Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)
With 318.41 PONS at 0.228$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2533 (11 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 20:15:10
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 20:15
→ 23:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2282$
Qty 318.4126 PONS
Size 72.6522$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 72.66$
SL 0.2533 (-11%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+0.28%
/ +0.2$
MAE -1.28%
MFE +4.68%
0.4R
expires
29 Oct 23:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233541)
#85 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 20:00
score du 29/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0925
Quality Score
0.329
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#85 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#85 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.93×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-6.57
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 20:03
29/10 20:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7288
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.9%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.012
Δ 1h
→-0.000
Δ 4h
▼-0.174
Δ 12h
▼-0.590
Δ 24h
▼-0.327
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 25.0% |
| 1h | 23.6% |
| 4h | 4.2% |
| 24h | 6.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 26.4% | -0.16% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -6.57% |
| 24h | 12.5% | -8.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.8%
Down ≥1σ
88.9%
Expansion
91.7%
Tail ↑
+0.81
Tail ↓
+0.72
Dispersion :
0.413
Universe :
72
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 20:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3752
Score SMA
0.2311
Rank
#24
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6462
Rank Norm SMA
0.1924
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3425 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.42% · r3d: 16.35% · ema21_slope: -1.9768% · dist_ema21: -8.703% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5534 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.89% · rs_3d: 14.83% · beta_24h: 2.891 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3237 | rvol_20: 1.47× · zscore_50: -0.470 · trend: -66.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4626 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 68.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 17.535% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3293
Score SMA
0.5448
Rank
#85
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0925
Rank Norm SMA
0.5265
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1120 | r1h: -2.087% · r4h: -12.558% · r1d: -21.06% · r3d: -6.79% · ema21_slope: -0.4952% · dist_ema21: -12.705% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1846 | rs_1h: -0.750% · rs_4h: -9.007% · rs_1d: -16.91% · rs_3d: -4.09% · beta_24h: 2.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5027 | rvol_20: 1.36× · zscore_50: 0.055 · trend: 70.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6968 | ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 20.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7220 | ATR%: 3.834% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4371
Score SMA
0.4466
Rank
#62
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2444
Rank Norm SMA
0.3731
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3576 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -12.558% · r1d: -21.06% · r3d: -6.79% · ema21_slope: 0.5964% · dist_ema21: -13.612% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1949 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -9.007% · rs_1d: -16.91% · rs_3d: -4.09% · beta_24h: 3.212 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8866 | rvol_20: 2.54× · zscore_50: 3.006 · trend: 69.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7040 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 29.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.008% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -10.999%
(0.0251)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +4.680% | 0.4R | -1.284% | 0.1R | 3.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -3.926% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -6.148% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -6.148% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -8.891% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -8.891% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -8.891% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 899 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | — | — | — | — | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.69 | 29/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.88 | 29/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -2.36% | -0.82 | 29/10 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444773
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | — | — | — | 1.77 | 42% | ↓ -0.46 | above_value | +3.92 | — | #211896 | — | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#452350
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.640 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 9b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.89 | 46% | ↑ +0.65 | above_value | -3.88 | — | #215056 | 0.37 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.69 |
29/10 12:00
upd 29/10 16:23
|
|
1h
anchor #453550
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.542 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 7b -3.7ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 3.00 | 98% | ↑ +0.79 | below_value | -6.59 | inside | #215617 | 0.64 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.93% | -0.88 |
29/10 18:00
upd 29/10 19:13
|
|
15m
#453816
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.750 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
choppy 50% | late 9b -2.9ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 76% | ↑ +0.73 | below_value | -6.59 | — | #215617 | 0.57 | bear_medium | -2.36% | -0.82 |
29/10 19:30
upd 29/10 19:49
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 3.44×ATR | p46 | -0.41×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 6.145×ATR | p94 | -3.74×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.991×ATR | p93 | -2.937×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2282 | 0.2533 | 0.159 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2282
- Stop Loss: 0.2533
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2533 - 0.2282 = 0.0251
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2282 - = 0.2282
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2282 / 0.0251 = 9.0916
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72.6522 | 72.6522 | 318.4126 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0251
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0251 = 318.73
Taille de position USD = 318.73 x 0.2282 = 72.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 318.73 avec un stoploss a 0.2533
Avec un position size USD de 72.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 318.73 x 0.0251 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 318.73 x 0.2282 = 72.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 72.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position 318.73
- Taille de position USD 72.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 72.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 9.0916
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 72.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.2 $ | 0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.284 % | 11.67 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2282 | 0.2533 | 0.159 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2282
- Stop Loss: 0.2533
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2533 - 0.2282 = 0.0251
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2282 - = 0.2282
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2282 / 0.0251 = 9.0916
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -10.999%
(0.0251)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +4.680% | 0.4R | -1.284% | 0.1R | 3.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -3.926% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -6.148% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -6.148% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -8.891% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -8.891% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.680% | 0.4R | -8.891% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 899 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.