29 Oct 2026 at 08:25:40 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (PavLongMomentum4h)

With 1.29 HYPE at 88.158$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 88.6686 (0.58 %)

HYPE LONG PavLongMomentum4h hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 08:25 → 08:30 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 88.158$

Qty 1.2883 HYPE

Size 113.5772$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 113.58$

SL 88.6686 (-0.58%)

SL $ 0.66$

RR

Status loss PnL +0.58% / +0.66$ MAE -0.39% MFE +9.91% 17.1R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232407)
#1 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7416

Quality Score
0.856
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.58 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.58 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.82×ATR
1d clear 4.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
782.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 08:17
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7241
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 61.8%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.042
Δ 1h
▼-0.097
Δ 4h
▲+0.391
Δ 12h
▲+0.222
Δ 24h
▲+0.230

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 18.8%
1h 6.3%
4h 77.1%
24h 22.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 20.8% -0.28%
4h 77.1% +0.69%
24h 45.8% -1.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.58
Dispersion : 0.153
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 08:16 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3907
Score SMA
0.3673
Rank
#20 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7077
Rank Norm SMA
0.6028
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3656 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.79% · r3d: 5.69% · ema21_slope: -0.3885% · dist_ema21: -0.337%
Force Relative 25% 0.5162 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: 4.18% · beta_24h: 1.404
Volume 20% 0.2712 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.649 · trend: -16.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4047 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 73.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3702 ATR%: 4.889% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.8563
Score SMA
0.5411
Rank
#1 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7416
Rank Norm SMA
0.6284
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7977 r1h: 2.868% · r4h: 11.705% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 13.97% · ema21_slope: 0.0188% · dist_ema21: 8.755%
Force Relative 25% 0.9890 rs_1h: 3.028% · rs_4h: 11.306% · rs_1d: 9.60% · rs_3d: 14.27% · beta_24h: 1.594
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.05× · zscore_50: 4.508 · trend: 310.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7244 ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 5.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.491% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.8662
Score SMA
0.5280
Rank
#1 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9286
Rank Norm SMA
0.7054
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8291 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 11.705% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 13.97% · ema21_slope: 0.2844% · dist_ema21: 9.937%
Force Relative 25% 0.9558 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 11.306% · rs_1d: 9.60% · rs_3d: 14.27% · beta_24h: 2.323
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.35× · zscore_50: 5.615 · trend: 143.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6979 ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 25.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.438% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.579% (0.5106)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.512% 7.8R -0.390% 0.7R 11.6× 12
2h +4.512% 7.8R -0.390% 0.7R 11.6× 24
4h ★ +9.911% 17.1R -0.390% 0.7R 25.4× 48
8h +10.155% 17.5R -0.390% 0.7R 26.0× 96
12h +10.155% 17.5R -0.390% 0.7R 26.0× 144
24h +10.155% 17.5R -0.390% 0.7R 26.0× 288
48h +10.155% 17.5R -2.145% 3.7R 4.7× 576
72h +10.155% 17.5R -2.180% 3.8R 4.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 244 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -0.8ATR 0.61 bear_high -1.69% +0.90 29/10 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
ranging_calm 53% late — — 0.58 range_medium -0.59% +0.77 29/10 07:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 56% late — — 0.39 range_low -0.46% +0.81 29/10 08:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444719
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.553 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid 35b -0.1ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.93 45% ↔ +0.10 above_value +3.87 — #211870 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#449178
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.530 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 44% late 2b 3.8ATR — near -0.8ATR 5.35 100% ↑ +0.25 above_value +7.07 — #213753 0.61 bear_high -1.69% +0.90
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 08:16
1h anchor
#449176
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.532 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
ranging_calm 53% late 8b 5.5ATR — — 6.05 100% ↑ +0.31 above_value +7.07 inside #213753 0.58 range_medium -0.59% +0.77
29/10 07:00
upd 29/10 08:16
15m
#449272
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.343 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 56% late 18b 4.8ATR — — 1.18 97% ↑ +0.98 above_value +7.07 — #213753 0.39 range_low -0.46% +0.81
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 08:22
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 35b — 4.427×ATR p57 -0.074×ATR p5
4h ↑ up late 2b — 4.618×ATR p81 +3.751×ATR p100
1h ↑ up late 8b — 7.554×ATR p100 +5.47×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 18b — 10.684×ATR p100 +4.809×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

PavLongMomentum4h - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: breakout
  4. stop_price: 81.94844444
  5. tp_price:
  6. atr:
  7. score: 1
  8. exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
  9. confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.1233
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1233
  15. micro_price : 88.46233645
  16. spread_pct : 0.005652
  17. mid_price : 88.4625
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1244
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0353
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6956
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : pav_long_momentum
  35. timeframe : 4h
  36. breakout_period : 42
  37. ma_exit_period : 9
  38. breakout_high : 88.149
  39. breakout_high_time : 2026-10-29T08:00:00
  40. ma_exit_at_entry : 81.94844444
  41. entry_price : 88.158
  42. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:25 88.15800000 0%
2 08:35 88.15800000 0%
3 09:01 88.15800000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6956ms Confidence avant OB : 100% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.123
avg 0.124 ± 0.035
OBI Top 10 0.123

Microstructure

Mid Price
88.4625
Micro Price
88.4623
Spread
0.0057%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
88.158 88.6686 67.354
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 88.158
  • Stop Loss: 88.6686
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 88.6686 - 88.158 = 0.5106

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 88.158 - = 88.158

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 88.158 / 0.5106 = 172.6557

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
113.5772 100 1.2883 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5106

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5106 = 15.67

Taille de position USD = 15.67 x 88.158 = 1381.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.67 avec un stoploss a 88.6686

Avec un position size USD de 1381.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.67 x 0.5106 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.67 x 88.158 = 1381.44

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1381.44$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.67
  • Taille de position USD 1381.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1381.44
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 172.6557

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 113.58 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.58 % 0.66 $
PNL PNL %
0.66 $ 0.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3902 % 67.37 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
88.158 88.6686 67.354
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 88.158
  • Stop Loss: 88.6686
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 88.6686 - 88.158 = 0.5106

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 88.158 - = 88.158

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 88.158 / 0.5106 = 172.6557

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 88.158
            [stop_loss] => 87.59634
            [rr_ratio] => 156.96
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 88.158
            [stop_loss] => 87.54528
            [rr_ratio] => 143.88
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 88.158
            [stop_loss] => 87.49422
            [rr_ratio] => 132.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 88.158
            [stop_loss] => 87.3921
            [rr_ratio] => 115.1
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.579% (0.5106)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.512% 7.8R -0.390% 0.7R 11.6× 12
2h +4.512% 7.8R -0.390% 0.7R 11.6× 24
4h ★ +9.911% 17.1R -0.390% 0.7R 25.4× 48
8h +10.155% 17.5R -0.390% 0.7R 26.0× 96
12h +10.155% 17.5R -0.390% 0.7R 26.0× 144
24h +10.155% 17.5R -0.390% 0.7R 26.0× 288
48h +10.155% 17.5R -2.145% 3.7R 4.7× 576
72h +10.155% 17.5R -2.180% 3.8R 4.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 244 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.