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Long Trade on HYPE

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29 Oct 2026 at 21:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1.46 HYPE at 90.96$ per unit. Take profit: 93.234 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 85.4846 (6.02 %)

HYPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 21:15 → 01:10 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 90.96$

Qty 1.4611 HYPE

Size 132.8996$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 93.234 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.32$

SL 85.4846 (-6.02%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.32$ MAE -2.52% MFE +3.17% 0.5R expires 30 Oct 03:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 233781)
#3 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9899

Quality Score
0.752
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.23×ATR
4h near 0.28×ATR
1d near 0.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-3.77
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.76B $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/10 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7292
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

-1

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.3%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
→+0.043
Δ 4h
→+0.045
Δ 12h
▼-0.568
Δ 24h
▼-0.269

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 81.8%
1h 6.5%
4h 5.2%
24h 5.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 85.7% +0.29%
4h 22.1% -3.77%
24h 14.3% -11.87%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.9%
Down ≥1σ
42.9%
Expansion
46.8%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.59
Dispersion : 0.303
Universe : 77 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 21:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7428
Score SMA
0.4252
Rank
#3 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9765
Rank Norm SMA
0.6668
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6563 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.42% · r3d: 13.71% · ema21_slope: -0.2487% · dist_ema21: 9.055%
Force Relative 25% 0.9130 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 14.57% · rs_3d: 16.41% · beta_24h: 0.351
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.55× · zscore_50: 5.960 · trend: 117.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7043 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 35.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1203 ATR%: 5.639% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.7520
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#3 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9899
Rank Norm SMA
0.6586
Calculé le
29/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7875 r1h: 3.148% · r4h: -0.970% · r1d: 14.69% · r3d: 16.84% · ema21_slope: 0.7488% · dist_ema21: 3.040%
Force Relative 25% 0.8973 rs_1h: 4.080% · rs_4h: 1.072% · rs_1d: 19.44% · rs_3d: 20.54% · beta_24h: 0.960
Volume 20% 0.5358 rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.960 · trend: 82.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8288 ADX: 39.5 (trend) · Chop: 28.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.488% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8071
Score SMA
0.5543
Rank
#2 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9944
Rank Norm SMA
0.7249
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6487 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.312% · r1d: 10.42% · r3d: 13.71% · ema21_slope: 0.5149% · dist_ema21: 7.118%
Force Relative 25% 0.8339 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.760% · rs_1d: 14.57% · rs_3d: 16.41% · beta_24h: 2.038
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.65× · zscore_50: 4.260 · trend: 279.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7503 ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 11.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9148 ATR%: 3.256% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.020% (5.4754)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.524% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.968% 0.2R -2.524% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h +2.609% 0.4R -2.524% 0.4R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +3.165% 0.5R -2.524% 0.4R 1.3× 72
8h +3.165% 0.5R -2.524% 0.4R 1.3× 96
12h +3.165% 0.5R -2.524% 0.4R 1.3× 144
24h +3.466% 0.6R -2.524% 0.4R 1.4× 288
48h +3.466% 0.6R -5.194% 0.9R 0.7× 576
72h +3.466% 0.6R -5.194% 0.9R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 844 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.02
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near 0.1ATR 0.46 range_high +0.21% +0.81 28/10 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 40% late — near 0.3ATR 0.64 bear_high_confirmed -4.29% +0.92 29/10 16:00
1h ↑ up range range strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 48% early — — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.01% +0.95 29/10 20:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
48%
noisy_chop 39% early — near -0.2ATR 0.44 bear_medium_confirmed -3.46% +0.22 29/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454157
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.633 expansion bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 35% mid 5b 1.6ATR — near 0.1ATR 5.55 100% ↑ +0.35 value -1.16 — #215760 0.46 range_high +0.21% +0.81
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:28
4h
#454122
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive 0.828 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 40% late 1b 1.9ATR — near 0.3ATR 4.65 100% ↑ +0.81 value -1.16 — #215760 0.64 bear_high_confirmed -4.29% +0.92
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:26
1h anchor
#454584
 ↑ up range range strong fading 0.509 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 48% early 3b 0.9ATR — — 1.10 96% ↑ +0.94 above_value +0.10 — #216029 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.01% +0.95
29/10 20:00
upd 29/10 21:13
15m
#454492
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.690 volatile_reversal bull_high
48%
noisy_chop 39% early 2b 0.2ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.75 86% ↓ -0.40 value -1.16 — #215760 0.44 bear_medium_confirmed -3.46% +0.22
29/10 20:45
upd 29/10 21:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 5b — 2.91×ATR p5 +1.584×ATR p77
4h ↓ down late 1b — 2.815×ATR p34 +1.909×ATR p86
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.556×ATR p4 +0.947×ATR p56
15m ↑ up early 2b — 2.224×ATR p43 +0.234×ATR p12

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 85.48458877
  2. tp_price: 93.234
  3. atr: 2.19016449
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T07:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.7578
  4. delta_2h: 0.0498
  5. extension_atr: 0.7
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9885
  9. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
90.96 85.4846 93.234 0.42 74.196
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 90.96
  • Stop Loss: 85.4846
  • Take Profit: 93.234

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 85.4846 - 90.96 = -5.4754

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 90.96 - 93.234 = -2.274

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.274 / -5.4754 = 0.4153

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
132.8996 100 1.4611 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -5.4754

Taille de position = 8 / -5.4754 = -1.46

Taille de position USD = -1.46 x 90.96 = -132.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.46 avec un stoploss a 85.4846

Avec un position size USD de -132.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.46 x -5.4754 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.46 x -2.274 = 3.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.32$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.46
  • Taille de position USD -132.8
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 3.32
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4153

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.32 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.02 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.32 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5242 % 41.93 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
90.96 85.4846 93.234 0.42 74.196
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 90.96
  • Stop Loss: 85.4846
  • Take Profit: 93.234

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 85.4846 - 90.96 = -5.4754

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 90.96 - 93.234 = -2.274

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.274 / -5.4754 = 0.4153

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.020% (5.4754)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.524% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.968% 0.2R -2.524% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h +2.609% 0.4R -2.524% 0.4R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +3.165% 0.5R -2.524% 0.4R 1.3× 72
8h +3.165% 0.5R -2.524% 0.4R 1.3× 96
12h +3.165% 0.5R -2.524% 0.4R 1.3× 144
24h +3.466% 0.6R -2.524% 0.4R 1.4× 288
48h +3.466% 0.6R -5.194% 0.9R 0.7× 576
72h +3.466% 0.6R -5.194% 0.9R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 844 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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