29 Oct 2026 at 17:15:15 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 535.05 MET at 0.283$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2755 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2975 (5.27 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 17:15 → 19:00 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.2826$

Qty 535.0544 MET

Size 151.201$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2755 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.8$

SL 0.2975 (-5.27%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.8$ MAE -1.04% MFE +7.43% 1.4R expires 29 Oct 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233274)
#63 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0687

Quality Score
0.471
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#63 / 73
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.36×ATR
1d near -1.09×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.73
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7276
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 6.8%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.009
Δ 1h
▼-0.176
Δ 4h
▼-0.762
Δ 12h
▼-0.177
Δ 24h
▼-0.715

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 40.7%
1h 5.6%
4h 3.7%
24h 11.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 55.6% -0.08%
4h 9.3% -4.73%
24h 20.4% -4.51%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
85.2%
Expansion
85.2%
Tail ↑
+0.90
Tail ↓
+0.34
Dispersion : 0.288
Universe : 54 (+3 vs prev) noisy · ≥ $2.0M
+3 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 17:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2923
Score SMA
0.4965
Rank
#55 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1692
Rank Norm SMA
0.6739
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3248 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.41% · r3d: 2.20% · ema21_slope: -0.5951% · dist_ema21: -8.422%
Force Relative 25% 0.3550 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.94% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: -0.641
Volume 20% 0.1681 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.479 · trend: -69.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4835 ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 70.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.910% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4710
Score SMA
0.5052
Rank
#63 / 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0687
Rank Norm SMA
0.4270
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1441 r1h: -5.101% · r4h: -8.164% · r1d: -11.26% · r3d: -11.66% · ema21_slope: -0.1391% · dist_ema21: -6.346%
Force Relative 25% 0.0927 rs_1h: -2.643% · rs_4h: -5.186% · rs_1d: -8.20% · rs_3d: -10.40% · beta_24h: 1.826
Volume 20% 0.9455 rvol_20: 4.13× · zscore_50: 2.393 · trend: 89.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6552 ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 26.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.201% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3713
Score SMA
0.4392
Rank
#68 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1115
Rank Norm SMA
0.3200
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2231 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.905% · r1d: -8.00% · r3d: -6.83% · ema21_slope: -0.1740% · dist_ema21: -4.486%
Force Relative 25% 0.2215 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.773% · rs_1d: -7.06% · rs_3d: -7.87% · beta_24h: 2.332
Volume 20% 0.4098 rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.315 · trend: 31.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5227 ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8863 ATR%: 3.341% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.273% (0.0149)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.279% 0.4R -1.044% 0.2R 2.2× 12
2h +2.827% 0.5R -1.044% 0.2R 2.7× 24
4h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 48
6h ★ +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 72
8h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 96
12h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 144
24h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 288
48h +7.428% 1.4R -2.530% 0.5R 2.9× 576
72h +7.428% 1.4R -2.530% 0.5R 2.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 184 min MAE in 14 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.73
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late near -1.1ATR — 0.43 bull_high +4.55% -1.00 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.4ATR — 0.38 bear_high -0.86% -0.58 29/10 12:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -2.22% -0.54 29/10 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
choppy 49% late near -0.4ATR — 0.74 bear_medium_confirmed -2.17% -0.46 29/10 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444751
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind 0.714 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late 20b -1.0ATR near -1.1ATR — 1.00 80% ↓ -0.78 value -1.17 — #211885 0.43 bull_high +4.55% -1.00
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
4h
#452320
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.558 expansion bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 41% mid 5b -1.4ATR near -0.4ATR — 1.00 63% ↑ +0.42 below_value -3.96 — #215046 0.38 bear_high -0.86% -0.58
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:21
1h anchor
#452666
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.480 expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 45% late 4b -3.1ATR — — 4.13 98% ↑ +0.16 below_value -4.84 inside #215265 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -2.22% -0.54
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:12
15m
#452592
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.738 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
choppy 49% late 1b -3.3ATR near -0.4ATR — 4.17 97% ↑ +0.37 below_value -3.96 — #215046 0.74 bear_medium_confirmed -2.17% -0.46
29/10 16:45
upd 29/10 17:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 20b — 6.98×ATR p90 -0.987×ATR p55
4h ↓ down mid 5b — 2.897×ATR p25 -1.42×ATR p70
1h ↓ down late 4b — 4.803×ATR p84 -3.057×ATR p97
15m ↓ down late 1b — 2.71×ATR p46 -3.26×ATR p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.29754175
  2. tp_price: 0.27552525
  3. atr: 0.0059807
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T03:15:15+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 71
  2. total: 74
  3. score: 0.1706
  4. delta_2h: -0.224
  5. extension_atr: -2.4
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0774
  9. confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2826 0.2975 0.2755 0.48 0.3015
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2826
  • Stop Loss: 0.2975
  • Take Profit: 0.2755

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2975 - 0.2826 = 0.0149

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2826 - 0.2755 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0149 = 0.4765

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
151.201 100 535.0544 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0149

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0149 = 536.91

Taille de position USD = 536.91 x 0.2826 = 151.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 536.91 avec un stoploss a 0.2975

Avec un position size USD de 151.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 536.91 x 0.0149 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 536.91 x 0.0071 = 3.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.81$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 536.91
  • Taille de position USD 151.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.81
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4765

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.8 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.27 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
3.8 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0439 % 19.8 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2826 0.2975 0.2755 0.48 0.3015
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2826
  • Stop Loss: 0.2975
  • Take Profit: 0.2755

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2975 - 0.2826 = 0.0149

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2826 - 0.2755 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0149 = 0.4765

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.273% (0.0149)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.279% 0.4R -1.044% 0.2R 2.2× 12
2h +2.827% 0.5R -1.044% 0.2R 2.7× 24
4h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 48
6h ★ +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 72
8h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 96
12h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 144
24h +7.428% 1.4R -1.044% 0.2R 7.1× 288
48h +7.428% 1.4R -2.530% 0.5R 2.9× 576
72h +7.428% 1.4R -2.530% 0.5R 2.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 184 min MAE in 14 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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