Short Trade on PYTH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2002.13 PYTH at 0.0686$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06689 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0726 (5.82 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 15:15:08
hyperliquid
PYTH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 15:15
→ 16:35
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.06861$
Qty 2002.1323 PYTH
Size 137.3583$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06689 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.44$
SL 0.0726 (-5.82%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +3.44$
MAE -0.81%
MFE +14.55%
2.5R
expires
29 Oct 21:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233023)
#68 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 15:00
score du 29/10/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3248
Quality Score
0.419
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#68 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#68 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.29
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 15:01
29/10 15:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7268
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
24.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.528
Δ 4h
▼-0.595
Δ 12h
▼-0.188
Δ 24h
▼-0.194
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.4% |
| 1h | 7.6% |
| 4h | 18.9% |
| 24h | 26.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.8% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 26.4% | -1.29% |
| 24h | 30.2% | -1.28% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.7%
Expansion
7.6%
Tail ↑
+0.92
Tail ↓
+0.47
Dispersion :
0.139
Universe :
53
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 15:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3695
Score SMA
0.4704
Rank
#26
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7673
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3962 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: -0.3319% · dist_ema21: -2.699% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: -0.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -37.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6879 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4187
Score SMA
0.5264
Rank
#68
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3248
Rank Norm SMA
0.4652
Calculé le
29/10/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3519 | r1h: -1.846% · r4h: -4.191% · r1d: -4.55% · r3d: -7.22% · ema21_slope: -0.0815% · dist_ema21: -3.400% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2211 | rs_1h: -1.822% · rs_4h: -3.802% · rs_1d: -4.35% · rs_3d: -8.33% · beta_24h: 1.809 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3231 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.074 · trend: 46.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6926 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 30.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.486% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6554
Score SMA
0.4395
Rank
#13
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4379
Rank Norm SMA
0.3425
Calculé le
29/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5560 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.841% · r1d: 2.61% · r3d: -3.43% · ema21_slope: -0.1056% · dist_ema21: 1.311% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5230 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.847% · rs_1d: 1.11% · rs_3d: -5.09% · beta_24h: 2.195 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 8.95× · zscore_50: 5.898 · trend: 183.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4952 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8356 | ATR%: 3.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.816%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.771% | 0.3R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +7.181% | 1.2R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 8.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +7.964% | 1.4R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 324 min
MAE in 39 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 7
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.53 | range_high | +0.26% | -0.15 | 29/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.23% | -0.61 | 29/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | +0.24% | -0.54 | 29/10 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444694
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.702 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 13b -0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.47 | 83% | ↓ -0.55 | above_value | -0.67 | — | #211862 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#450630
|
↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | strong | explosive | 0.386 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 8.95 | 98% | ↑ +0.42 | above_value | +0.87 | — | #214359 | 0.53 | range_high | +0.26% | -0.15 |
29/10 08:00
upd 29/10 12:15
|
|
1h
anchor #451795
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.202 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 5b -1.3ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.48 | 89% | ↑ +0.68 | below_value | -1.85 | inside | #214866 | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.23% | -0.61 |
29/10 14:00
upd 29/10 15:10
|
|
15m
#451721
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.294 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 11b -2.7ATR | — | — | 0.13 | 79% | ↓ -0.52 | below_value | -1.12 | — | #214720 | 0.34 | range_low | +0.24% | -0.54 |
29/10 14:45
upd 29/10 15:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.974×ATR | p50 | -0.268×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.551×ATR | p0 | +0.411×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.505×ATR | p87 | -1.301×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.447×ATR | p88 | -2.71×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07260174
- tp_price: 0.06689085
- atr: 0.0015983
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T01:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 71
- total: 74
- score: 0.3437
- delta_2h: -0.1518
- extension_atr: -1.4
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3267
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:15 | 0.06860600 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 0.06794900 | -0.963% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06861 | 0.0726 | 0.06689 | 0.43 | 0.06499 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06861
- Stop Loss: 0.0726
- Take Profit: 0.06689
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0726 - 0.06861 = 0.00399
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06861 - 0.06689 = 0.00172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00172 / 0.00399 = 0.4311
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137.3583 | 100 | 2002.1323 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00399
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00399 = 2005.01
Taille de position USD = 2005.01 x 0.06861 = 137.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 2005.01 avec un stoploss a 0.0726
Avec un position size USD de 137.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2005.01 x 0.00399 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2005.01 x 0.00172 = 3.45
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.45$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2005.01
- Taille de position USD 137.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.45
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4311
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.82 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.44 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8133 % | 13.99 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06861 | 0.0726 | 0.06689 | 0.43 | 0.06499 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06861
- Stop Loss: 0.0726
- Take Profit: 0.06689
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0726 - 0.06861 = 0.00399
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06861 - 0.06689 = 0.00172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00172 / 0.00399 = 0.4311
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06063
[stop_loss] => 0.0726
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.058635
[stop_loss] => 0.0726
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.816%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.771% | 0.3R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +7.181% | 1.2R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 8.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +7.964% | 1.4R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.552% | 2.5R | -0.813% | 0.1R | 17.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 324 min
MAE in 39 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.