Short Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 0.8 XMR at 600.65$ per unit. Take profit: 575.6309 (4.17 %) & Stop Loss: 610.6577 (1.67 %)
Short Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 0.8 XMR at 600.65$ per unit. Take profit: 575.6309 (4.17 %) & Stop Loss: 610.6577 (1.67 %)
Position
Entry 600.65$
Qty 0.7994 XMR
Size 480.1524$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 575.6309 (+4.17%)
TP $ 20$
SL 610.6577 (-1.67%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5169
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 29/10 08:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 38.8% |
| 1h | 93.9% |
| 4h | 89.8% |
| 24h | 53.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.8% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 89.8% | +1.34% |
| 24h | 67.4% | +0.21% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6654 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.34% · r3d: 1.00% · ema21_slope: 0.5805% · dist_ema21: 2.992% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5265 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.88% · rs_3d: -0.51% · beta_24h: 0.912 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2817 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: 20.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6647 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1632 | ATR%: 5.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5102 | r1h: 0.073% · r4h: 0.555% · r1d: -0.40% · r3d: 1.17% · ema21_slope: -0.0567% · dist_ema21: 0.429% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5385 | rs_1h: 0.209% · rs_4h: 0.556% · rs_1d: 0.45% · rs_3d: 1.51% · beta_24h: 0.938 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1563 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -1.004 · trend: -32.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4794 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.941% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5723 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.155% · r1d: -1.22% · r3d: 1.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0134% · dist_ema21: 0.059% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5117 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.757% · rs_1d: 0.21% · rs_3d: 1.80% · beta_24h: 0.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2134 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.686 · trend: -33.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4105 | ADX: 10.3 (weak) · Chop: 59.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.095% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.478% | 0.3R | -0.308% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.513% | 0.3R | -0.927% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.513% | 0.3R | -2.925% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.513% | 0.3R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.513% | 0.3R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.725% | 1.6R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.385% | 2.6R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.385% | 2.6R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.80 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.33 | bear_high | -1.69% | +0.08 | 29/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.71% | +0.01 | 29/10 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.34 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.08 | 29/10 09:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444761
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.618 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 6b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 85% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.81 | — | #211890 | 0.50 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.80 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#449239
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.629 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 7b 0.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.73 | 69% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +1.15 | — | #213773 | 0.33 | bear_high | -1.69% | +0.08 |
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 08:20
|
|
1h
anchor #449578
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.663 | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 9b 0.5ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.28 | 2% | ↔ -0.09 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #213980 | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.71% | +0.01 |
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 09:11
|
|
15m
#449720
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.697 | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 8b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.67 | 38% | ↓ -0.34 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #213980 | 0.34 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.08 |
29/10 09:15
upd 29/10 09:33
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.898×ATR | p0 | +0.439×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.584×ATR | p0 | +0.029×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.861×ATR | p47 | +0.498×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.535×ATR | p7 | +0.88×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
584
139
0.4785
0.5945
0.2722
0.1935
0.3366
1
0.0966
0.5374
0.3447
0.0616
0.5347
0.4514
0.06
0.0096
0.6667
0.3734
0.1245
0.4737
0.5263
-1
10
1
0.6131
0.5894
3.8565
0.5
1.8097
3.8308
0.1245
0
0.3427
0.1
-0.2976
0.3508
0.5628
0.2769
0.4514
-3.9987
3.2904
1
1
0
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584
610.15
610.15
584
593.2
583.09
588.145
0.67
610.15
595.7
602.925
0.812
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600.65 | 610.6577 | 575.6309 | 2.5 | 523.11 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 610.6577 - 600.65 = 10.0077
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 600.65 - 575.6309 = 25.0191
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.0191 / 10.0077 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480.1524 | 100 | 0.7994 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 10.0077 = 0.8
Taille de position USD = 0.8 x 600.65 = 480.52
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.8 avec un stoploss a 610.6577
Avec un position size USD de 480.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.8 x 10.0077 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.8 x 25.0191 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.17 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.67 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7847 % | 107.12 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600.65 | 610.6577 | 575.6309 | 2.5 | 523.11 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 610.6577 - 600.65 = 10.0077
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 600.65 - 575.6309 = 25.0191
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.0191 / 10.0077 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.478% | 0.3R | -0.308% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.513% | 0.3R | -0.927% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.513% | 0.3R | -2.925% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.513% | 0.3R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.513% | 0.3R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.725% | 1.6R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.385% | 2.6R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.385% | 2.6R | -9.819% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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