Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 159.54 RUNE at 0.658$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6745 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6079 (7.61 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 06:15:09
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 06:15
→ 12:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.658$
Qty 159.5405 RUNE
Size 104.9856$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6745 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.63$
SL 0.6079 (-7.61%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.33
Status
loss
PnL
-3.88%
/ -4.07$
MAE -4.89%
MFE +1.07%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 12:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234780)
#3 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 06:00
score du 30/10/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9776
Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.96×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.62
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 06:00
30/10 06:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7328
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
40.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.042
Δ 4h
▼-0.274
Δ 12h
▲+0.318
Δ 24h
▲+0.224
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.9% |
| 1h | 25.3% |
| 4h | 38.0% |
| 24h | 11.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.9% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 68.4% | -0.62% |
| 24h | 29.1% | -4.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.43
Tail ↓
+0.21
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 06:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4670
Score SMA
0.6334
Rank
#13
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8588
Rank Norm SMA
0.8540
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.3267% · dist_ema21: -4.322% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5165 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.47% · rs_3d: 1.57% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8264 | rvol_20: 4.48× · zscore_50: 1.579 · trend: 40.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4940 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6655
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#3
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9776
Rank Norm SMA
0.5836
Calculé le
30/10/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6155 | r1h: -1.222% · r4h: -3.559% · r1d: 9.15% · r3d: 6.51% · ema21_slope: 0.4847% · dist_ema21: 1.913% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6174 | rs_1h: -0.784% · rs_4h: -2.454% · rs_1d: 12.31% · rs_3d: 9.14% · beta_24h: 1.756 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3608 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: 0.212 · trend: 46.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7012 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 16.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9433 | ATR%: 3.170% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7479
Score SMA
0.6067
Rank
#2
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9893
Rank Norm SMA
0.7896
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6243 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.870% · r1d: 11.48% · r3d: 8.04% · ema21_slope: 0.0230% · dist_ema21: 6.653% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.792% · rs_1d: 13.59% · rs_3d: 10.10% · beta_24h: 0.658 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9732 | rvol_20: 5.48× · zscore_50: 2.599 · trend: 335.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6177 | ADX: 14.1 (weak) · Chop: 4.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8581 | ATR%: 3.426% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.614%
(0.0501)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -0.568% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -1.698% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -2.129% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.075% | 0.1R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.420% | 0.5R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.354% | 1.5R | -8.897% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.354% | 1.5R | -24.872% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1114 min
MAE in 319 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | +0.74 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.97% | +0.82 | 30/10 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_low | -1.67% | -0.46 | 30/10 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454026
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.685 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 32b -0.8ATR | — | — | 4.48 | 97% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#458043
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.393 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 6b 1.8ATR | — | — | 5.48 | 98% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +1.99 | — | #217404 | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | +0.74 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:21
|
|
1h
anchor #459052
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.801 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.61 | 91% | ↑ +0.87 | above_value | +1.51 | — | #217886 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.97% | +0.82 |
30/10 05:00
upd 30/10 06:14
|
|
15m
#458952
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.737 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 19b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.62 | 81% | ↓ -0.45 | above_value | +1.89 | — | #217692 | 0.52 | bear_low | -1.67% | -0.46 |
30/10 05:45
upd 30/10 06:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.78×ATR | p58 | -0.779×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.025×ATR | p39 | +1.775×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 3.083×ATR | p43 | +0.402×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 5.338×ATR | p83 | -0.991×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.658 | 0.6079 | 0.6745 | 0.33 | 0.6053 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.658
- Stop Loss: 0.6079
- Take Profit: 0.6745
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6079 - 0.658 = -0.0501
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.658 - 0.6745 = -0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0165 / -0.0501 = 0.3293
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104.9856 | 100 | 159.5405 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0501
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0501 = -159.68
Taille de position USD = -159.68 x 0.658 = -105.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -159.68 avec un stoploss a 0.6079
Avec un position size USD de -105.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -159.68 x -0.0501 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -159.68 x -0.0165 = 2.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position -159.68
- Taille de position USD -105.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3293
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.61 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.07 $ | -3.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.8891 % | 64.21 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.658 | 0.6079 | 0.6745 | 0.33 | 0.6053 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.658
- Stop Loss: 0.6079
- Take Profit: 0.6745
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6079 - 0.658 = -0.0501
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.658 - 0.6745 = -0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0165 / -0.0501 = 0.3293
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.614%
(0.0501)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -0.568% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -1.698% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -2.129% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.075% | 0.1R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.075% | 0.1R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.420% | 0.5R | -4.889% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.354% | 1.5R | -8.897% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.354% | 1.5R | -24.872% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1114 min
MAE in 319 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.