Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2691.94 CHIP at 0.0422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04114 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04517 (7.04 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 05:15:18
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 05:15
→ 11:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0422$
Qty 2691.944 CHIP
Size 113.5973$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04114 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.85$
SL 0.04517 (-7.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.36
Status
loss
PnL
-5.86%
/ -6.65$
MAE -6.77%
MFE +0.36%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 11:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234749)
#96 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 05:00
score du 30/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0217
Quality Score
0.361
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#96 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#96 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.03×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.29
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 05:02
30/10 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7324
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.198
Δ 4h
▼-0.229
Δ 12h
▲+0.291
Δ 24h
▲+0.114
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 49.4% |
| 1h | 44.3% |
| 4h | 40.5% |
| 24h | 15.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 70.9% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 49.4% | -0.29% |
| 24h | 31.7% | -3.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.25
Dispersion :
0.148
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 05:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3306
Score SMA
0.4647
Rank
#30
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6588
Rank Norm SMA
0.7765
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3486 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.40% · r3d: -15.60% · ema21_slope: -0.2217% · dist_ema21: -9.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3184 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.25% · rs_3d: -12.90% · beta_24h: 3.321 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3961 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.200 · trend: 39.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4482 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 16.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3610
Score SMA
0.5484
Rank
#96
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0217
Rank Norm SMA
0.5411
Calculé le
30/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1448 | r1h: -0.315% · r4h: -0.779% · r1d: -11.21% · r3d: -18.22% · ema21_slope: -0.7604% · dist_ema21: -5.241% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2510 | rs_1h: -0.133% · rs_4h: -0.487% · rs_1d: -8.66% · rs_3d: -15.90% · beta_24h: 2.539 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1562 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.658 · trend: -65.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7736 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 30.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.2750
Score SMA
0.5075
Rank
#96
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0109
Rank Norm SMA
0.5153
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2386 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.679% · r1d: -10.28% · r3d: -17.99% · ema21_slope: -0.3898% · dist_ema21: -11.942% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2152 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.601% · rs_1d: -8.17% · rs_3d: -15.93% · beta_24h: 2.663 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2144 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.451 · trend: -16.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7119 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 29.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.618% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.038%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -1.735% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -4.469% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -5.851% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.848% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.943% | 0.3R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 19 min
MAE in 354 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_high | +0.21% | -0.85 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.93 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -2.48% | -0.80 | 30/10 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_low | -1.36% | -0.17 | 30/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454288
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.697 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 11b -0.7ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.89 | 79% | ↓ -0.22 | below_value | -6.39 | — | #215788 | — | range_high | +0.21% | -0.85 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:36
|
|
4h
#458222
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.483 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 4b -2.0ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.32 | 42% | ↓ -0.39 | below_value | -7.09 | — | #217469 | 0.50 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.93 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:29
|
|
1h
anchor #458221
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.385 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid 7b -1.6ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.51 | 58% | ↓ -0.24 | below_value | -7.09 | — | #217469 | 0.52 | bear_high | -2.48% | -0.80 |
30/10 03:00
upd 30/10 04:29
|
|
15m
#458531
|
↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | 0.260 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 6b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.24 | 7% | ↔ -0.15 | below_value | -7.48 | — | #217757 | 0.51 | bear_low | -1.36% | -0.17 |
30/10 04:45
upd 30/10 05:11
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 0.602×ATR | p0 | -0.682×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.752×ATR | p53 | -2.002×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 1.499×ATR | p2 | -1.649×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.405×ATR | p3 | -0.622×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04517083
- tp_price: 0.04114403
- atr: 0.00118873
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T15:15:18+00:00
Details
- rank: 96
- total: 96
- score: 0.1567
- delta_2h: -0.0979
- extension_atr: -1.63
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0217
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0422 | 0.04517 | 0.04114 | 0.36 | 0.03811 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0422
- Stop Loss: 0.04517
- Take Profit: 0.04114
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04517 - 0.0422 = 0.00297
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0422 - 0.04114 = 0.00106
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00297 = 0.3569
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113.5973 | 100 | 2691.944 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00297
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00297 = 2693.6
Taille de position USD = 2693.6 x 0.0422 = 113.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 2693.6 avec un stoploss a 0.04517
Avec un position size USD de 113.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2693.6 x 0.00297 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2693.6 x 0.00106 = 2.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2693.6
- Taille de position USD 113.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3569
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.65 $ | -5.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.7749 % | 96.26 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0422 | 0.04517 | 0.04114 | 0.36 | 0.03811 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0422
- Stop Loss: 0.04517
- Take Profit: 0.04114
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04517 - 0.0422 = 0.00297
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0422 - 0.04114 = 0.00106
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00297 = 0.3569
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.038%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -1.735% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -4.469% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -5.851% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.356% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.848% | 0.1R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.943% | 0.3R | -6.775% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 19 min
MAE in 354 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.