Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 33.86 UNI at 6.902$ per unit. Take profit: 6.3112 (8.56 %) & Stop Loss: 7.138 (3.42 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 07:13:53
hyperliquid
UNI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 07:13
→ 11:15
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 6.9018$
Qty 33.8636 UNI
Size 233.7198$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 6.3112 (+8.56%)
TP $ 20$
SL 7.138 (-3.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.42%
/ -8$
MAE -3.56%
MFE +1.65%
0.5R
expires
30 Oct 19:13
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234875)
#41 / 97
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 07:00
score du 30/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5577
Quality Score
0.490
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#41 / 97
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#41 / 97
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.07×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.83×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.85×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
112.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 07:00
30/10 07:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7332
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
45.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.051
Δ 4h
▼-0.257
Δ 12h
▲+0.382
Δ 24h
▼-0.160
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.0% |
| 1h | 79.8% |
| 4h | 34.2% |
| 24h | 13.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.8% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 77.2% | -0.40% |
| 24h | 29.1% | -4.93% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.29
Dispersion :
0.185
Universe :
79
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 07:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3477
Score SMA
0.3039
Rank
#27
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6941
Rank Norm SMA
0.3552
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1269 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: -0.5421% · dist_ema21: -11.137% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2532 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -6.88% · beta_24h: 2.806 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8325 | rvol_20: 4.99× · zscore_50: 1.712 · trend: 38.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5321 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 64.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.130% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4899
Score SMA
0.5350
Rank
#41
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5577
Rank Norm SMA
0.5942
Calculé le
30/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4097 | r1h: 1.050% · r4h: 0.562% · r1d: -4.13% · r3d: -2.66% · ema21_slope: -0.2230% · dist_ema21: 0.648% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5557 | rs_1h: 0.855% · rs_4h: 1.583% · rs_1d: -1.06% · rs_3d: 0.03% · beta_24h: 1.705 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1938 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.154 · trend: -46.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5952 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.413% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4824
Score SMA
0.4926
Rank
#50
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5899
Rank Norm SMA
0.5736
Calculé le
30/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4372 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.542% · r1d: -4.31% · r3d: -5.17% · ema21_slope: -0.0618% · dist_ema21: -4.356% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4160 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.464% · rs_1d: -2.19% · rs_3d: -3.11% · beta_24h: 2.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4429 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: 0.088 · trend: 212.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6403 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 29.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6266 | ATR%: 4.120% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.422%
(0.2362)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -0.940% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -1.221% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -3.354% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -3.559% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.652% | 0.5R | -3.559% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -4.718% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -4.718% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -5.907% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -7.359% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 151 min
MAE in 801 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.65 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.39 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -2.73% | -0.17 | 30/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.74 | bear_low | -1.34% | +0.25 | 30/10 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454017
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.676 | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 36b -1.6ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 4.99 | 98% | ↔ +0.02 | below_value | -2.64 | — | #215728 | 0.65 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#458037
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.238 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 2b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 78% | ↑ +0.88 | value | +1.02 | — | #217402 | 0.64 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.39 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:20
|
|
1h
anchor #459550
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.623 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 12b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 90% | ↓ -0.33 | value | +2.10 | — | #218080 | 0.72 | bear_high | -2.73% | -0.17 |
30/10 06:00
upd 30/10 07:12
|
|
15m
#459450
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.604 | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 11b 1.9ATR | — | near -1.1ATR | 1.37 | 75% | ↑ +0.31 | value | +1.63 | — | #217884 | 0.74 | bear_low | -1.34% | +0.25 |
30/10 06:45
upd 30/10 07:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 7.585×ATR | p81 | -1.606×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.649×ATR | p0 | -1.031×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.743×ATR | p71 | +0.226×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.126×ATR | p56 | +1.858×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7893
- reason: down_bo width=1.92×ATR dur=68b phase=extending
- stop_price: 7.13804181
- tp_price: 6.31119547
- atr:
- score: 0.78930269665109
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T23:13:45.219541
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78930269665109
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0567
- obi_top10 : -0.0057
- micro_price : 6.89939437
- spread_pct : 0.014495
- mid_price : 6.8995
- bid_wall_price : 6.85
- bid_wall_size : 44620.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 6.93
- ask_wall_size : 39043.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0789
- obi_top5_std : 0.0361
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7012
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
7.2735
- balance_zone_bottom:
6.97115
- balance_zone_mid:
7.122325
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793116800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793358000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9237
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
68
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7893
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
6.97115
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7059
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
15
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4412
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.15716814 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
68
inside_close_ratio
0.7059
bars_since_breakout
15
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4412
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:13 | 6.90180000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:23 | 6.90180000 | 0% |
| 3 | 07:33 | 6.90180000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7012ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.057
avg 0.079
± 0.036
OBI Top 10
-0.006
Microstructure
Mid Price
6.8995
Micro Price
6.8994
Spread
0.0145%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
6.8500
Size
44,620.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
6.9300
Size
39,043.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9018 | 7.138 | 6.3112 | 2.5 | 7.4521 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.9018
- Stop Loss: 7.138
- Take Profit: 6.3112
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.138 - 6.9018 = 0.2362
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.9018 - 6.3112 = 0.5906
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5906 / 0.2362 = 2.5004
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233.7198 | 100 | 33.8636 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2362
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2362 = 33.87
Taille de position USD = 33.87 x 6.9018 = 233.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 33.87 avec un stoploss a 7.138
Avec un position size USD de 233.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 33.87 x 0.2362 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 33.87 x 0.5906 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 33.87
- Taille de position USD 233.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5004
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.56 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5585 % | 103.98 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9018 | 7.138 | 6.3112 | 2.5 | 7.4521 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 6.9018
- Stop Loss: 7.138
- Take Profit: 6.3112
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.138 - 6.9018 = 0.2362
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.9018 - 6.3112 = 0.5906
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5906 / 0.2362 = 2.5004
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.422%
(0.2362)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -0.940% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.742% | 0.2R | -1.221% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -3.354% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -3.559% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.652% | 0.5R | -3.559% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -4.718% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -4.718% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -5.907% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.652% | 0.5R | -7.359% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 151 min
MAE in 801 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.