30 Oct 2026 at 01:13:35 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 26.23 UNI at 6.816$ per unit. Take profit: 6.0532 (11.19 %) & Stop Loss: 7.1207 (4.47 %)

UNI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 01:13 → 11:10 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 6.8157$

Qty 26.2304 UNI

Size 178.7788$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 6.0532 (+11.19%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.1207 (-4.47%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -4.47% / -8$ MAE -4.87% MFE +2.25% 0.5R expires 30 Oct 13:13

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 234207)
#16 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7233

Quality Score
0.568
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#16 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#16 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.38×ATR
4h clear 0.95×ATR
1d near -0.85×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
108.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 01:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 00:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7308
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 58.8%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.001
Δ 1h
▲+0.159
Δ 4h
▲+0.475
Δ 12h
▼-0.243
Δ 24h
▲+0.494

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 71.3%
4h 90.0%
24h 16.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 57.5% +0.04%
4h 70.0% +2.84%
24h 25.0% -4.55%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.8%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
5.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.59
Dispersion : 0.284
Universe : 80 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 01:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3477
Score SMA
0.3039
Rank
#27 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6941
Rank Norm SMA
0.3552
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1269 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: -0.5421% · dist_ema21: -11.137%
Force Relative 25% 0.2532 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -6.88% · beta_24h: 2.806
Volume 20% 0.8325 rvol_20: 4.99× · zscore_50: 1.712 · trend: 38.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5321 ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 64.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.130% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5679
Score SMA
0.5361
Rank
#16 / 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7233
Rank Norm SMA
0.6018
Calculé le
30/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5058 r1h: 1.007% · r4h: 4.196% · r1d: -3.34% · r3d: -3.62% · ema21_slope: -0.3888% · dist_ema21: -0.634%
Force Relative 25% 0.5759 rs_1h: 0.974% · rs_4h: 2.893% · rs_1d: -0.84% · rs_3d: -1.73% · beta_24h: 1.761
Volume 20% 0.2949 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.094 · trend: 25.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7547 ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 21.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5785
Score SMA
0.4932
Rank
#29 / 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5669
Rank Norm SMA
0.5780
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4305 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.042% · r1d: -3.60% · r3d: -4.28% · ema21_slope: -0.0103% · dist_ema21: -4.252%
Force Relative 25% 0.5287 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.717% · rs_1d: -1.54% · rs_3d: -2.28% · beta_24h: 2.380
Volume 20% 0.8019 rvol_20: 2.52× · zscore_50: 1.177 · trend: 322.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6370 ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 28.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6127 ATR%: 4.162% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.475% (0.3050)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.224% 0.3R -0.939% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +1.224% 0.3R -0.939% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +2.251% 0.5R -0.939% 0.2R 2.4× 48
8h +2.251% 0.5R -2.500% 0.6R 0.9× 96
12h ★ +2.251% 0.5R -4.867% 1.1R 0.5× 144
24h +2.251% 0.5R -6.041% 1.4R 0.4× 288
36h +2.251% 0.5R -6.041% 1.4R 0.4× 432
48h +2.251% 0.5R -6.041% 1.4R 0.4× 576
72h +2.251% 0.5R -8.715% 2.0R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 171 min MAE in 1161 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_high
34%
noisy_chop 37% late near -0.8ATR — 0.65 range_high +0.21% -0.58 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
43%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.64 bear_high_confirmed -3.91% -0.25 29/10 20:00
1h ↓ down range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.73 bear_high_confirmed -2.50% -0.09 30/10 00:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -2.7ATR 0.74 bear_medium -1.41% +0.43 30/10 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454017
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.676 compression range_high
34%
noisy_chop 37% late 36b -1.6ATR near -0.8ATR — 4.99 98% ↔ +0.02 below_value -2.64 — #215728 0.65 range_high +0.21% -0.58
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:21
4h
#456009
↓ down range bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.527 volatile_reversal bear_high
43%
noisy_chop 37% mid 2b -1.0ATR — — 2.52 98% ↑ +0.91 value +1.15 — #216550 0.64 bear_high_confirmed -3.91% -0.25
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:19
1h anchor
#456521
↓ down range range strong explosive 0.266 expansion_after_compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 45% mid 6b -0.2ATR — — 0.36 91% ↑ +0.83 value +1.53 — #216832 0.73 bear_high_confirmed -2.50% -0.09
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:11
15m
#456425
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.551 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% late 17b 1.7ATR — near -2.7ATR 1.52 89% ↓ -0.83 value +1.15 — #216550 0.74 bear_medium -1.41% +0.43
30/10 00:45
upd 30/10 01:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 36b — 7.585×ATR p81 -1.606×ATR p71
4h ↓ down mid 2b — 2.811×ATR p32 -1.037×ATR p69
1h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.972×ATR p56 -0.183×ATR p13
15m ↑ up late 17b — 6.011×ATR p97 +1.706×ATR p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7433
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.49×ATR dur=62b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 7.12068914
  5. tp_price: 6.05322716
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.74327998045507
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-30T17:13:28.007203
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.74327998045507
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0457
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0323
  15. micro_price : 6.85957193
  16. spread_pct : 0.014579
  17. mid_price : 6.8595
  18. bid_wall_price : 6.82
  19. bid_wall_size : 46065.6
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 6.91
  22. ask_wall_size : 46584.4
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.119
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0834
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6840
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    7.2348
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    6.97115
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.102975
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793116800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793336400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.4884
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    62
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7433
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793304000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    6.97115
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6935
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    9
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.8775
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    14
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.17714136
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
62
inside_close_ratio
0.6935
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8775

Signaux confirmants (26)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:13 6.81570000 0%
2 01:22 6.81570000 0%
3 01:33 6.81570000 0%
4 01:42 6.83750000 +0.32%
5 01:52 6.83750000 +0.32%
6 02:03 6.83750000 +0.32%
7 02:16 6.77240000 -0.635%
8 02:27 6.77240000 -0.635%
9 02:39 6.82150000 +0.085%
10 02:48 6.82150000 +0.085%
11 02:57 6.82150000 +0.085%
12 03:09 6.79270000 -0.337%
13 03:19 6.79270000 -0.337%
14 03:28 6.79270000 -0.337%
15 03:39 6.73150000 -1.235%
16 03:48 6.73150000 -1.235%
17 03:56 6.73150000 -1.235%
18 05:13 6.74000000 -1.111%
19 05:22 6.74000000 -1.111%
20 05:32 6.74000000 -1.111%
21 06:13 6.75950000 -0.825%
22 06:24 6.75950000 -0.825%
23 06:35 6.75950000 -0.825%
24 06:44 6.80240000 -0.195%
25 06:52 6.80240000 -0.195%
26 07:02 6.80240000 -0.195%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6840ms Confidence avant OB : 74% → 74%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.046
avg 0.119 ± 0.083
OBI Top 10 0.032

Microstructure

Mid Price
6.8595
Micro Price
6.8596
Spread
0.0146%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.8200
Size
46,065.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
6.9100
Size
46,584.40

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.8157 7.1207 6.0532 2.5 7.0597
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.8157
  • Stop Loss: 7.1207
  • Take Profit: 6.0532

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.1207 - 6.8157 = 0.305

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.8157 - 6.0532 = 0.7625

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7625 / 0.305 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
178.7788 100 26.2304 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.305

Taille de position = 8 / 0.305 = 26.23

Taille de position USD = 26.23 x 6.8157 = 178.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.23 avec un stoploss a 7.1207

Avec un position size USD de 178.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.23 x 0.305 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.23 x 0.7625 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.23
  • Taille de position USD 178.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
11.19 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.6598 % 104.13 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.8157 7.1207 6.0532 2.5 7.0597
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.8157
  • Stop Loss: 7.1207
  • Take Profit: 6.0532

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.1207 - 6.8157 = 0.305

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.8157 - 6.0532 = 0.7625

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7625 / 0.305 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.475% (0.3050)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.224% 0.3R -0.939% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +1.224% 0.3R -0.939% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +2.251% 0.5R -0.939% 0.2R 2.4× 48
8h +2.251% 0.5R -2.500% 0.6R 0.9× 96
12h ★ +2.251% 0.5R -4.867% 1.1R 0.5× 144
24h +2.251% 0.5R -6.041% 1.4R 0.4× 288
36h +2.251% 0.5R -6.041% 1.4R 0.4× 432
48h +2.251% 0.5R -6.041% 1.4R 0.4× 576
72h +2.251% 0.5R -8.715% 2.0R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 171 min MAE in 1161 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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