29 Oct 2026 at 12:28:32 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (PavLongMomentum4h)

With 0.68 HYPE at 96.077$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 88.6686 (7.71 %)

HYPE LONG PavLongMomentum4h hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 12:28 → 20:20 · 7 hours

Position

Entry 96.077$

Qty 0.6771 HYPE

Size 65.0512$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 65.05$

SL 88.6686 (-7.71%)

SL $ 5.02$

RR

Status loss PnL -7.71% / -5.02$ MAE -3.72% MFE +1.08% 0.1R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232746)
#2 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8750

Quality Score
0.935
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.18×ATR
1d clear 4.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.52B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 12:17
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7257
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.90

mature

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 87.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.040
Δ 1h
→+0.040
Δ 4h
▲+0.255
Δ 12h
▲+0.800
Δ 24h
▲+0.475

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.0%
1h 68.0%
4h 94.0%
24h 86.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.0% +0.10%
4h 72.0% +2.95%
24h 72.0% +3.25%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
62.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
62.0%
Tail ↑
+0.82
Tail ↓
+0.96
Dispersion : 0.233
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 12:16 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3907
Score SMA
0.3673
Rank
#20 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7077
Rank Norm SMA
0.6028
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3656 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.79% · r3d: 5.69% · ema21_slope: -0.3885% · dist_ema21: -0.337%
Force Relative 25% 0.5162 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.32% · rs_3d: 4.18% · beta_24h: 1.404
Volume 20% 0.2712 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.649 · trend: -16.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4047 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 73.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3702 ATR%: 4.889% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.9345
Score SMA
0.5498
Rank
#2 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.6374
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9504 r1h: 3.351% · r4h: 6.785% · r1d: 17.79% · r3d: 19.90% · ema21_slope: 0.4329% · dist_ema21: 11.472%
Force Relative 25% 0.9595 rs_1h: 2.632% · rs_4h: 4.791% · rs_1d: 16.29% · rs_3d: 18.24% · beta_24h: 1.205
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.86× · zscore_50: 3.547 · trend: 251.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8231 ADX: 38.8 (trend) · Chop: -4.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.755% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.9267
Score SMA
0.5378
Rank
#1 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9930
Rank Norm SMA
0.7106
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9038 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.785% · r1d: 17.79% · r3d: 19.90% · ema21_slope: 0.4004% · dist_ema21: 15.568%
Force Relative 25% 0.9748 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.791% · rs_1d: 16.29% · rs_3d: 18.24% · beta_24h: 2.525
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.59× · zscore_50: 5.825 · trend: 272.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7206 ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 10.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.673% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -7.711% (7.4084)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.075% 0.1R -1.594% 0.2R 0.7× 12
2h +1.075% 0.1R -3.203% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +1.075% 0.1R -3.723% 0.5R 0.3× 48
8h +1.075% 0.1R -7.890% 1.0R 0.1× 96
12h +1.075% 0.1R -7.890% 1.0R 0.1× 144
24h +1.075% 0.1R -7.890% 1.0R 0.1× 288
48h +1.075% 0.1R -10.243% 1.3R 0.1× 576
72h +1.075% 0.1R -10.243% 1.3R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1 min MAE in 471 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.38
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
choppy 47% late — near 0.2ATR 0.62 range_high +0.26% +0.95 29/10 08:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
ranging_calm 58% late — — 0.57 bull_medium_confirmed +1.37% +0.88 29/10 11:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high_confirmed
72%
choppy 51% late — — 0.39 bull_low_confirmed +1.41% +0.71 29/10 12:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444719
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.553 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid 35b -0.1ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.93 45% ↔ +0.10 above_value +3.87 — #211870 0.48 bull_high +4.55% -0.37
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#450669
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.532 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
choppy 47% late 3b 4.9ATR — near 0.2ATR 6.59 100% ↑ +0.51 above_value +9.75 — #214372 0.62 range_high +0.26% +0.95
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:18
1h anchor
#450668
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.541 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
ranging_calm 58% late 12b 5.3ATR — — 3.86 100% ↑ +0.91 above_value +9.75 inside #214372 0.57 bull_medium_confirmed +1.37% +0.88
29/10 11:00
upd 29/10 12:17
15m
#450754
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.717 expansion bull_high_confirmed
72%
choppy 51% late 10b 4.4ATR — — 1.73 98% ↔ +0.14 above_value +9.75 — #214372 0.39 bull_low_confirmed +1.41% +0.71
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 12:21
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 35b — 4.427×ATR p57 -0.074×ATR p5
4h ↑ up late 3b — 6.321×ATR p94 +4.935×ATR p100
1h ↑ up late 12b — 9.628×ATR p100 +5.309×ATR p99
15m ↑ up late 10b — 4.867×ATR p83 +4.351×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

PavLongMomentum4h - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: breakout|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 84.26144444
  5. tp_price:
  6. atr:
  7. score: 1
  8. exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
  9. confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.1721
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1721
  15. micro_price : 96.37737394
  16. spread_pct : 0.007264
  17. mid_price : 96.3755
  18. bid_wall_price : 96
  19. bid_wall_size : 9231.71
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1792
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0439
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7135
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : pav_long_momentum
  35. timeframe : 4h
  36. breakout_period : 42
  37. ma_exit_period : 9
  38. breakout_high : 94.644
  39. breakout_high_time : 2026-10-29T12:00:00
  40. ma_exit_at_entry : 84.26144444
  41. entry_price : 96.077
  42. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:28 96.07700000 0%
2 12:55 96.07700000 0%
3 13:25 95.74900000 -0.341%
4 13:35 95.74900000 -0.341%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7135ms Confidence avant OB : 100% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.172
avg 0.179 ± 0.044
OBI Top 10 0.172

Microstructure

Mid Price
96.3755
Micro Price
96.3774
Spread
0.0073%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
96.0000
Size
9,231.71

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
96.077 88.6686 69.426
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 96.077
  • Stop Loss: 88.6686
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 88.6686 - 96.077 = -7.4084

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 96.077 - = 96.077

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 96.077 / -7.4084 = -12.9687

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
65.0512 65.0512 0.6771 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -7.4084

Taille de position = 8 / -7.4084 = -1.08

Taille de position USD = -1.08 x 96.077 = -103.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.08 avec un stoploss a 88.6686

Avec un position size USD de -103.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.08 x -7.4084 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.08 x 96.077 = -103.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -103.76$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.08
  • Taille de position USD -103.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -103.76
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -12.9687

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 65.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.71 % 5.02 $
PNL PNL %
-5.02 $ -7.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.8895 % 102.32 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
96.077 88.6686 69.426
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 96.077
  • Stop Loss: 88.6686
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 88.6686 - 96.077 = -7.4084

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 96.077 - = 96.077

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 96.077 / -7.4084 = -12.9687

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 96.077
            [stop_loss] => 87.92776
            [rr_ratio] => 11.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 16:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 96.077
            [stop_loss] => 87.18692
            [rr_ratio] => 10.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 16:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 96.077
            [stop_loss] => 86.44608
            [rr_ratio] => 9.98
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 16:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 96.077
            [stop_loss] => 84.9644
            [rr_ratio] => 8.65
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 16:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -7.711% (7.4084)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.075% 0.1R -1.594% 0.2R 0.7× 12
2h +1.075% 0.1R -3.203% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +1.075% 0.1R -3.723% 0.5R 0.3× 48
8h +1.075% 0.1R -7.890% 1.0R 0.1× 96
12h +1.075% 0.1R -7.890% 1.0R 0.1× 144
24h +1.075% 0.1R -7.890% 1.0R 0.1× 288
48h +1.075% 0.1R -10.243% 1.3R 0.1× 576
72h +1.075% 0.1R -10.243% 1.3R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1 min MAE in 471 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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