Short Trade on AERO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 347.59 AERO at 0.681$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6236 (8.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7042 (3.38 %)
Short Trade on AERO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 347.59 AERO at 0.681$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6236 (8.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7042 (3.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.6812$
Qty 347.587 AERO
Size 236.7658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6236 (+8.46%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.7042 (-3.38%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6917
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 41.7% |
| 4h | 87.5% |
| 24h | 6.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 72.9% | +0.56% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.07% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3936 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.67% · r3d: 3.68% · ema21_slope: -0.7562% · dist_ema21: -9.113% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4015 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.14% · rs_3d: 2.17% · beta_24h: 1.169 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1390 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -1.206 · trend: -35.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6443 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 43.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.552% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4804 | r1h: 1.073% · r4h: 0.304% · r1d: -3.69% · r3d: 2.59% · ema21_slope: -0.1924% · dist_ema21: -0.730% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5430 | rs_1h: 0.885% · rs_4h: 0.329% · rs_1d: -2.04% · rs_3d: 2.98% · beta_24h: 1.347 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2021 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.520 · trend: -28.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6818 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.268% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3252 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.083% · r1d: -3.77% · r3d: 1.27% · ema21_slope: -0.0400% · dist_ema21: -3.047% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4233 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.098% · rs_1d: -2.25% · rs_3d: 1.49% · beta_24h: 1.521 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2895 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.462 · trend: -15.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4746 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 65.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9914 | ATR%: 3.026% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.069% | 0.0R | -1.058% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.407% | 0.1R | -1.058% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.407% | 0.1R | -2.747% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.722% | 0.2R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.051% | 1.8R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.02 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.56% | -0.21 | 29/10 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.61 | range_low | -0.46% | +0.00 | 29/10 06:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444757
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.571 | normal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 17b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.44 | 61% | ↓ -0.32 | above_value | -0.08 | — | #211888 | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#447728
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.641 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 4b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.96 | 28% | ↑ +0.28 | above_value | -3.08 | — | #213144 | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.12% | -0.02 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:19
|
|
1h
anchor #448435
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.282 | normal | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 6b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.55 | 35% | ↔ -0.06 | above_value | -2.83 | — | #213495 | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.56% | -0.21 |
29/10 05:00
upd 29/10 06:13
|
|
15m
#448578
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.542 | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b 0.3ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.04 | 1% | ↓ -0.48 | above_value | -2.83 | — | #213495 | 0.61 | range_low | -0.46% | +0.00 |
29/10 06:15
upd 29/10 06:33
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.411×ATR | p50 | -1.015×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.037×ATR | p3 | -1.15×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.72×ATR | p20 | -0.563×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.421×ATR | p39 | +0.29×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.714675
0.692015
0.703345
1793116800
1793268000
2.695
43
0.8355
1793232000
0.692015
0.7442
10
1.2898
0
5
7
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (23)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:42 | 0.68117000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 06:51 | 0.68117000 | -0.004% |
| 3 | 07:01 | 0.68117000 | -0.004% |
| 4 | 07:11 | 0.68550000 | +0.631% |
| 5 | 07:20 | 0.68550000 | +0.631% |
| 6 | 07:29 | 0.68550000 | +0.631% |
| 7 | 07:38 | 0.68116000 | -0.006% |
| 8 | 07:47 | 0.68116000 | -0.006% |
| 9 | 07:55 | 0.68116000 | -0.006% |
| 10 | 08:07 | 0.68116000 | -0.006% |
| 11 | 08:38 | 0.68196000 | +0.112% |
| 12 | 08:46 | 0.68196000 | +0.112% |
| 13 | 08:54 | 0.68196000 | +0.112% |
| 14 | 09:04 | 0.68196000 | +0.112% |
| 15 | 09:13 | 0.68697000 | +0.847% |
| 16 | 09:22 | 0.68697000 | +0.847% |
| 17 | 09:31 | 0.68697000 | +0.847% |
| 18 | 09:40 | 0.68704000 | +0.857% |
| 19 | 09:49 | 0.68704000 | +0.857% |
| 20 | 09:57 | 0.68704000 | +0.857% |
| 21 | 10:10 | 0.68704000 | +0.857% |
| 22 | 10:19 | 0.68727000 | +0.891% |
| 23 | 10:28 | 0.68727000 | +0.891% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6812 | 0.7042 | 0.6236 | 2.5 | 0.4429 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7042 - 0.6812 = 0.023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6812 - 0.6236 = 0.0576
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0576 / 0.023 = 2.5043
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236.7658 | 100 | 347.587 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.023 = 347.83
Taille de position USD = 347.83 x 0.6812 = 236.94
Donc, tu peux acheter 347.83 avec un stoploss a 0.7042
Avec un position size USD de 236.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 347.83 x 0.023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 347.83 x 0.0576 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.46 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.38 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.9093 % | 115.78 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6812 | 0.7042 | 0.6236 | 2.5 | 0.4429 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7042 - 0.6812 = 0.023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6812 - 0.6236 = 0.0576
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0576 / 0.023 = 2.5043
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6236
[entry_price] => 0.6812
[stop_loss] => 0.7065
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 15:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6236
[entry_price] => 0.6812
[stop_loss] => 0.7088
[rr_ratio] => 2.09
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 15:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6236
[entry_price] => 0.6812
[stop_loss] => 0.7111
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 15:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.069% | 0.0R | -1.058% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.407% | 0.1R | -1.058% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.407% | 0.1R | -2.747% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.722% | 0.2R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.051% | 1.8R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.585% | 3.7R | -4.441% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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