Short Trade on TIA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 283.06 TIA at 0.506$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4353 (13.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5343 (5.59 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 17:42:18
hyperliquid
TIA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 17:42
→ 05:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.506$
Qty 283.0624 TIA
Size 143.2267$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4353 (+13.97%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.5343 (-5.59%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+8.97%
/ +12.85$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +13.12%
2.4R
expires
30 Oct 05:42
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233238)
#46 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
score du 29/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4574
Quality Score
0.500
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 73
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.50×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 17:30
29/10 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7278
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
7.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.001
Δ 1h
→-0.021
Δ 4h
▼-0.783
Δ 12h
▼-0.200
Δ 24h
▼-0.841
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 61.7% |
| 4h | 5.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 90.0% | +0.38% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.55% |
| 24h | 13.3% | -8.33% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.7%
Down ≥1σ
88.3%
Expansion
90.0%
Tail ↑
+1.15
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.261
Universe :
60
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 17:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4838
Score SMA
0.4296
Rank
#9
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8769
Rank Norm SMA
0.7715
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6221 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.00% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1510% · dist_ema21: 0.215% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6314 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 2.45% · beta_24h: 1.418 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1888 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: -40.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6771 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.101% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5004
Score SMA
0.4839
Rank
#46
/ 73
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4574
Rank Norm SMA
0.3309
Calculé le
29/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2567 | r1h: -6.950% · r4h: -9.048% · r1d: -10.69% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0259% · dist_ema21: -6.440% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0986 | rs_1h: -4.491% · rs_4h: -6.071% · rs_1d: -7.63% · rs_3d: -6.72% · beta_24h: 2.167 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 11.62× · zscore_50: 6.640 · trend: 363.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6583 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 27.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.533% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4272
Score SMA
0.3865
Rank
#55
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2710
Rank Norm SMA
0.1493
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3893 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.132% · r1d: -3.30% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0150% · dist_ema21: -0.160% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4029 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.001% · rs_1d: -2.36% · rs_3d: -2.71% · beta_24h: 1.757 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2948 | rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: -0.272 · trend: -27.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4712 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8009 | ATR%: 3.597% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.593%
(0.0283)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 157 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.02 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.52 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.71 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.53 | 29/10 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444669
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.563 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 11b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.29 | 81% | ↓ -0.69 | value | +2.36 | — | #211856 | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#452205
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.516 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 3b 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 1.02 | 49% | ↔ -0.02 | above_value | +0.48 | — | #215008 | 0.49 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.02 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #452630
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.584 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 4b -2.8ATR | — | — | 11.62 | 100% | ↑ +0.63 | below_value | -2.58 | inside | #215229 | 0.44 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.22% | -0.52 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 17:10
|
|
15m
#452781
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.396 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
choppy 50% | late 2b -2.8ATR | — | — | 0.67 | 95% | ↑ +0.91 | below_value | -2.58 | — | #215229 | 0.71 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.49% | -0.53 |
29/10 17:15
upd 29/10 17:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 3.823×ATR | p44 | +0.019×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.271×ATR | p0 | -0.044×ATR | p3 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.243×ATR | p91 | -2.843×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.86×ATR | p12 | -2.754×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6365
- reason: down_bo width=1.73×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.53425232
- tp_price: 0.4353342
- atr:
- score: 0.73653429474735
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T09:42:10.362098
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.73653429474735
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1614
- obi_top10 : -0.018
- micro_price : 0.50104461
- spread_pct : 0.039928
- mid_price : 0.501
- bid_wall_price : 0.499
- bid_wall_size : 201875.12
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.503
- ask_wall_size : 244339.32
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2032
- obi_top5_std : 0.0588
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6876
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.543835
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.522165
- balance_zone_mid:
0.533
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793185200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793307600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7304
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7365
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.522165
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6286
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2916
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01252318 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.6286
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2916
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:42 | 0.50599000 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 17:52 | 0.50599000 | -0.002% |
| 3 | 18:05 | 0.50599000 | -0.002% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6876ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
64%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.161
avg 0.203
± 0.059
OBI Top 10
-0.018
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.5010
Micro Price
0.5010
Spread
0.0399%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.4990
Size
201,875.12
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.5030
Size
244,339.32
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.506 | 0.5343 | 0.4353 | 2.5 | 0.4281 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.506
- Stop Loss: 0.5343
- Take Profit: 0.4353
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5343 - 0.506 = 0.0283
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.506 - 0.4353 = 0.0707
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0707 / 0.0283 = 2.4982
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143.2267 | 100 | 283.0624 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0283
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0283 = 282.69
Taille de position USD = 282.69 x 0.506 = 143.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 282.69 avec un stoploss a 0.5343
Avec un position size USD de 143.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 282.69 x 0.0283 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 282.69 x 0.0707 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 282.69
- Taille de position USD 143.04
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4982
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.97 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.59 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 12.85 $ | 8.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.506 | 0.5343 | 0.4353 | 2.5 | 0.4281 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.506
- Stop Loss: 0.5343
- Take Profit: 0.4353
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5343 - 0.506 = 0.0283
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.506 - 0.4353 = 0.0707
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0707 / 0.0283 = 2.4982
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4494
[stop_loss] => 0.5343
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-30 00:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.593%
(0.0283)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +13.123% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 157 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.