Short Trade on CC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1260.93 CC at 0.0924$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07654 (17.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09875 (6.87 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 22:39:33
hyperliquid
CC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 22:39
→ 10:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.0924$
Qty 1260.9287 CC
Size 116.5161$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07654 (+17.16%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.09875 (-6.87%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.64%
/ -3.07$
MAE -4.79%
MFE +0.45%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 10:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 233892)
#55 / 91
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 22:00
score du 29/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6050
Quality Score
0.455
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 91
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 91
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 22:32
29/10 22:32
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7298
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
19.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.056
Δ 4h
▲+0.133
Δ 12h
▼-0.505
Δ 24h
▲+0.118
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 84.4% |
| 1h | 29.9% |
| 4h | 7.8% |
| 24h | 7.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 74.0% | +0.28% |
| 4h | 44.2% | -3.48% |
| 24h | 19.5% | -7.99% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
29.9%
Expansion
29.9%
Tail ↑
+0.59
Tail ↓
+0.76
Dispersion :
0.283
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 22:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2841
Score SMA
0.3067
Rank
#48
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4471
Rank Norm SMA
0.2090
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1167 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.25% · r3d: -5.31% · ema21_slope: -0.7304% · dist_ema21: -11.132% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3564 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.10% · rs_3d: -2.61% · beta_24h: 1.844 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5085 | rvol_20: 1.70× · zscore_50: 0.562 · trend: 9.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3884 | ADX: 11.0 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.452% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4547
Score SMA
0.4953
Rank
#55
/ 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6050
Rank Norm SMA
0.3917
Calculé le
29/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2523 | r1h: -0.937% · r4h: -4.868% · r1d: -6.11% · r3d: -7.10% · ema21_slope: -0.1031% · dist_ema21: -5.933% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3896 | rs_1h: -0.378% · rs_4h: -2.044% · rs_1d: -2.13% · rs_3d: -3.05% · beta_24h: 1.584 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3722 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.177 · trend: 73.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7146 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 20.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.495% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5210
Score SMA
0.4843
Rank
#36
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6664
Rank Norm SMA
0.5052
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2174 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.796% · r1d: -6.25% · r3d: -5.31% · ema21_slope: -0.0489% · dist_ema21: -5.285% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3599 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.245% · rs_1d: -2.10% · rs_3d: -2.61% · beta_24h: 2.005 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.48× · zscore_50: 4.276 · trend: 125.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5868 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 46.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7779 | ATR%: 3.666% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.872%
(0.0064)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -0.254% | 0.0R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -3.893% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -3.893% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -3.893% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.450% | 0.1R | -4.791% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 10 min
MAE in 1380 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.35 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.97 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.33 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.46% | -0.09 | 29/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_medium | -2.94% | -0.19 | 29/10 22:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454258
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.456 | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 31b -1.7ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 1.70 | 91% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -1.99 | inside | #215781 | 0.35 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.97 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:34
|
|
4h
#454218
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.582 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 1b -1.4ATR | — | — | 3.48 | 98% | ↑ +0.53 | below_value | -1.99 | inside | #215781 | 0.53 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | -0.33 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:32
|
|
1h
anchor #455110
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.627 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 4b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.62 | 83% | ↑ +0.75 | below_value | -3.69 | inside | #216234 | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.46% | -0.09 |
29/10 21:00
upd 29/10 22:19
|
|
15m
#455259
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.549 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 5b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.24 | 45% | ↔ +0.08 | below_value | -3.69 | — | #216234 | 0.58 | bear_medium | -2.94% | -0.19 |
29/10 22:15
upd 29/10 22:34
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 6.612×ATR | p89 | -1.724×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.176×ATR | p38 | -1.395×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.881×ATR | p55 | -2.172×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.4×ATR | p0 | -1.331×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8019
- reason: down_bo width=2.97×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.09874953
- tp_price: 0.07654368
- atr:
- score: 0.80190498152934
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T14:39:25.817645
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80190498152934
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0979
- obi_top10 : -0.1194
- micro_price : 0.09237546
- spread_pct : 0.108307
- mid_price : 0.09238
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0979
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7019
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.101855
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.095196
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0985255
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793192400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793325600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9724
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8019
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793314800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.095196
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7895
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2458
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00224027 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.7895
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2458
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:39 | 0.09240500 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 22:48 | 0.09240500 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 22:56 | 0.09240500 | +0.005% |
| 4 | 23:07 | 0.09240500 | +0.005% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7019ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.098
avg -0.098
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
-0.119
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0924
Micro Price
0.0924
Spread
0.1083%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0924 | 0.09875 | 0.07654 | 2.5 | 0.0898 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0924
- Stop Loss: 0.09875
- Take Profit: 0.07654
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09875 - 0.0924 = 0.00635
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0924 - 0.07654 = 0.01586
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01586 / 0.00635 = 2.4976
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116.5161 | 100 | 1260.9287 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00635
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00635 = 1259.84
Taille de position USD = 1259.84 x 0.0924 = 116.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 1259.84 avec un stoploss a 0.09875
Avec un position size USD de 116.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1259.84 x 0.00635 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1259.84 x 0.01586 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1259.84
- Taille de position USD 116.41
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4976
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 17.16 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.87 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.07 $ | -2.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.7911 % | 69.72 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0924 | 0.09875 | 0.07654 | 2.5 | 0.0898 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0924
- Stop Loss: 0.09875
- Take Profit: 0.07654
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09875 - 0.0924 = 0.00635
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0924 - 0.07654 = 0.01586
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01586 / 0.00635 = 2.4976
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -6.872%
(0.0064)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -0.254% | 0.0R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -3.893% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -3.893% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -3.893% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.450% | 0.1R | -4.791% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.450% | 0.1R | -7.383% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 10 min
MAE in 1380 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.