29 Oct 2026 at 14:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 250.54 GRASS at 0.646$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6295 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6775 (4.94 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 14:15 → 16:00 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.6456$

Qty 250.5412 GRASS

Size 161.7469$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6295 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.03$

SL 0.6775 (-4.94%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.03$ MAE -1.10% MFE +13.05% 2.6R expires 29 Oct 20:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 232961)
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0620

Quality Score
0.395
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.58×ATR
4h near 0.27×ATR
1d near 0.02×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.29
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 14:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 13:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7264
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 77.4%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.057
Δ 4h
→+0.014
Δ 12h
▲+0.240
Δ 24h
▲+0.546

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 49.1%
1h 11.3%
4h 88.7%
24h 75.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 43.4% -0.03%
4h 58.5% +1.29%
24h 69.8% +1.42%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
11.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
11.3%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion : 0.163
Universe : 53 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 14:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4202
Score SMA
0.5370
Rank
#14 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.8956
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6349 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -5.15% · ema21_slope: 0.4174% · dist_ema21: 2.793%
Force Relative 25% 0.4061 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.80% · rs_3d: -6.66% · beta_24h: 2.983
Volume 20% 0.2358 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.398 · trend: -13.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5406 ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 64.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.205% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3945
Score SMA
0.5528
Rank
#72 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0620
Rank Norm SMA
0.5852
Calculé le
29/10/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2833 r1h: -2.541% · r4h: -1.304% · r1d: -6.04% · r3d: -6.42% · ema21_slope: -0.2248% · dist_ema21: -2.676%
Force Relative 25% 0.2369 rs_1h: -2.065% · rs_4h: -2.015% · rs_1d: -6.07% · rs_3d: -7.11% · beta_24h: 1.242
Volume 20% 0.2420 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.410 · trend: -10.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6231 ADX: 37.1 (trend) · Chop: 61.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.018% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4696
Score SMA
0.5384
Rank
#70 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1036
Rank Norm SMA
0.6619
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5617 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.274% · r1d: -4.63% · r3d: -5.44% · ema21_slope: 0.0530% · dist_ema21: -3.193%
Force Relative 25% 0.3792 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.720% · rs_1d: -6.13% · rs_3d: -7.10% · beta_24h: 2.048
Volume 20% 0.2607 rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: -0.150 · trend: -31.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6301 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5968 ATR%: 4.210% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.941% (0.0319)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.541% 0.3R -0.387% 0.1R 4.0× 12
2h +5.270% 1.1R -1.095% 0.2R 4.8× 24
4h +9.016% 1.8R -1.095% 0.2R 8.2× 48
6h ★ +13.045% 2.6R -1.095% 0.2R 11.9× 72
8h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 96
12h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 144
24h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 288
48h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 576
72h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 374 min MAE in 94 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.9
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.0ATR — 0.44 bull_high +4.55% +0.84 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression range_high
34%
noisy_chop 44% mid near 0.3ATR — 0.36 range_high +0.26% -0.55 29/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.53 range_medium +0.26% -0.55 29/10 13:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.30 range_low +0.28% -0.31 29/10 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444714
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.653 normal bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 38% early 10b 0.2ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.59 77% ↓ -0.39 above_value -2.25 — #211868 0.44 bull_high +4.55% +0.84
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:24
4h
#450660
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.592 compression range_high
34%
noisy_chop 44% mid 9b -0.7ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.78 41% ↔ +0.13 value -4.59 — #214369 0.36 range_high +0.26% -0.55
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:17
1h anchor
#451427
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.494 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid 1b -1.5ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.61 33% ↔ +0.12 value -4.77 — #214730 0.53 range_medium +0.26% -0.55
29/10 13:00
upd 29/10 14:12
15m
#451352
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.651 expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% mid 7b -1.6ATR — — 0.42 44% ↔ -0.02 value -3.79 — #214584 0.30 range_low +0.28% -0.31
29/10 13:45
upd 29/10 14:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 1.576×ATR p5 +0.241×ATR p19
4h ↓ down mid 9b — 3.815×ATR p62 -0.741×ATR p44
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.925×ATR p29 -1.489×ATR p75
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 4.189×ATR p78 -1.587×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.67752087
  2. tp_price: 0.62945025
  3. atr: 0.01277235
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T00:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 74
  2. total: 74
  3. score: 0.2991
  4. delta_2h: -0.1336
  5. extension_atr: -1.37
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.062
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:15 0.64559000 -0.002%
2 15:15 0.64259000 -0.466%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6456 0.6775 0.6295 0.5 0.4316
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6456
  • Stop Loss: 0.6775
  • Take Profit: 0.6295

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6775 - 0.6456 = 0.0319

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6456 - 0.6295 = 0.0161

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0161 / 0.0319 = 0.5047

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
161.7469 100 250.5412 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0319

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0319 = 250.78

Taille de position USD = 250.78 x 0.6456 = 161.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 250.78 avec un stoploss a 0.6775

Avec un position size USD de 161.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 250.78 x 0.0319 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 250.78 x 0.0161 = 4.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 250.78
  • Taille de position USD 161.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5047

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.94 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
4.03 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0951 % 22.16 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6456 0.6775 0.6295 0.5 0.4316
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6456
  • Stop Loss: 0.6775
  • Take Profit: 0.6295

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6775 - 0.6456 = 0.0319

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6456 - 0.6295 = 0.0161

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0161 / 0.0319 = 0.5047

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5818
            [stop_loss] => 0.6775
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 23:25:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.56585
            [stop_loss] => 0.6775
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.941% (0.0319)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.541% 0.3R -0.387% 0.1R 4.0× 12
2h +5.270% 1.1R -1.095% 0.2R 4.8× 24
4h +9.016% 1.8R -1.095% 0.2R 8.2× 48
6h ★ +13.045% 2.6R -1.095% 0.2R 11.9× 72
8h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 96
12h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 144
24h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 288
48h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 576
72h +14.885% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 13.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 374 min MAE in 94 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.