Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 194.48 RUNE at 0.669$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6854 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6276 (6.15 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 00:15:09
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 00:15
→ 00:50
· 34 minutes
Position
Entry 0.6687$
Qty 194.4811 RUNE
Size 130.0553$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6854 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.25$
SL 0.6276 (-6.15%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.41
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.25$
MAE -2.18%
MFE +8.66%
1.4R
expires
30 Oct 06:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234023)
#3 / 93
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 00:00
score du 30/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8661
Quality Score
0.703
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 93
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 93
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.96×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
recovering
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.48
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 00:00
30/10 00:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 22:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7304
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
42.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.134
Δ 4h
▲+0.359
Δ 12h
▼-0.485
Δ 24h
▲+0.355
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.7% |
| 1h | 94.8% |
| 4h | 55.8% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 44.2% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 59.7% | +0.48% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -4.88% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
5.2%
Expansion
7.8%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.69
Dispersion :
0.323
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 00:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4670
Score SMA
0.6334
Rank
#13
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8588
Rank Norm SMA
0.8540
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.3267% · dist_ema21: -4.322% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5165 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.47% · rs_3d: 1.57% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8264 | rvol_20: 4.48× · zscore_50: 1.579 · trend: 40.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4940 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7033
Score SMA
0.5378
Rank
#3
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8661
Rank Norm SMA
0.5651
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8212 | r1h: 3.328% · r4h: 9.559% · r1d: 12.10% · r3d: 8.99% · ema21_slope: 0.1958% · dist_ema21: 8.117% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9370 | rs_1h: 2.289% · rs_4h: 9.234% · rs_1d: 14.16% · rs_3d: 10.99% · beta_24h: 1.722 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4379 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: 0.188 · trend: 98.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6648 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 10.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.481% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7937
Score SMA
0.6055
Rank
#2
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9721
Rank Norm SMA
0.7844
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6958 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 9.559% · r1d: 12.10% · r3d: 8.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0322% · dist_ema21: 8.310% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8996 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.234% · rs_1d: 14.16% · rs_3d: 10.99% · beta_24h: 0.653 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9046 | rvol_20: 4.55× · zscore_50: 1.569 · trend: 343.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6058 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 15.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.146%
(0.0411)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -0.241% | 0.0R | 36.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -0.241% | 0.0R | 36.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -0.785% | 0.1R | 11.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.665% | 1.4R | -2.177% | 0.4R | 4.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -3.271% | 0.5R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -6.411% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -6.411% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.572% | 1.6R | -10.354% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.572% | 1.6R | -25.660% | 4.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 54 min
MAE in 679 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.10 | 29/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | +0.81 | 29/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.55% | +0.59 | 29/10 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454026
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.685 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 32b -0.8ATR | — | — | 4.48 | 97% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#453994
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.528 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 4b -0.1ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 15.49 | 100% | ↑ +0.64 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.29% | +0.10 |
29/10 16:00
upd 29/10 20:20
|
|
1h
anchor #455488
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.707 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 2b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 93% | ↑ +0.99 | above_value | +1.64 | — | #216364 | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.63% | +0.81 |
29/10 22:00
upd 29/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#455870
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.380 | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 4b 2.6ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 91% | ↓ -0.51 | above_value | +1.64 | — | #216364 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.55% | +0.59 |
29/10 23:45
upd 30/10 00:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.78×ATR | p58 | -0.779×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.136×ATR | p0 | -0.144×ATR | p11 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.795×ATR | p68 | +1.748×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.476×ATR | p40 | +2.601×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6687 | 0.6276 | 0.6854 | 0.41 | 0.5838 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6687
- Stop Loss: 0.6276
- Take Profit: 0.6854
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6276 - 0.6687 = -0.0411
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6687 - 0.6854 = -0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0167 / -0.0411 = 0.4063
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130.0553 | 100 | 194.4811 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0411
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0411 = -194.65
Taille de position USD = -194.65 x 0.6687 = -130.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -194.65 avec un stoploss a 0.6276
Avec un position size USD de -130.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -194.65 x -0.0411 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -194.65 x -0.0167 = 3.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.25$
Résumé
- Taille de position -194.65
- Taille de position USD -130.16
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.25
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4063
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.25 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.15 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.25 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2408 % | 3.92 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6687 | 0.6276 | 0.6854 | 0.41 | 0.5838 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6687
- Stop Loss: 0.6276
- Take Profit: 0.6854
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6276 - 0.6687 = -0.0411
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6687 - 0.6854 = -0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0167 / -0.0411 = 0.4063
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.146%
(0.0411)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -0.241% | 0.0R | 36.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -0.241% | 0.0R | 36.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -0.785% | 0.1R | 11.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.665% | 1.4R | -2.177% | 0.4R | 4.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -3.271% | 0.5R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -6.411% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.665% | 1.4R | -6.411% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.572% | 1.6R | -10.354% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.572% | 1.6R | -25.660% | 4.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 54 min
MAE in 679 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.