Short Trade on BLUR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 11984.12 BLUR at 0.00756$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00589 (22.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008227 (8.84 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:12:55
hyperliquid
BLUR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:12
→ 05:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.007559$
Qty 11984.121 BLUR
Size 90.588$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00589 (+22.08%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.008227 (-8.84%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-8.84%
/ -8.01$
MAE -12.00%
MFE +5.03%
0.6R
expires
30 Oct 05:12
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233237)
#71 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2458
Quality Score
0.381
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#71 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#71 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:00
29/10 17:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7276
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.8%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.009
Δ 1h
▼-0.176
Δ 4h
▼-0.762
Δ 12h
▼-0.177
Δ 24h
▼-0.715
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 40.7% |
| 1h | 5.6% |
| 4h | 3.7% |
| 24h | 11.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 55.6% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 9.3% | -4.73% |
| 24h | 20.4% | -4.51% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
85.2%
Expansion
85.2%
Tail ↑
+0.90
Tail ↓
+0.34
Dispersion :
0.288
Universe :
54
(+3 vs prev)
noisy
· ≥ $2.0M
+3 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5310
Score SMA
0.4179
Rank
#6
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9231
Rank Norm SMA
0.4445
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3107 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.05% · r3d: 9.32% · ema21_slope: -2.8854% · dist_ema21: -24.818% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5185 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 11.52% · rs_3d: 7.80% · beta_24h: 2.755 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9294 | rvol_20: 3.00× · zscore_50: 2.411 · trend: 77.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8151 | ADX: 44.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.117% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3806
Score SMA
0.4524
Rank
#71
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2458
Rank Norm SMA
0.2980
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3074 | r1h: -5.765% · r4h: -6.184% · r1d: -12.54% · r3d: 4.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1641% · dist_ema21: -5.514% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2337 | rs_1h: -3.306% · rs_4h: -3.207% · rs_1d: -9.49% · rs_3d: 5.29% · beta_24h: 1.355 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2515 | rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: 0.026 · trend: -46.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6226 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8626 | ATR%: 3.412% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4831
Score SMA
0.4049
Rank
#36
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3166
Rank Norm SMA
0.2987
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4603 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.162% · r1d: -5.95% · r3d: 9.88% · ema21_slope: 0.3131% · dist_ema21: 1.874% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5020 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.293% · rs_1d: -5.01% · rs_3d: 8.84% · beta_24h: 0.963 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3774 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.250 · trend: 95.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8206 | ADX: 41.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2090 | ATR%: 5.373% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -8.837%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.476% | 0.1R | -2.183% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.476% | 0.1R | -2.302% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.440% | 0.4R | -2.553% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.440% | 0.4R | -3.215% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.027% | 0.6R | -11.999% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 587 min
MAE in 1302 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -1.00 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.32 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.64 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.40 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.48 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.11 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.17% | -0.21 | 29/10 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444664
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.474 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 57% | late 28b -2.9ATR | — | — | 3.00 | 97% | ↓ -0.32 | above_value | -0.64 | inside | #211855 | 0.46 | bull_high | +4.55% | -1.00 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#452202
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.483 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 5b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.23 | 75% | ↑ +0.96 | above_value | -0.68 | — | #215007 | 0.32 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.64 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #452629
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.502 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 4b -1.9ATR | — | — | 0.78 | 92% | ↓ -0.88 | below_value | -2.39 | — | #215228 | 0.40 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.48 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:10
|
|
15m
#452555
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.308 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 7b -3.8ATR | — | — | 8.36 | 92% | ↑ +0.25 | above_value | -0.68 | — | #215007 | 0.11 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.17% | -0.21 |
29/10 16:45
upd 29/10 17:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 28b | — | 12.401×ATR | p89 | -2.933×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.762×ATR | p0 | +0.277×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.365×ATR | p35 | -1.929×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.825×ATR | p90 | -3.781×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 1
- reason: down_bo width=2.95×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.00822655
- tp_price: 0.00589011
- atr:
- score: 0.89080898287829
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:12:47.442402
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.89080898287829
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.4058
- obi_top10 : -0.1719
- micro_price : 0.00761155
- spread_pct : 0.131406
- mid_price : 0.007615
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00771
- ask_wall_size : 1391192.3
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.3387
- obi_top5_std : 0.1501
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7071
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.008564
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.00784
- balance_zone_mid:
0.008202
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793192400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9485
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8908
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.00784
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8788
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1444
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00024555 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.8788
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1444
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:12 | 0.00755900 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:21 | 0.00755900 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:31 | 0.00755900 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7071ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.406
avg -0.339
± 0.150
OBI Top 10
-0.172
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0076
Micro Price
0.0076
Spread
0.1314%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0077
Size
1,391,192.30
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007559 | 0.008227 | 0.00589 | 2.5 | 0.00647 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.007559
- Stop Loss: 0.008227
- Take Profit: 0.00589
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008227 - 0.007559 = 0.000668
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007559 - 0.00589 = 0.001669
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001669 / 0.000668 = 2.4985
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90.588 | 90.588 | 11984.121 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000668
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000668 = 11976.05
Taille de position USD = 11976.05 x 0.007559 = 90.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 11976.05 avec un stoploss a 0.008227
Avec un position size USD de 90.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11976.05 x 0.000668 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11976.05 x 0.001669 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 11976.05
- Taille de position USD 90.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4985
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 22.08 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.84 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -8.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -10.1601 % | 114.97 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007559 | 0.008227 | 0.00589 | 2.5 | 0.00647 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.007559
- Stop Loss: 0.008227
- Take Profit: 0.00589
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008227 - 0.007559 = 0.000668
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007559 - 0.00589 = 0.001669
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001669 / 0.000668 = 2.4985
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -8.837%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.476% | 0.1R | -2.183% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.476% | 0.1R | -2.302% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.440% | 0.4R | -2.553% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.440% | 0.4R | -3.215% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.027% | 0.6R | -11.999% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.027% | 0.6R | -26.313% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 587 min
MAE in 1302 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.