_medium
55%
noisy_chop 37% early 3b -0.8ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.80 62% ↓ -0.22 below_value -4.38 — #213352 0.63 range_low -0.39% +0.00
29/10 05:45
upd 29/10 06:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 20b — 6.98×ATR p90 -0.987×ATR p55
4h ↓ down late 2b — 3.116×ATR p30 -1.992×ATR p83
1h ↓ down late 13b — 6.479×ATR p98 -1.706×ATR p73
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.328×ATR p3 -0.755×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.30434926
  2. tp_price: 0.286455
  3. atr: 0.00421971
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T16:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 71
  3. score: 0.3098
  4. delta_2h: -0.0311
  5. extension_atr: -1.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.096
  9. confidence: 0.9

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2938 0.3043 0.2865 0.7 0.2656
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2938
  • Stop Loss: 0.3043
  • Take Profit: 0.2865

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3043 - 0.2938 = 0.0105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2938 - 0.2865 = 0.0073

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0073 / 0.0105 = 0.6952

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
222.8024 100 758.347 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0105

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0105 = 761.9

Taille de position USD = 761.9 x 0.2938 = 223.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 761.9 avec un stoploss a 0.3043

Avec un position size USD de 223.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 761.9 x 0.0105 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 761.9 x 0.0073 = 5.56

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.56$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 761.9
  • Taille de position USD 223.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.56
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6952

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 5.54 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.57 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -3.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.0129 % 112.28 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2938 0.3043 0.2865 0.7 0.2656
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2938
  • Stop Loss: 0.3043
  • Take Profit: 0.2865

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3043 - 0.2938 = 0.0105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2938 - 0.2865 = 0.0073

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0073 / 0.0105 = 0.6952

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2865
            [entry_price] => 0.2938
            [stop_loss] => 0.30535
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 14:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2865
            [entry_price] => 0.2938
            [stop_loss] => 0.3064
            [rr_ratio] => 0.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 15:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2865
            [entry_price] => 0.2938
            [stop_loss] => 0.30745
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 16:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.574% (0.0105)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.759% 0.2R -1.879% 0.5R 0.4× 12
2h +0.759% 0.2R -1.879% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.759% 0.2R -2.073% 0.6R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +0.759% 0.2R -5.293% 1.5R 0.1× 72
8h +0.759% 0.2R -5.293% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h +6.334% 1.8R -5.293% 1.5R 1.2× 144
24h +10.956% 3.1R -5.293% 1.5R 2.1× 288
48h +10.956% 3.1R -5.293% 1.5R 2.1× 576
72h +10.956% 3.1R -5.293% 1.5R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 844 min MAE in 349 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.