Short Trade on CAKE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 92.06 CAKE at 1.852$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.9385 (4.69 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 05:15:07
hyperliquid
CAKE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 05:15
→ 08:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 1.8516$
Qty 92.0609 CAKE
Size 170.46$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 170.46$
SL 1.9385 (-4.69%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.71%
/ -1.21$
MAE -1.24%
MFE +0.85%
0.2R
expires
30 Oct 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234703)
#78 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 05:00
score du 30/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1405
Quality Score
0.435
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#78 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#78 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.12×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.29
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 05:01
30/10 05:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7324
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.198
Δ 4h
▼-0.229
Δ 12h
▲+0.291
Δ 24h
▲+0.114
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 49.4% |
| 1h | 44.3% |
| 4h | 40.5% |
| 24h | 15.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 70.9% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 49.4% | -0.29% |
| 24h | 31.7% | -3.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.25
Dispersion :
0.148
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 05:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4350
Score SMA
0.5298
Rank
#78
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1405
Rank Norm SMA
0.5070
Calculé le
30/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1602 | r1h: -0.569% · r4h: -2.180% · r1d: -9.50% · r3d: -12.39% · ema21_slope: -0.4802% · dist_ema21: -4.381% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2737 | rs_1h: -0.387% · rs_4h: -1.888% · rs_1d: -6.96% · rs_3d: -10.07% · beta_24h: 1.300 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3658 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.349 · trend: 4.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8642 | ADX: 43.7 (trend) · Chop: 20.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.675% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4298
Score SMA
0.5816
Rank
#73
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2841
Rank Norm SMA
0.6272
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2276 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.141% · r1d: -8.63% · r3d: -11.93% · ema21_slope: -0.2514% · dist_ema21: -8.396% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2542 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.063% · rs_1d: -6.52% · rs_3d: -9.87% · beta_24h: 1.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4679 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.091 · trend: 129.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6960 | ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 24.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.869% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.693%
(0.0869)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -0.567% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.853% | 0.2R | -1.242% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -1.420% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -2.652% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -2.652% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -5.050% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -6.940% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -6.940% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 29 min
MAE in 944 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.70 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.68 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.78 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late | — | — | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.60% | -0.64 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_low | -1.36% | -0.14 | 30/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#457121
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.543 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 33b -2.6ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 1.98 | 87% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -5.73 | — | #217041 | 0.70 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.68 |
28/10 20:00
upd 30/10 02:22
|
|
4h
#458100
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.493 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -3.0ATR | — | — | 0.89 | 71% | ↑ +0.57 | below_value | -6.71 | inside | #217423 | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.78 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:23
|
|
1h
anchor #458573
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.766 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 54% | late 3b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.94 | 97% | ↔ +0.08 | below_value | -7.23 | inside | #217711 | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.60% | -0.64 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 05:13
|
|
15m
#458475
|
↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | 0.497 | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 15b -2.7ATR | near -2.0ATR | — | 0.07 | 8% | ↑ +0.90 | below_value | -6.71 | — | #217423 | 0.79 | bear_low | -1.36% | -0.14 |
30/10 04:45
upd 30/10 05:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 8.397×ATR | p95 | -2.555×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.814×ATR | p82 | -2.973×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.627×ATR | p10 | -1.988×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.524×ATR | p71 | -2.66×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8516 | 1.9385 | 1.9214 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8516
- Stop Loss: 1.9385
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9385 - 1.8516 = 0.0869
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8516 - = 1.8516
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.8516 / 0.0869 = 21.3072
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170.46 | 100 | 92.0609 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0869
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0869 = 92.06
Taille de position USD = 92.06 x 1.8516 = 170.46
Donc, tu peux acheter 92.06 avec un stoploss a 1.9385
Avec un position size USD de 170.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 92.06 x 0.0869 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 92.06 x 1.8516 = 170.46
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 170.46$
Résumé
- Taille de position 92.06
- Taille de position USD 170.46
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 170.46
- Risk-Reward Ratio 21.3072
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 170.46 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.21 $ | -0.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0585 % | 22.55 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8516 | 1.9385 | 1.9214 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8516
- Stop Loss: 1.9385
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9385 - 1.8516 = 0.0869
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8516 - = 1.8516
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.8516 / 0.0869 = 21.3072
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.693%
(0.0869)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -0.567% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.853% | 0.2R | -1.242% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -1.420% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -2.652% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -2.652% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -5.050% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -6.940% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.853% | 0.2R | -6.940% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 29 min
MAE in 944 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.