Short Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 14.03 LINK at 11.121$ per unit. Take profit: 9.6956 (12.82 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6912 (5.13 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 01:41:35
hyperliquid
LINK
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 01:41
→ 13:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 11.121$
Qty 14.0313 LINK
Size 156.0422$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 9.6956 (+12.82%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.6912 (-5.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.81%
/ -1.26$
MAE -1.52%
MFE +2.01%
0.4R
expires
30 Oct 13:41
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234199)
#17 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 01:00
score du 30/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6976
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 93
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 2.99×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
43.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 01:30
30/10 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7310
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
64.6%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.103
Δ 4h
▲+0.507
Δ 12h
▼-0.209
Δ 24h
▲+0.233
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 56.3% |
| 1h | 81.3% |
| 4h | 91.3% |
| 24h | 16.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.5% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 82.5% | +4.14% |
| 24h | 26.3% | -4.17% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.8%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
15.0%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion :
0.240
Universe :
80
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 01:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3405
Score SMA
0.3108
Rank
#28
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6824
Rank Norm SMA
0.3899
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1043 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.25% · r3d: -6.99% · ema21_slope: -0.5684% · dist_ema21: -12.016% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2582 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.10% · rs_3d: -4.29% · beta_24h: 1.942 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7885 | rvol_20: 4.15× · zscore_50: 1.410 · trend: 20.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5799 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.538% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5761
Score SMA
0.5371
Rank
#17
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6976
Rank Norm SMA
0.6260
Calculé le
30/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5028 | r1h: 0.885% · r4h: 5.317% · r1d: -3.61% · r3d: -2.57% · ema21_slope: -0.3486% · dist_ema21: -0.980% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5996 | rs_1h: 0.852% · rs_4h: 4.014% · rs_1d: -1.11% · rs_3d: -0.67% · beta_24h: 1.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3001 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.280 · trend: 39.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7689 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 15.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.031% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6069
Score SMA
0.4924
Rank
#26
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6731
Rank Norm SMA
0.5754
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3924 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.320% · r1d: -3.85% · r3d: -3.28% · ema21_slope: -0.0417% · dist_ema21: -4.546% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4939 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.995% · rs_1d: -1.80% · rs_3d: -1.28% · beta_24h: 2.262 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8433 | rvol_20: 2.69× · zscore_50: 1.403 · trend: 312.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6989 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 24.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9219 | ATR%: 3.234% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.127%
(0.5702)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.881% | 0.2R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.998% | 0.2R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.529% | 0.3R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.529% | 0.3R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.005% | 0.4R | -1.520% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -5.485% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -5.485% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -7.364% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -7.364% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 513 min
MAE in 1143 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.68
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.83 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.86 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | bullish_transition | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.80 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.15 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.86 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.14 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | — | 0.86 | bear_medium | -0.85% | +0.48 | 30/10 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#453989
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.654 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 30b -2.3ATR | — | — | 4.15 | 98% | ↔ -0.08 | below_value | -3.78 | — | #215721 | 0.83 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.86 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#455982
|
↓ down | range | bullish_transition | weak | fading | 0.660 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 2b -1.4ATR | — | — | 2.69 | 94% | ↑ +0.84 | value | -1.90 | inside | #216542 | 0.80 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | -0.15 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor #456513
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.385 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 4b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.20 | 85% | ↑ +0.92 | value | -1.49 | — | #216824 | 0.86 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.50% | -0.14 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 01:11
|
|
15m
#456705
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.700 | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
choppy 56% | late 19b 2.7ATR | — | — | 0.44 | 70% | ↓ -0.56 | value | -1.49 | — | #216824 | 0.86 | bear_medium | -0.85% | +0.48 |
30/10 01:15
upd 30/10 01:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 7.462×ATR | p81 | -2.304×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.988×ATR | p24 | -1.358×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.492×ATR | p68 | -0.396×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 8.359×ATR | p96 | +2.685×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8133
- reason: down_bo width=2.92×ATR dur=46b phase=extending
- stop_price: 11.69115358
- tp_price: 9.69561605
- atr:
- score: 0.81332299027703
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T17:41:27.613460
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81332299027703
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0947
- obi_top10 : -0.0563
- micro_price : 11.09393572
- spread_pct : 0.009015
- mid_price : 11.0935
- bid_wall_price : 11
- bid_wall_size : 167754
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0884
- obi_top5_std : 0.0058
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7059
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
11.986
- balance_zone_bottom:
11.353
- balance_zone_mid:
11.6695
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793174400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793336400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9233
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8133
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
11.353
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7826
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0714
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.21653582 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.7826
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0714
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:41 | 11.12100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:51 | 11.12100000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:01 | 11.12100000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7059ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.095
avg -0.088
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
-0.056
Microstructure
Mid Price
11.0935
Micro Price
11.0939
Spread
0.0090%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
11.0000
Size
167,754.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.121 | 11.6912 | 9.6956 | 2.5 | 10.8 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.121
- Stop Loss: 11.6912
- Take Profit: 9.6956
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6912 - 11.121 = 0.5702
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.121 - 9.6956 = 1.4254
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4254 / 0.5702 = 2.4998
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156.0422 | 100 | 14.0313 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.5702
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5702 = 14.03
Taille de position USD = 14.03 x 11.121 = 156.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 14.03 avec un stoploss a 11.6912
Avec un position size USD de 156.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14.03 x 0.5702 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14.03 x 1.4254 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14.03
- Taille de position USD 156.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4998
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.82 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.26 $ | -0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5196 % | 29.64 % | 26 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.121 | 11.6912 | 9.6956 | 2.5 | 10.8 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.121
- Stop Loss: 11.6912
- Take Profit: 9.6956
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6912 - 11.121 = 0.5702
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.121 - 9.6956 = 1.4254
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4254 / 0.5702 = 2.4998
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.127%
(0.5702)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.881% | 0.2R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.998% | 0.2R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.529% | 0.3R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.529% | 0.3R | -0.558% | 0.1R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.005% | 0.4R | -1.520% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -5.485% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -5.485% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -7.364% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.005% | 0.4R | -7.364% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 513 min
MAE in 1143 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.