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Long Trade on SPX

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29 Oct 2026 at 11:15:13 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SPX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 580.48 SPX at 0.399$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4093 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3855 (3.46 %)

SPX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 11:15 → 13:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3993$

Qty 580.4778 SPX

Size 231.8022$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4093 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.8$

SL 0.3855 (-3.46%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.72

Status loss PnL -3.46% / -8.01$ MAE -9.46% MFE +0.98% 0.3R expires 29 Oct 17:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232679)
#30 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8413

Quality Score
0.567
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#30 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#30 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.56×ATR
4h near -0.79×ATR
1d clear 5.93×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.49
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 11:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/10 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7252
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 84.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.080
Δ 4h
▲+0.229
Δ 12h
▲+0.773
Δ 24h
▲+0.757

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 40.0%
1h 96.0%
4h 92.0%
24h 70.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 16.0% -0.02%
4h 74.0% +1.49%
24h 68.0% +1.09%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
14.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
14.0%
Tail ↑
+0.79
Tail ↓
+0.42
Dispersion : 0.173
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 11:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4652
Score SMA
0.3432
Rank
#10 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8615
Rank Norm SMA
0.4624
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5752 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: -0.3171% · dist_ema21: 5.853%
Force Relative 25% 0.6935 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.93% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 1.878
Volume 20% 0.3057 rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.248 · trend: -23.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3878 ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.432% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5672
Score SMA
0.5521
Rank
#30 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8413
Rank Norm SMA
0.6770
Calculé le
29/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6467 r1h: 0.244% · r4h: 0.942% · r1d: 5.21% · r3d: 4.89% · ema21_slope: 0.0694% · dist_ema21: 1.150%
Force Relative 25% 0.5509 rs_1h: -0.836% · rs_4h: -0.161% · rs_1d: 4.50% · rs_3d: 3.93% · beta_24h: 1.675
Volume 20% 0.3047 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: 0.033 · trend: -22.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5254 ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 64.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.473% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6739
Score SMA
0.5476
Rank
#5 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9487
Rank Norm SMA
0.7733
Calculé le
29/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7201 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.569% · r1d: 3.32% · r3d: 6.21% · ema21_slope: 0.3577% · dist_ema21: 3.517%
Force Relative 25% 0.7042 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.171% · rs_1d: 4.75% · rs_3d: 6.51% · beta_24h: 2.226
Volume 20% 0.3825 rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.221 · trend: -4.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7024 ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.936% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.456% (0.0138)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.984% 0.3R -1.242% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +0.984% 0.3R -2.682% 0.8R 0.4× 24
4h +0.984% 0.3R -5.332% 1.5R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.984% 0.3R -9.457% 2.7R 0.1× 72
8h +0.984% 0.3R -11.871% 3.4R 0.1× 96
12h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 144
24h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 288
48h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 576
72h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 29 min MAE in 544 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.72 bull_high +4.55% +0.77 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -0.8ATR 0.64 bear_high -1.69% +0.80 29/10 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 35% early — near -0.6ATR 0.54 range_medium +0.68% +0.30 29/10 10:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.0ATR 0.56 bull_low_confirmed +0.89% -0.04 29/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444727
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.658 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% late 54b 0.8ATR — — 1.04 52% ↑ +0.23 above_value +8.54 — #211873 0.72 bull_high +4.55% +0.77
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
4h
#449187
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.665 expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% late 29b 1.2ATR — near -0.8ATR 1.17 64% ↔ +0.05 above_value +6.54 inside #213756 0.64 bear_high -1.69% +0.80
29/10 04:00
upd 29/10 08:17
1h anchor
#450260
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.609 volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 35% early 6b 0.7ATR — near -0.6ATR 0.91 67% ↓ -0.48 above_value +6.75 — #214234 0.54 range_medium +0.68% +0.30
29/10 10:00
upd 29/10 11:11
15m
#450190
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.720 expansion_after_compression bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 40% early 1b 0.8ATR — near 0.0ATR 1.28 70% ↑ +0.26 above_value +6.27 — #214098 0.56 bull_low_confirmed +0.89% -0.04
29/10 10:45
upd 29/10 11:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 54b — 9.06×ATR p94 +0.809×ATR p52
4h ↑ up late 29b — 5.469×ATR p92 +1.224×ATR p77
1h ↑ up early 6b — 1.58×ATR p2 +0.737×ATR p46
15m ↓ down early 1b — 1.666×ATR p8 +0.808×ATR p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.38554825
  2. tp_price: 0.40931325
  3. atr: 0.0055127
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T21:15:13+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 68
  3. score: 0.6804
  4. delta_2h: 0.0662
  5. extension_atr: 0.82
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.849
  9. confidence: 0.975

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3993 0.3855 0.4093 0.72 0.3228
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3993
  • Stop Loss: 0.3855
  • Take Profit: 0.4093

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3855 - 0.3993 = -0.0138

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3993 - 0.4093 = -0.01

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01 / -0.0138 = 0.7246

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
231.8022 100 580.4778 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0138

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0138 = -579.71

Taille de position USD = -579.71 x 0.3993 = -231.48

Donc, tu peux acheter -579.71 avec un stoploss a 0.3855

Avec un position size USD de -231.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -579.71 x -0.0138 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -579.71 x -0.01 = 5.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -579.71
  • Taille de position USD -231.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7246

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.8 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.46 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.6088 % 104.42 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3993 0.3855 0.4093 0.72 0.3228
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3993
  • Stop Loss: 0.3855
  • Take Profit: 0.4093

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3855 - 0.3993 = -0.0138

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3993 - 0.4093 = -0.01

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01 / -0.0138 = 0.7246

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4093
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.38412
            [rr_ratio] => 0.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4093
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.38274
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4093
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.38136
            [rr_ratio] => 0.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 18:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4093
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.3786
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.456% (0.0138)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.984% 0.3R -1.242% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +0.984% 0.3R -2.682% 0.8R 0.4× 24
4h +0.984% 0.3R -5.332% 1.5R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.984% 0.3R -9.457% 2.7R 0.1× 72
8h +0.984% 0.3R -11.871% 3.4R 0.1× 96
12h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 144
24h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 288
48h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 576
72h +0.984% 0.3R -15.768% 4.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 29 min MAE in 544 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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