29 Oct 2026 at 15:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1953.78 NIL at 0.0737$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07189 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07783 (5.55 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 15:15 → 16:40 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.07374$

Qty 1953.7785 NIL

Size 144.0638$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07189 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.61$

SL 0.07783 (-5.55%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.45

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.61$ MAE -2.62% MFE +8.57% 1.5R expires 29 Oct 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233043)
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0581

Quality Score
0.366
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#72 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.65×ATR
4h near -0.26×ATR
1d near -1.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.29
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 14:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7268
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 24.5%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.528
Δ 4h
▼-0.595
Δ 12h
▼-0.188
Δ 24h
▼-0.194

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.4%
1h 7.6%
4h 18.9%
24h 26.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 52.8% +0.04%
4h 26.4% -1.29%
24h 30.2% -1.28%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.7%
Expansion
7.6%
Tail ↑
+0.92
Tail ↓
+0.47
Dispersion : 0.139
Universe : 53 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 15:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4320
Rank
#28 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5846
Rank Norm SMA
0.6848
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.37% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: 0.1405% · dist_ema21: -7.217%
Force Relative 25% 0.1963 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -14.14% · beta_24h: 0.961
Volume 20% 0.2261 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -8.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7616 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.010% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3660
Score SMA
0.5190
Rank
#72 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0581
Rank Norm SMA
0.5209
Calculé le
29/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2670 r1h: -1.765% · r4h: 1.115% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -16.49% · ema21_slope: -0.3144% · dist_ema21: -2.186%
Force Relative 25% 0.2524 rs_1h: -1.740% · rs_4h: 1.504% · rs_1d: -6.52% · rs_3d: -17.60% · beta_24h: 2.503
Volume 20% 0.1624 rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.982 · trend: -29.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5283 ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.426% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3344
Score SMA
0.4690
Rank
#72 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4828
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3653 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.559% · r1d: -6.17% · r3d: -14.39% · ema21_slope: -0.6831% · dist_ema21: -7.865%
Force Relative 25% 0.3086 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.565% · rs_1d: -7.67% · rs_3d: -16.05% · beta_24h: 1.762
Volume 20% 0.1911 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.263 · trend: -50.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7299 ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 38.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.469% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.547% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.328% 0.1R -2.616% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +4.281% 0.8R -2.616% 0.5R 1.6× 24
4h +5.336% 1.0R -2.616% 0.5R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +8.567% 1.5R -2.616% 0.5R 3.3× 72
8h +14.133% 2.6R -2.616% 0.5R 5.4× 96
12h +14.133% 2.6R -2.616% 0.5R 5.4× 144
24h +14.133% 2.6R -11.009% 2.0R 1.3× 288
48h +14.133% 2.6R -11.009% 2.0R 1.3× 576
72h +14.133% 2.6R -11.009% 2.0R 1.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 404 min MAE in 1214 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.93
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.2ATR — 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% late near -0.3ATR — 0.18 range_high +0.26% -0.98 29/10 08:00
1h ↓ down range bullish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% early near -0.6ATR — 0.32 range_medium +0.23% -0.55 29/10 14:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.30 range_low +0.24% +0.00 29/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444735
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.546 expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid 1b -0.5ATR near -1.2ATR — 0.51 75% ↔ -0.08 above_value +0.10 — #211877 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
4h
#450690
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.697 expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% late 14b -1.3ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.55 43% ↓ -0.44 below_value -5.45 — #214379 0.18 range_high +0.26% -0.98
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:18
1h anchor
#451815
↓ down range bullish_transition strong explosive 0.389 normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% early 2b -1.0ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.26 9% ↔ -0.12 below_value -5.41 — #214886 0.32 range_medium +0.23% -0.55
29/10 14:00
upd 29/10 15:11
15m
#451741
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.638 volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% early 10b -0.9ATR — — 0.11 6% ↓ -0.85 below_value -4.08 — #214740 0.30 range_low +0.24% +0.00
29/10 14:45
upd 29/10 15:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 3.91×ATR p50 -0.458×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 14b — 10.168×ATR p100 -1.281×ATR p69
1h ↓ down early 2b — 2.119×ATR p33 -0.978×ATR p48
15m ↑ up early 10b — 0×ATR p0 -0.927×ATR p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07783063
  2. tp_price: 0.0718926
  3. atr: 0.00163785
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T01:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 73
  2. total: 74
  3. score: 0.2878
  4. delta_2h: -0.1126
  5. extension_atr: -0.91
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0581
  9. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:15 0.07373600 -0.005%
2 16:15 0.07399900 +0.351%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07374 0.07783 0.07189 0.45 0.05542
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07374
  • Stop Loss: 0.07783
  • Take Profit: 0.07189

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07783 - 0.07374 = 0.00409

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07374 - 0.07189 = 0.00185

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00185 / 0.00409 = 0.4523

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
144.0638 100 1953.7785 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00409

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00409 = 1955.99

Taille de position USD = 1955.99 x 0.07374 = 144.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 1955.99 avec un stoploss a 0.07783

Avec un position size USD de 144.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1955.99 x 0.00409 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1955.99 x 0.00185 = 3.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1955.99
  • Taille de position USD 144.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4523

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.61 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.55 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.61 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6159 % 47.16 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07374 0.07783 0.07189 0.45 0.05542
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07374
  • Stop Loss: 0.07783
  • Take Profit: 0.07189

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07783 - 0.07374 = 0.00409

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07374 - 0.07189 = 0.00185

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00185 / 0.00409 = 0.4523

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.547% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.328% 0.1R -2.616% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +4.281% 0.8R -2.616% 0.5R 1.6× 24
4h +5.336% 1.0R -2.616% 0.5R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +8.567% 1.5R -2.616% 0.5R 3.3× 72
8h +14.133% 2.6R -2.616% 0.5R 5.4× 96
12h +14.133% 2.6R -2.616% 0.5R 5.4× 144
24h +14.133% 2.6R -11.009% 2.0R 1.3× 288
48h +14.133% 2.6R -11.009% 2.0R 1.3× 576
72h +14.133% 2.6R -11.009% 2.0R 1.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 404 min MAE in 1214 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.