Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 16135.54 XPL at 0.0774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07838 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0769 (0.63 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 16135.54 XPL at 0.0774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07838 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0769 (0.63 %)
Position
Entry 0.07739$
Qty 16135.5385 XPL
Size 1248.7777$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07838 (+1.28%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.0769 (-0.63%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.02
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5968
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.10×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/10 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.661633 15m : 0.67464 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 17.3% |
| 1h | 9.6% |
| 4h | 92.3% |
| 24h | 78.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 17.3% | -0.12% |
| 4h | 76.9% | +1.70% |
| 24h | 75.0% | +1.97% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3145 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.24% · r3d: 4.27% · ema21_slope: -0.7713% · dist_ema21: -3.736% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4694 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.70% · rs_3d: 2.75% · beta_24h: 2.289 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2549 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.497 · trend: -54.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4023 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.437% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5777 | r1h: -1.485% · r4h: 1.118% · r1d: 1.78% · r3d: 5.69% · ema21_slope: 0.0715% · dist_ema21: 1.605% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5039 | rs_1h: -0.882% · rs_4h: -0.399% · rs_1d: 0.98% · rs_3d: 4.40% · beta_24h: 1.626 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2613 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.289 · trend: -12.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6826 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 43.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.670% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6545 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.682% · r1d: 1.66% · r3d: 6.25% · ema21_slope: 0.2133% · dist_ema21: 4.704% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5665 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.688% · rs_1d: 0.16% · rs_3d: 4.59% · beta_24h: 1.466 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3882 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.099 · trend: 24.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6042 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.939% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.116% | 0.2R | -1.304% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.116% | 0.2R | -1.954% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.116% | 0.2R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.116% | 0.2R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.215% | 0.3R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.924% | 4.6R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.523% | 10.3R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.682% | 18.5R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.67 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.58 | range_high | +0.26% | +0.61 | 29/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.71 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.03 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.59 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.80% | -0.03 | 29/10 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444743
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.400 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 33b -0.5ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.05 | 55% | ↓ -0.25 | value | +2.45 | — | #211881 | 0.54 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.67 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#450702
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.772 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 3b 1.5ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 1.01 | 45% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | +3.14 | — | #214383 | 0.58 | range_high | +0.26% | +0.61 |
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:19
|
|
1h
anchor #451058
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.521 | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 3b 1.0ATR | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.69 | 70% | ↓ -0.21 | above_value | +2.56 | — | #214599 | 0.71 | range_medium | +0.75% | +0.03 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 13:11
|
|
15m
#450986
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.813 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.30 | 18% | ↑ +0.42 | above_value | +3.14 | — | #214383 | 0.59 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.80% | -0.03 |
29/10 12:45
upd 29/10 13:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 7.542×ATR | p96 | -0.493×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.269×ATR | p7 | +1.489×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.257×ATR | p0 | +0.963×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.706×ATR | p34 | +0.351×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
80742.3
0.00249781
80944
0.661633
80560.9
0.00475447
80944
0.67464
80570.1
0.00713489
81145
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0.079466
197
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0.0643
1
0.672
1.3948
0.6
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1
2
0.9474
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3.1204
0.55
1.8196
2.7684
1.3948
0.5802
0.2478
0.64
-0.1741
0.5125
0.4292
0.425
0.7888
-1.4907
5.567
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:17 | 0.07739300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 13:26 | 0.07708800 | -0.39% |
| 3 | 13:36 | 0.07715200 | -0.308% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 09:25:00 | 0.076852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 09:55:00 | 0.076896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 10:15:00 | 0.076417 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 10:50:00 | 0.078017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 12:20:00 | 0.07644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 13:00:00 | 0.077525 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 13:35:00 | 0.076249 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 14:35:00 | 0.077915 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 15:55:00 | 0.079466 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 17:15:00 | 0.077393 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 23:00:00 | 0.076563 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 00:15:00 | 0.07712 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 02:30:00 | 0.073787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 05:15:00 | 0.076652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 07:15:00 | 0.074185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 10:45:00 | 0.078017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 13:00:00 | 0.077525 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 13:30:00 | 0.076249 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 15:45:00 | 0.079466 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 17:15:00 | 0.077393 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 22:00:00 | 0.074285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-26 03:00:00 | 0.071558 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-26 15:00:00 | 0.075226 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 10:00:00 | 0.070688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-27 15:00:00 | 0.07469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 21:00:00 | 0.073298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 14:00:00 | 0.075067 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 19:00:00 | 0.079195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 02:00:00 | 0.073787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 15:00:00 | 0.079466 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07739 | 0.0769 | 0.07838 | 2.02 | 0.04821 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0769 - 0.07739 = -0.00049
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07739 - 0.07838 = -0.00099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00099 / -0.00049 = 2.0204
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1248.7777 | 100 | 16135.5385 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00049 = -16326.53
Taille de position USD = -16326.53 x 0.07739 = -1263.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -16326.53 avec un stoploss a 0.0769
Avec un position size USD de -1263.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16326.53 x -0.00049 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16326.53 x -0.00099 = 16.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.28 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9032 % | 142.64 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07739 | 0.0769 | 0.07838 | 2.02 | 0.04821 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0769 - 0.07739 = -0.00049
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07739 - 0.07838 = -0.00099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00099 / -0.00049 = 2.0204
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[take_profit] => 0.07838
[entry_price] => 0.07739
[stop_loss] => 0.076851
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07838
[entry_price] => 0.07739
[stop_loss] => 0.076802
[rr_ratio] => 1.68
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07838
[entry_price] => 0.07739
[stop_loss] => 0.076753
[rr_ratio] => 1.55
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07838
[entry_price] => 0.07739
[stop_loss] => 0.076655
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-29 17:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.116% | 0.2R | -1.304% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.116% | 0.2R | -1.954% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.116% | 0.2R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.116% | 0.2R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.215% | 0.3R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.924% | 4.6R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.523% | 10.3R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.682% | 18.5R | -12.781% | 20.2R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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