Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.89 SOL at 97.488$ per unit. Take profit: 86.8855 (10.88 %) & Stop Loss: 101.729 (4.35 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 01:10:43
hyperliquid
SOL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 01:10
→ 13:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 97.488$
Qty 1.8863 SOL
Size 183.8962$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 86.8855 (+10.88%)
TP $ 20$
SL 101.729 (-4.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.73%
/ +5.01$
MAE -1.05%
MFE +3.70%
0.9R
expires
30 Oct 13:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234186)
#24 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 01:00
score du 30/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7726
Quality Score
0.549
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#24 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#24 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
438.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 01:00
30/10 01:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7308
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
58.8%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.001
Δ 1h
▲+0.159
Δ 4h
▲+0.475
Δ 12h
▼-0.243
Δ 24h
▲+0.494
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.0% |
| 1h | 71.3% |
| 4h | 90.0% |
| 24h | 16.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.5% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 70.0% | +2.84% |
| 24h | 25.0% | -4.55% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.8%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
5.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.59
Dispersion :
0.284
Universe :
80
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 01:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3680
Score SMA
0.3675
Rank
#20
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7765
Rank Norm SMA
0.6412
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1512 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.62% · r3d: -5.27% · ema21_slope: -0.4187% · dist_ema21: -8.551% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3719 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.47% · rs_3d: -2.57% · beta_24h: 1.375 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5005 | rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 0.878 · trend: -10.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5749 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4335 | ATR%: 4.699% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5489
Score SMA
0.5280
Rank
#24
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7726
Rank Norm SMA
0.5667
Calculé le
30/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4566 | r1h: 0.033% · r4h: 2.497% · r1d: -2.91% · r3d: -2.91% · ema21_slope: -0.2426% · dist_ema21: -0.961% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5111 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.194% · rs_1d: -0.42% · rs_3d: -1.02% · beta_24h: 1.414 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3366 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.006 · trend: 42.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7786 | ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.543% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6476
Score SMA
0.4914
Rank
#14
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8001
Rank Norm SMA
0.5645
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4113 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.631% · r1d: -2.49% · r3d: -2.98% · ema21_slope: -0.0803% · dist_ema21: -3.252% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4995 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.306% · rs_1d: -0.44% · rs_3d: -0.97% · beta_24h: 1.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9991 | rvol_20: 3.52× · zscore_50: 2.987 · trend: 180.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6635 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 25.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.350%
(4.2410)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.038% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.283% | 0.3R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.700% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.045% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.045% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.045% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.462% | 1.0R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 819 min
MAE in 79 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.83
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +3.92% | -0.50 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.10 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.90 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.07 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.89 | bear_medium | -1.41% | +0.13 | 30/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#453937
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.656 | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late 32b -1.0ATR | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.65 | 24% | ↓ -0.25 | below_value | -4.32 | — | #215709 | 0.88 | bull_high | +3.92% | -0.50 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:17
|
|
4h
#455931
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.478 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 2b -1.4ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 3.52 | 98% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -2.64 | inside | #216529 | 0.87 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.10 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:15
|
|
1h
anchor #456497
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.414 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 4b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.59 | 87% | ↑ +0.87 | below_value | -2.70 | — | #216811 | 0.90 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.07 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:10
|
|
15m
#456404
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.529 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 13b 1.4ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.19 | 51% | ↓ -0.68 | below_value | -2.64 | — | #216529 | 0.89 | bear_medium | -1.41% | +0.13 |
30/10 00:45
upd 30/10 01:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 5.684×ATR | p83 | -1.038×ATR | p59 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.69×ATR | p22 | -1.391×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.317×ATR | p67 | -0.509×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.703×ATR | p84 | +1.439×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8012
- reason: down_bo width=2.89×ATR dur=64b phase=extending
- stop_price: 101.72900223
- tp_price: 86.88549443
- atr:
- score: 0.80123042995572
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T17:10:35.869589
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80123042995572
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0274
- obi_top10 : 0.0477
- micro_price : 97.79897253
- spread_pct : 0.001023
- mid_price : 97.7985
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0285
- obi_top5_std : 0.0009
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7016
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
103.65
- balance_zone_bottom:
99.5225
- balance_zone_mid:
101.58625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793109600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793336400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8914
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
64
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8012
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
99.5225
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8438
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4252
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 1.42752227 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
64
inside_close_ratio
0.8438
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4252
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:10 | 97.48800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:20 | 97.48800000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:29 | 97.48800000 | 0% |
| 4 | 01:39 | 98.09000000 | +0.618% |
| 5 | 01:49 | 98.09000000 | +0.618% |
| 6 | 01:58 | 98.09000000 | +0.618% |
| 7 | 02:13 | 97.75000000 | +0.269% |
| 8 | 02:23 | 97.75000000 | +0.269% |
| 9 | 02:36 | 98.06300000 | +0.59% |
| 10 | 02:45 | 98.06300000 | +0.59% |
| 11 | 02:54 | 98.06300000 | +0.59% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7016ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.027
avg -0.029
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.048
Microstructure
Mid Price
97.7985
Micro Price
97.7990
Spread
0.0010%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.488 | 101.729 | 86.8855 | 2.5 | 89.251 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 97.488
- Stop Loss: 101.729
- Take Profit: 86.8855
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 101.729 - 97.488 = 4.241
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 97.488 - 86.8855 = 10.6025
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.6025 / 4.241 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183.8962 | 100 | 1.8863 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 4.241
Taille de position = 8 / 4.241 = 1.89
Taille de position USD = 1.89 x 97.488 = 184.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.89 avec un stoploss a 101.729
Avec un position size USD de 184.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.89 x 4.241 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.89 x 10.6025 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1.89
- Taille de position USD 184.25
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.88 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.01 $ | 2.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0463 % | 24.05 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.488 | 101.729 | 86.8855 | 2.5 | 89.251 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 97.488
- Stop Loss: 101.729
- Take Profit: 86.8855
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 101.729 - 97.488 = 4.241
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 97.488 - 86.8855 = 10.6025
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.6025 / 4.241 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.350%
(4.2410)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.038% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.283% | 0.3R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.700% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.045% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.045% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.045% | 0.9R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.462% | 1.0R | -1.046% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 819 min
MAE in 79 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.