Long Trade on XMR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.23 XMR at 614.22$ per unit. Take profit: 629.5755 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 578.676 (5.79 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 22:15:09
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 22:15
→ 04:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 614.22$
Qty 0.2251 XMR
Size 138.2444$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 629.5755 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.46$
SL 578.676 (-5.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.43
Status
loss
PnL
-2.94%
/ -4.06$
MAE -4.87%
MFE +0.78%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 04:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233896)
#1 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 22:00
score du 29/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9460
Quality Score
0.746
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.88×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-3.31
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
119.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 22:03
29/10 22:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7296
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
15.2%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
→+0.039
Δ 4h
▲+0.068
Δ 12h
▼-0.609
Δ 24h
→+0.036
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 36.4% |
| 1h | 44.2% |
| 4h | 5.2% |
| 24h | 7.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.4% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 33.8% | -3.31% |
| 24h | 19.5% | -7.88% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
20.8%
Expansion
20.8%
Tail ↑
+0.44
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion :
0.274
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 22:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6778
Score SMA
0.5849
Rank
#5
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9529
Rank Norm SMA
0.9408
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7325 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.5213% · dist_ema21: 3.701% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7111 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.624 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9234 | rvol_20: 2.65× · zscore_50: 3.458 · trend: 84.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6275 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0152 | ATR%: 5.955% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.7456
Score SMA
0.5307
Rank
#1
/ 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9460
Rank Norm SMA
0.5621
Calculé le
29/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5767 | r1h: -0.900% · r4h: 0.884% · r1d: 4.77% · r3d: 1.56% · ema21_slope: 0.1420% · dist_ema21: 1.622% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7193 | rs_1h: -0.341% · rs_4h: 3.708% · rs_1d: 8.76% · rs_3d: 5.61% · beta_24h: -0.674 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6086 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 0.967 · trend: 96.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8720 | ADX: 44.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.363% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7405
Score SMA
0.5196
Rank
#3
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9408
Rank Norm SMA
0.6758
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5615 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.881% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0190% · dist_ema21: 1.017% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7257 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.433% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.122 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.45× · zscore_50: 5.577 · trend: 202.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6040 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 32.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.787%
(35.5440)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -1.221% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -1.545% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -3.943% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.778% | 0.1R | -4.875% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -4.875% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -5.246% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -6.498% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -6.498% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -6.498% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 19 min
MAE in 729 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.97 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.31 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.50 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.01% | +0.74 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.05 | bear_medium | -3.72% | +0.15 | 29/10 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454279
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.585 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 5b 0.5ATR | — | — | 2.65 | 100% | ↑ +0.66 | above_value | +1.17 | — | #215785 | 0.49 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.97 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#454239
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.558 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b 0.4ATR | near 0.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | 6.45 | 100% | ↑ +0.27 | above_value | +1.17 | — | #215785 | 0.31 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.50 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:33
|
|
1h
anchor #454609
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.673 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 3b 1.0ATR | — | — | 0.85 | 91% | ↑ +0.95 | above_value | +2.12 | — | #216054 | 0.16 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.01% | +0.74 |
29/10 20:00
upd 29/10 21:14
|
|
15m
#455004
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.703 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 3b 0.1ATR | — | — | 0.42 | 85% | ↓ -0.53 | above_value | +2.30 | — | #216238 | 0.05 | bear_medium | -3.72% | +0.15 |
29/10 21:45
upd 29/10 22:13
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.193×ATR | p0 | +0.536×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.394×ATR | p0 | +0.368×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.532×ATR | p2 | +1.047×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.527×ATR | p42 | +0.1×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614.22 | 578.676 | 629.5755 | 0.43 | 599.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 614.22
- Stop Loss: 578.676
- Take Profit: 629.5755
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 578.676 - 614.22 = -35.544
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 614.22 - 629.5755 = -15.3555
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.3555 / -35.544 = 0.432
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138.2444 | 100 | 0.2251 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -35.544
Taille de position = 8 / -35.544 = -0.23
Taille de position USD = -0.23 x 614.22 = -141.27
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.23 avec un stoploss a 578.676
Avec un position size USD de -141.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.23 x -35.544 = 8.18
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.18$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.23 x -15.3555 = 3.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.53$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.23
- Taille de position USD -141.27
- Perte potentielle 8.18
- Gain potentiel 3.53
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.432
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.46 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.06 $ | -2.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.8745 % | 84.23 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614.22 | 578.676 | 629.5755 | 0.43 | 599.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 614.22
- Stop Loss: 578.676
- Take Profit: 629.5755
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 578.676 - 614.22 = -35.544
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 614.22 - 629.5755 = -15.3555
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.3555 / -35.544 = 0.432
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.787%
(35.5440)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -1.221% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -1.545% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -3.943% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.778% | 0.1R | -4.875% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -4.875% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -5.246% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -6.498% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -6.498% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.778% | 0.1R | -6.498% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 19 min
MAE in 729 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.