Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1651.71 NIL at 0.0708$ per unit. Take profit: 0.069 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07561 (6.85 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 18:15:10
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 20:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.07076$
Qty 1651.7118 NIL
Size 116.8834$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.069 (+2.49%)
TP $ 2.91$
SL 0.07561 (-6.85%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.36
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +2.91$
MAE -1.92%
MFE +10.52%
1.5R
expires
30 Oct 00:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233347)
#85 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 18:00
score du 29/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0685
Quality Score
0.306
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#85 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#85 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.71
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 18:02
29/10 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7280
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.3%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→+0.015
Δ 4h
▼-0.690
Δ 12h
▼-0.094
Δ 24h
▼-0.768
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 23.4% |
| 1h | 96.9% |
| 4h | 7.8% |
| 24h | 9.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.13% |
| 4h | 7.8% | -4.71% |
| 24h | 15.6% | -6.26% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.1%
Down ≥1σ
82.8%
Expansion
85.9%
Tail ↑
+0.76
Tail ↓
+0.58
Dispersion :
0.242
Universe :
64
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4320
Rank
#28
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5846
Rank Norm SMA
0.6848
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4928 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.37% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: 0.1405% · dist_ema21: -7.217% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1963 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -14.14% · beta_24h: 0.961 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2261 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -8.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7616 | ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.010% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3064
Score SMA
0.5182
Rank
#85
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0685
Rank Norm SMA
0.5196
Calculé le
29/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0671 | r1h: -3.013% · r4h: -6.103% · r1d: -11.02% · r3d: -20.50% · ema21_slope: -0.2642% · dist_ema21: -5.592% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0682 | rs_1h: -3.254% · rs_4h: -3.825% · rs_1d: -8.17% · rs_3d: -19.19% · beta_24h: 1.429 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3984 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.165 · trend: 0.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5726 | ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 47.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.2490
Score SMA
0.4669
Rank
#74
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4815
Calculé le
29/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1909 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.594% · r1d: -8.40% · r3d: -15.97% · ema21_slope: -0.7782% · dist_ema21: -8.557% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2494 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.462% · rs_1d: -7.47% · rs_3d: -17.01% · beta_24h: 1.674 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1742 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.398 · trend: -49.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6305 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.442% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.854%
(0.0049)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.770% | 0.1R | -1.888% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.116% | 0.5R | -1.918% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -1.918% | 0.3R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.517% | 1.5R | -1.918% | 0.3R | 5.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -3.527% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -9.052% | 1.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -15.684% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -15.684% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -15.684% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 224 min
MAE in 1034 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.63 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.98 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.32 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.95% | -0.43 | 29/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.80% | -0.43 | 29/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444735
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.546 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 1b -0.5ATR | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.51 | 75% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | +0.10 | — | #211877 | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.63 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#452290
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.703 | expansion | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 15b -1.6ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.46 | 31% | ↓ -0.29 | below_value | -4.52 | — | #215036 | 0.18 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.98 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:20
|
|
1h
anchor #453089
|
↓ down | range | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.394 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -2.1ATR | — | — | 1.25 | 65% | ↑ +0.38 | below_value | -11.79 | — | #215422 | 0.32 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.95% | -0.43 |
29/10 17:00
upd 29/10 18:14
|
|
15m
#453003
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.466 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid 3b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 23% | ↑ +0.52 | below_value | -10.88 | — | #215255 | 0.38 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.80% | -0.43 |
29/10 17:45
upd 29/10 18:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.91×ATR | p50 | -0.458×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 10.588×ATR | p100 | -1.564×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.429×ATR | p69 | -2.13×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.048×ATR | p11 | -2.06×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07560846
- tp_price: 0.06899587
- atr: 0.00193739
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T04:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 85
- total: 85
- score: 0.1034
- delta_2h: -0.1234
- extension_atr: -1.81
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0685
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07076 | 0.07561 | 0.069 | 0.36 | 0.05751 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07076
- Stop Loss: 0.07561
- Take Profit: 0.069
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07561 - 0.07076 = 0.00485
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07076 - 0.069 = 0.00176
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00176 / 0.00485 = 0.3629
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116.8834 | 100 | 1651.7118 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00485
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00485 = 1649.48
Taille de position USD = 1649.48 x 0.07076 = 116.72
Donc, tu peux acheter 1649.48 avec un stoploss a 0.07561
Avec un position size USD de 116.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1649.48 x 0.00485 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1649.48 x 0.00176 = 2.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1649.48
- Taille de position USD 116.72
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3629
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 2.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.85 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.91 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9178 % | 27.98 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07076 | 0.07561 | 0.069 | 0.36 | 0.05751 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07076
- Stop Loss: 0.07561
- Take Profit: 0.069
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07561 - 0.07076 = 0.00485
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07076 - 0.069 = 0.00176
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00176 / 0.00485 = 0.3629
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.854%
(0.0049)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.770% | 0.1R | -1.888% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.116% | 0.5R | -1.918% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -1.918% | 0.3R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.517% | 1.5R | -1.918% | 0.3R | 5.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -3.527% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -9.052% | 1.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -15.684% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -15.684% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.517% | 1.5R | -15.684% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 224 min
MAE in 1034 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.