Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 154.02 RUNE at 0.691$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7088 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6395 (7.52 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 02:15:16
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 02:15
→ 08:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6915$
Qty 154.0214 RUNE
Size 106.5043$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7088 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.66$
SL 0.6395 (-7.52%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.33
Status
loss
PnL
-5.71%
/ -6.08$
MAE -6.46%
MFE +0.56%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234302)
#2 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 02:00
score du 30/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9833
Quality Score
0.780
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 95
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.41×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.96×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
4.61
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 02:00
30/10 02:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/10 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7312
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
67.5%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.087
Δ 4h
▲+0.523
Δ 12h
▼-0.099
Δ 24h
▲+0.142
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 26.3% |
| 1h | 88.8% |
| 4h | 93.8% |
| 24h | 15.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 18.8% | -0.17% |
| 4h | 82.5% | +4.61% |
| 24h | 28.8% | -3.65% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
26.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.5%
Expansion
28.8%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.62
Dispersion :
0.247
Universe :
80
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 02:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4670
Score SMA
0.6334
Rank
#13
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8588
Rank Norm SMA
0.8540
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.3267% · dist_ema21: -4.322% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5165 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.47% · rs_3d: 1.57% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8264 | rvol_20: 4.48× · zscore_50: 1.579 · trend: 40.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4940 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.7800
Score SMA
0.5418
Rank
#2
/ 95
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9833
Rank Norm SMA
0.5720
Calculé le
30/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7460 | r1h: -2.026% · r4h: 7.585% · r1d: 12.50% · r3d: 9.94% · ema21_slope: 0.3442% · dist_ema21: 7.359% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7335 | rs_1h: -2.405% · rs_4h: 5.325% · rs_1d: 14.60% · rs_3d: 11.73% · beta_24h: 1.675 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6853 | rvol_20: 1.76× · zscore_50: 1.252 · trend: 153.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6867 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 4.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9453 | ATR%: 3.164% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.8054
Score SMA
0.6058
Rank
#2
/ 93
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9721
Rank Norm SMA
0.7844
Calculé le
30/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6958 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 9.559% · r1d: 12.10% · r3d: 8.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0322% · dist_ema21: 8.310% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8996 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.234% · rs_1d: 14.16% · rs_3d: 10.99% · beta_24h: 0.653 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9046 | rvol_20: 4.55× · zscore_50: 1.569 · trend: 343.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6058 | ADX: 12.7 (weak) · Chop: 15.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.520%
(0.0520)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -2.696% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -4.056% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -5.403% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.563% | 0.1R | -6.460% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -6.871% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -9.497% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -9.497% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.960% | 0.8R | -13.310% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.960% | 0.8R | -28.512% | 3.8R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 559 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | +0.77 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.09% | +0.90 | 30/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_medium | -0.97% | +0.61 | 30/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454026
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.685 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 32b -0.8ATR | — | — | 4.48 | 97% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#456015
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.513 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 5b 2.7ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 4.55 | 95% | ↑ +0.87 | above_value | +2.86 | — | #216552 | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.91% | +0.77 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor #457004
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.709 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 5b 1.7ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 1.76 | 96% | ↑ +0.99 | above_value | +2.59 | — | #217022 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.09% | +0.90 |
30/10 01:00
upd 30/10 02:14
|
|
15m
#456909
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.824 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 3b 0.9ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 1.10 | 92% | ↑ +0.49 | above_value | +3.62 | — | #216834 | 0.55 | bear_medium | -0.97% | +0.61 |
30/10 01:45
upd 30/10 02:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.78×ATR | p58 | -0.779×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.893×ATR | p48 | +2.733×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.152×ATR | p75 | +1.72×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.541×ATR | p39 | +0.894×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.63954918
- tp_price: 0.70877725
- atr: 0.02077633
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T12:15:16+00:00
Details
- rank: 3
- total: 95
- score: 0.8213
- delta_2h: 0.0001
- extension_atr: 2.23
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9833
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6915 | 0.6395 | 0.7088 | 0.33 | 0.5856 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6915
- Stop Loss: 0.6395
- Take Profit: 0.7088
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6395 - 0.6915 = -0.052
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6915 - 0.7088 = -0.0173
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0173 / -0.052 = 0.3327
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106.5043 | 100 | 154.0214 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.052
Taille de position = 8 / -0.052 = -153.85
Taille de position USD = -153.85 x 0.6915 = -106.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.6395
Avec un position size USD de -106.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -153.85 x -0.052 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -153.85 x -0.0173 = 2.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.66$
Résumé
- Taille de position -153.85
- Taille de position USD -106.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.66
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3327
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.52 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.08 $ | -5.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.2328 % | 82.88 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6915 | 0.6395 | 0.7088 | 0.33 | 0.5856 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6915
- Stop Loss: 0.6395
- Take Profit: 0.7088
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6395 - 0.6915 = -0.052
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6915 - 0.7088 = -0.0173
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0173 / -0.052 = 0.3327
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.520%
(0.0520)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -2.696% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -4.056% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -5.403% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.563% | 0.1R | -6.460% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -6.871% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -9.497% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.563% | 0.1R | -9.497% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.960% | 0.8R | -13.310% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.960% | 0.8R | -28.512% | 3.8R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 559 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.