30 Oct 2026 at 05:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PENDLE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 72.16 PENDLE at 1.713$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.8235 (6.48 %)

PENDLE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1.7126$

Qty 72.1618 PENDLE

Size 123.5844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 123.58$

SL 1.8235 (-6.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.13% / +1.4$ MAE -0.21% MFE +1.60% 0.3R expires 30 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 234691)
#75 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1907

Quality Score
0.438
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#75 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#75 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.36×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.77×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.29
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 05:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7324
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

transition

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.198
Δ 4h
▼-0.229
Δ 12h
▲+0.291
Δ 24h
▲+0.114

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 49.4%
1h 44.3%
4h 40.5%
24h 15.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.9% +0.00%
4h 49.4% -0.29%
24h 31.7% -3.86%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.25
Dispersion : 0.148
Universe : 79 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 05:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2607
Score SMA
0.2989
Rank
#58 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3294
Rank Norm SMA
0.2126
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0670 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.33% · r3d: -10.40% · ema21_slope: -0.5737% · dist_ema21: -15.087%
Force Relative 25% 0.1940 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.19% · rs_3d: -7.70% · beta_24h: 2.387
Volume 20% 0.5678 rvol_20: 2.29× · zscore_50: 0.538 · trend: -15.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5233 ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.812% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4375
Score SMA
0.5199
Rank
#75 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1907
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
30/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1893 r1h: -0.448% · r4h: -0.887% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: -0.6357% · dist_ema21: -4.447%
Force Relative 25% 0.2954 rs_1h: -0.267% · rs_4h: -0.594% · rs_1d: -8.22% · rs_3d: -9.41% · beta_24h: 2.333
Volume 20% 0.4263 rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: 0.674 · trend: 12.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8108 ADX: 37.3 (trend) · Chop: 21.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.318% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3879
Score SMA
0.5082
Rank
#87 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1832
Rank Norm SMA
0.5474
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2239 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.245% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -11.61% · ema21_slope: -0.3187% · dist_ema21: -9.996%
Force Relative 25% 0.2514 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.323% · rs_1d: -7.47% · rs_3d: -9.55% · beta_24h: 2.620
Volume 20% 0.4551 rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.101 · trend: 174.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6785 ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 21.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6510 ATR%: 4.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.476% (0.1109)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.086% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.086% 0.2R -0.210% 0.0R 5.2× 24
3h ★ +1.600% 0.3R -0.210% 0.0R 7.6× 36
4h +1.600% 0.3R -0.210% 0.0R 7.6× 48
8h +1.828% 0.3R -3.182% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +1.828% 0.3R -5.687% 0.9R 0.3× 144
24h +1.828% 0.3R -10.434% 1.6R 0.2× 288
48h +1.828% 0.3R -11.661% 1.8R 0.2× 576
72h +1.828% 0.3R -11.661% 1.8R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 254 min MAE in 924 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.33
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near -0.8ATR — 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.88 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -3.90% -0.77 30/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 52% mid — — 0.78 bear_high -2.60% -0.75 30/10 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early — near 0.4ATR 0.82 bear_low -1.36% +0.01 30/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454056
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.538 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late 38b -2.2ATR near -0.8ATR — 2.29 80% ↓ -0.19 below_value -6.31 — #215737 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.88
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:23
4h
#458064
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.534 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
noisy_chop 41% late 3b -2.6ATR — — 0.80 61% ↑ +0.85 below_value -6.78 inside #217411 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -3.90% -0.77
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:22
1h anchor
#458561
↓ down range range strong explosive 0.396 expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 52% mid 7b -1.6ATR — — 1.11 97% ↑ +0.23 below_value -7.15 — #217699 0.78 bear_high -2.60% -0.75
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 05:12
15m
#458463
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.285 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early 1b -0.9ATR — near 0.4ATR 4.87 96% ↑ +0.49 below_value -6.78 — #217411 0.82 bear_low -1.36% +0.01
30/10 04:45
upd 30/10 05:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 38b — 6.827×ATR p94 -2.231×ATR p90
4h ↓ down late 3b — 4.463×ATR p75 -2.601×ATR p98
1h ↑ up mid 7b — 2.225×ATR p44 -1.58×ATR p76
15m ↑ up early 1b — 1.15×ATR p0 -0.855×ATR p34

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.82346191
  2. atr: 0.03695397
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-30T12:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 93
  2. total: 96
  3. score: 0.1893
  4. confidence: 0.968

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.7126 1.8235 1.6816
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.7126
  • Stop Loss: 1.8235
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.8235 - 1.7126 = 0.1109

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.7126 - = 1.7126

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7126 / 0.1109 = 15.4427

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
123.5844 100 72.1618 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1109

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1109 = 72.14

Taille de position USD = 72.14 x 1.7126 = 123.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 72.14 avec un stoploss a 1.8235

Avec un position size USD de 123.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 72.14 x 0.1109 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 72.14 x 1.7126 = 123.55

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 123.55$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 72.14
  • Taille de position USD 123.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 123.55
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.4427

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 123.58 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.4 $ 1.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2102 % 3.25 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.7126 1.8235 1.6816
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.7126
  • Stop Loss: 1.8235
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.8235 - 1.7126 = 0.1109

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.7126 - = 1.7126

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7126 / 0.1109 = 15.4427

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.476% (0.1109)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.086% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.086% 0.2R -0.210% 0.0R 5.2× 24
3h ★ +1.600% 0.3R -0.210% 0.0R 7.6× 36
4h +1.600% 0.3R -0.210% 0.0R 7.6× 48
8h +1.828% 0.3R -3.182% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +1.828% 0.3R -5.687% 0.9R 0.3× 144
24h +1.828% 0.3R -10.434% 1.6R 0.2× 288
48h +1.828% 0.3R -11.661% 1.8R 0.2× 576
72h +1.828% 0.3R -11.661% 1.8R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 254 min MAE in 924 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.