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Long Trade on PUMP

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29 Oct 2026 at 13:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 34869.02 PUMP at 0.00455$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004664 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004321 (5.03 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 13:15 → 16:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.00455$

Qty 34869.0232 PUMP

Size 158.6541$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.004664 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.98$

SL 0.004321 (-5.03%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.5

Status loss PnL -5.03% / -7.99$ MAE -13.36% MFE +0.04% 0.0R expires 29 Oct 19:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232902)
#5 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8065

Quality Score
0.787
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.76×ATR
4h clear 1.95×ATR
1d clear 3.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.96
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
92.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 12:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7260
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 83.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
▼-0.083
Δ 4h
▲+0.149
Δ 12h
▲+0.737
Δ 24h
▲+0.536

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 43.1%
1h 13.7%
4h 92.2%
24h 82.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.0% -0.02%
4h 68.6% +1.96%
24h 68.6% +2.00%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
23.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
23.5%
Tail ↑
+1.05
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion : 0.160
Universe : 51 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 13:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3418
Score SMA
0.3287
Rank
#34 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4923
Rank Norm SMA
0.4428
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3617 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: 7.26% · ema21_slope: -0.6445% · dist_ema21: -2.857%
Force Relative 25% 0.5170 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.50% · rs_3d: 5.74% · beta_24h: 2.667
Volume 20% 0.2022 rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.598 · trend: -41.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4243 ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 66.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.281% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.7867
Score SMA
0.5008
Rank
#5 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8065
Rank Norm SMA
0.4042
Calculé le
29/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7676 r1h: 1.281% · r4h: 4.084% · r1d: 9.32% · r3d: 7.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0616% · dist_ema21: 4.675%
Force Relative 25% 0.7894 rs_1h: 1.884% · rs_4h: 2.568% · rs_1d: 8.52% · rs_3d: 6.10% · beta_24h: 2.214
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.21× · zscore_50: 3.151 · trend: 104.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6629 ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 35.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.080% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6152
Score SMA
0.4165
Rank
#26 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6150
Rank Norm SMA
0.2309
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6809 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.019% · r1d: 7.63% · r3d: 4.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1121% · dist_ema21: 4.412%
Force Relative 25% 0.6227 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.025% · rs_1d: 6.13% · rs_3d: 2.96% · beta_24h: 3.493
Volume 20% 0.5468 rvol_20: 1.79× · zscore_50: 0.928 · trend: 9.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5044 ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7022 ATR%: 3.894% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.033% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.044% 0.0R -2.198% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.044% 0.0R -3.560% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.044% 0.0R -13.363% 2.7R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.044% 0.0R -13.363% 2.7R 0.0× 72
8h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 576
72h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 424 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.50 bull_high +4.55% -0.96 27/10 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.50 range_high +0.26% +0.55 29/10 08:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.66 range_medium +0.75% +0.10 29/10 12:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.67 bull_low_confirmed +0.80% +0.39 29/10 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444741
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.640 compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 38% mid 24b -0.3ATR — — 0.69 74% ↓ -0.28 value +3.06 — #211880 0.50 bull_high +4.55% -0.96
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
4h
#450699
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive 0.806 expansion bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b 1.1ATR — — 1.79 54% ↑ +0.24 value +2.58 — #214382 0.50 range_high +0.26% +0.55
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:19
1h anchor
#451057
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.668 expansion bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 39% late 13b 2.2ATR — — 3.21 99% ↑ +0.22 above_value +3.51 — #214598 0.66 range_medium +0.75% +0.10
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 13:11
15m
#450985
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.720 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 43% mid 2b 1.9ATR — — 0.56 76% ↑ +0.59 value +2.58 — #214382 0.67 bull_low_confirmed +0.80% +0.39
29/10 12:45
upd 29/10 13:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 24b — 4.448×ATR p71 -0.289×ATR p21
4h ↑ up early 3b — 2.064×ATR p3 +1.087×ATR p57
1h ↑ up late 13b — 4.423×ATR p82 +2.191×ATR p94
15m ↓ down mid 2b — 1.033×ATR p3 +1.862×ATR p74

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00432057
  2. tp_price: 0.00466375
  3. atr: 9.177E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T23:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 72
  3. score: 0.723
  4. delta_2h: 0.0999
  5. extension_atr: 1.63
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8047
  9. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00455 0.004321 0.004664 0.5 0.003389
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00455
  • Stop Loss: 0.004321
  • Take Profit: 0.004664

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004321 - 0.00455 = -0.000229

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00455 - 0.004664 = -0.000114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000114 / -0.000229 = 0.4978

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.6541 100 34869.0232 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000229

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000229 = -34934.5

Taille de position USD = -34934.5 x 0.00455 = -158.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -34934.5 avec un stoploss a 0.004321

Avec un position size USD de -158.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -34934.5 x -0.000229 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -34934.5 x -0.000114 = 3.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -34934.5
  • Taille de position USD -158.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4978

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.03 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -5.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.0549 % 100.44 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00455 0.004321 0.004664 0.5 0.003389
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00455
  • Stop Loss: 0.004321
  • Take Profit: 0.004664

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004321 - 0.00455 = -0.000229

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00455 - 0.004664 = -0.000114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000114 / -0.000229 = 0.4978

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004664
            [entry_price] => 0.00455
            [stop_loss] => 0.0042981
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004664
            [entry_price] => 0.00455
            [stop_loss] => 0.0042752
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004664
            [entry_price] => 0.00455
            [stop_loss] => 0.0042523
            [rr_ratio] => 0.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004664
            [entry_price] => 0.00455
            [stop_loss] => 0.0042065
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.033% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.044% 0.0R -2.198% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.044% 0.0R -3.560% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.044% 0.0R -13.363% 2.7R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.044% 0.0R -13.363% 2.7R 0.0× 72
8h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 576
72h +0.044% 0.0R -17.319% 3.4R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 424 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.