Long Trade on ARB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1225.76 ARB at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1758 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.165 (3.79 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 09:15:06
hyperliquid
ARB
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 09:15
→ 12:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.1715$
Qty 1225.7606 ARB
Size 210.2057$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1758 (+2.51%)
TP $ 5.27$
SL 0.165 (-3.79%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.66
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +5.27$
MAE -2.42%
MFE +2.63%
0.7R
expires
29 Oct 15:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 232509)
#8 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 09:00
score du 29/10/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4622
Quality Score
0.611
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.90
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 09:00
29/10 09:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/10 08:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7244
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
68.1%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.021
Δ 4h
▲+0.436
Δ 12h
▲+0.299
Δ 24h
▲+0.425
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 68.8% |
| 1h | 47.9% |
| 4h | 81.3% |
| 24h | 29.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.6% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 81.3% | +0.90% |
| 24h | 52.1% | -0.85% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
8.3%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.160
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 09:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3257
Score SMA
0.2724
Rank
#40
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1501
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4039 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.83% · r3d: 2.05% · ema21_slope: -0.4954% · dist_ema21: -4.744% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.29% · rs_3d: 0.54% · beta_24h: 2.584 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1478 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.851 · trend: -64.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4168 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 66.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6107
Score SMA
0.4808
Rank
#8
/ 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4622
Rank Norm SMA
0.3097
Calculé le
29/10/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6520 | r1h: 1.858% · r4h: 4.071% · r1d: 3.96% · r3d: 0.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1238% · dist_ema21: 1.968% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7321 | rs_1h: 1.994% · rs_4h: 4.073% · rs_1d: 4.80% · rs_3d: 0.49% · beta_24h: 2.154 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2397 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.319 · trend: -23.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5610 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.590% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4948
Score SMA
0.4090
Rank
#37
/ 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3099
Rank Norm SMA
0.2060
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4720 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.962% · r1d: -0.24% · r3d: -1.84% · ema21_slope: -0.0659% · dist_ema21: -0.583% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5134 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.564% · rs_1d: 1.19% · rs_3d: -1.54% · beta_24h: 2.164 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2232 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.604 · trend: -37.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5582 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9648 | ATR%: 3.106% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.790%
(0.0065)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.662% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.353% | 0.4R | -1.662% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -1.662% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.630% | 0.7R | -2.420% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -12.000% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 169 min
MAE in 659 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.01
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.03 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -1.69% | +0.00 | 29/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.71% | +0.37 | 29/10 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.67 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.42 | 29/10 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444600
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.669 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 35b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 68% | ↓ -0.48 | value | +1.33 | — | #211839 | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.03 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#449106
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.340 | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 3b -0.2ATR | — | — | 0.79 | 9% | ↑ +0.39 | above_value | -0.27 | — | #213719 | 0.55 | bear_high | -1.69% | +0.00 |
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 08:12
|
|
1h
anchor #449523
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.653 | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 5b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.66 | 44% | ↓ -0.48 | value | +0.84 | — | #213926 | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.71% | +0.37 |
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 09:09
|
|
15m
#449453
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.354 | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
choppy 50% | late 5b 3.1ATR | — | — | 1.38 | 67% | ↑ +0.17 | above_value | -0.27 | — | #213719 | 0.67 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.42 |
29/10 08:45
upd 29/10 09:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 35b | — | 5.761×ATR | p67 | -0.619×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.062×ATR | p0 | -0.197×ATR | p15 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.189×ATR | p71 | +1.236×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.363×ATR | p69 | +3.067×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.16496344
- tp_price: 0.17577725
- atr: 0.00261062
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T19:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 5
- total: 69
- score: 0.652
- delta_2h: 0.1136
- extension_atr: 1.32
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4715
- confidence: 0.991
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1715 | 0.165 | 0.1758 | 0.66 | 0.1376 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1715
- Stop Loss: 0.165
- Take Profit: 0.1758
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.165 - 0.1715 = -0.0065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1715 - 0.1758 = -0.0043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0043 / -0.0065 = 0.6615
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 210.2057 | 100 | 1225.7606 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0065
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0065 = -1230.77
Taille de position USD = -1230.77 x 0.1715 = -211.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -1230.77 avec un stoploss a 0.165
Avec un position size USD de -211.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1230.77 x -0.0065 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1230.77 x -0.0043 = 5.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.29$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1230.77
- Taille de position USD -211.08
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.29
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6615
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 5.27 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.79 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.27 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6618 % | 43.85 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1715 | 0.165 | 0.1758 | 0.66 | 0.1376 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1715
- Stop Loss: 0.165
- Take Profit: 0.1758
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.165 - 0.1715 = -0.0065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1715 - 0.1758 = -0.0043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0043 / -0.0065 = 0.6615
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.790%
(0.0065)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.662% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.353% | 0.4R | -1.662% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -1.662% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.630% | 0.7R | -2.420% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -12.000% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.630% | 0.7R | -14.746% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 169 min
MAE in 659 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.