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Short Trade on NIL

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29 Oct 2026 at 07:15:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1861.13 NIL at 0.0731$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07127 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0774 (5.88 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 07:15 → 12:45 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.0731$

Qty 1861.1273 NIL

Size 136.0447$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07127 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.41$

SL 0.0774 (-5.88%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.43

Status loss PnL -5.88% / -8$ MAE -6.23% MFE +1.23% 0.2R expires 29 Oct 13:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232345)
#68 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.325
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#68 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#68 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.25×ATR
1d near -1.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.03
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 07:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7236
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 61.1%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.434
Δ 4h
▲+0.178
Δ 12h
▼-0.162
Δ 24h
▼-0.102

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.4%
1h 81.3%
4h 85.4%
24h 8.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.4% +0.10%
4h 79.2% +1.03%
24h 22.9% -2.70%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.2%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.42
Dispersion : 0.111
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 07:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4320
Rank
#28 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5846
Rank Norm SMA
0.6848
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.37% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: 0.1405% · dist_ema21: -7.217%
Force Relative 25% 0.1963 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -14.14% · beta_24h: 0.961
Volume 20% 0.2261 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -8.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7616 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.010% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3250
Score SMA
0.5213
Rank
#68 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5258
Calculé le
29/10/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1200 r1h: -1.024% · r4h: -0.228% · r1d: -11.83% · r3d: -23.37% · ema21_slope: -0.5705% · dist_ema21: -4.711%
Force Relative 25% 0.1895 rs_1h: -1.132% · rs_4h: -0.642% · rs_1d: -10.35% · rs_3d: -23.29% · beta_24h: 2.499
Volume 20% 0.1642 rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.624 · trend: -60.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6373 ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.2238
Score SMA
0.4725
Rank
#71 / 71
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4860
Calculé le
29/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1359 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.047% · r1d: -14.84% · r3d: -22.94% · ema21_slope: -0.4584% · dist_ema21: -14.359%
Force Relative 25% 0.1394 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.032% · rs_1d: -13.32% · rs_3d: -22.72% · beta_24h: 1.317
Volume 20% 0.1741 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.430 · trend: -47.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7558 ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.882% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.226% 0.2R -1.168% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +1.226% 0.2R -1.168% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.226% 0.2R -1.450% 0.3R 0.9× 48
6h ★ +1.226% 0.2R -6.226% 1.1R 0.2× 72
8h +1.226% 0.2R -6.226% 1.1R 0.2× 96
12h +4.508% 0.8R -6.226% 1.1R 0.7× 144
24h +13.382% 2.3R -6.226% 1.1R 2.2× 288
48h +13.382% 2.3R -11.981% 2.0R 1.1× 576
72h +13.382% 2.3R -11.981% 2.0R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 884 min MAE in 329 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.2ATR — 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 39% late near 0.2ATR — 0.17 bear_high -2.12% -0.97 29/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 53% late — — 0.32 range_medium -0.44% -0.80 29/10 06:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.26 range_low -0.25% -0.20 29/10 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444735
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.546 expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid 1b -0.5ATR near -1.2ATR — 0.51 75% ↔ -0.08 above_value +0.10 — #211877 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
4h
#447692
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.642 expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 39% late 12b -1.5ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.38 29% ↓ -0.32 below_value -3.54 — #213132 0.17 bear_high -2.12% -0.97
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 04:17
1h anchor
#448781
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.729 normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 53% late 3b -2.1ATR — — 0.54 30% ↓ -0.58 below_value -3.07 — #213622 0.32 range_medium -0.44% -0.80
29/10 06:00
upd 29/10 07:11
15m
#448711
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.541 compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b -0.6ATR — — 0.02 1% ↓ -0.81 below_value -2.62 — #213484 0.26 range_low -0.25% -0.20
29/10 06:45
upd 29/10 07:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 3.91×ATR p50 -0.458×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 12b — 10.237×ATR p100 -1.471×ATR p75
1h ↑ up late 3b — 0.916×ATR p0 -2.055×ATR p82
15m ↓ down early 7b — 2.315×ATR p28 -0.556×ATR p19

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07739647
  2. tp_price: 0.07127055
  3. atr: 0.00171939
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T17:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 70
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.1442
  4. delta_2h: -0.0557
  5. extension_atr: -1.88
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0731 0.0774 0.07127 0.43 0.04984
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0731
  • Stop Loss: 0.0774
  • Take Profit: 0.07127

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0774 - 0.0731 = 0.0043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0731 - 0.07127 = 0.00183

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00183 / 0.0043 = 0.4256

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
136.0447 100 1861.1273 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0043

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043 = 1860.47

Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 0.0731 = 136

Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 0.0774

Avec un position size USD de 136$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.00183 = 3.4

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.4$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1860.47
  • Taille de position USD 136
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.4
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4256

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.41 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.88 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -5.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.2257 % 105.84 % 18
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0731 0.0774 0.07127 0.43 0.04984
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0731
  • Stop Loss: 0.0774
  • Take Profit: 0.07127

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0774 - 0.0731 = 0.0043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0731 - 0.07127 = 0.00183

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00183 / 0.0043 = 0.4256

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.882% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.226% 0.2R -1.168% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +1.226% 0.2R -1.168% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.226% 0.2R -1.450% 0.3R 0.9× 48
6h ★ +1.226% 0.2R -6.226% 1.1R 0.2× 72
8h +1.226% 0.2R -6.226% 1.1R 0.2× 96
12h +4.508% 0.8R -6.226% 1.1R 0.7× 144
24h +13.382% 2.3R -6.226% 1.1R 2.2× 288
48h +13.382% 2.3R -11.981% 2.0R 1.1× 576
72h +13.382% 2.3R -11.981% 2.0R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 884 min MAE in 329 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.